Ukrainian After the army launched a large-scale counterattack, although Ukraine greatly exaggerated the results of the war and Russia tried hard to cover up the failure, the front line would not deceive people, because the front line is the line of strength, and the changes in the front line represent the changes in the strength of both sides.
Ukrainian army
In order to get Russia out of the current dilemma, many netizens were really worried and came up with many ideas. Some people said that if Russia mobilizes a large-scale war and quickly solves the problem of insufficient troops, then Russia can reverse its disadvantages and quickly solve the Ukrainian problem.
Self-improvement and a natural choice. Hello everyone, welcome to Tianze Miscellaneous Talk. Today we will talk about this issue.
The author first shows his attitude. Even if Russia mobilizes a large-scale war, it will be difficult for it to change the situation. Why do you say this?
First, Russia can mobilize very limited troops.
Although Russia is the largest country in the world, its population is not large, with only 140 million people, which is a typical "large land and vast land and sparsely populated country".
Although the total population of Russia is not small, the problem of scarcity of recruitment resources has always been an important problem that restricts Russia's national defense and military construction.
According to data released by Russia itself, more than half of Russian citizens who can serve in the military for various reasons study in colleges and universities, and only 17.4% of those who can serve in the military account for only 17.4% of those who are eligible for enlistment.
This reflects from one aspect that Russia has a high level of education. Most people can receive higher education after graduating from high school and do not have to join the army. Those who enlist in the army are young people with poor academic performance and poor family conditions.
Otherwise, due to the poor medical environment in Russia, 1/3 of the young people of appropriate age do not meet the service conditions due to health reasons.
For health reasons, more than half of the young people who are enlisted in the army cannot be sent to higher-demand troops, such as the airborne troops, the navy and the inner guard forces, etc.
Russia's high school education has only two years, with the number of high school graduates each year around 730,000, including 530,000 urban students and 200,000 rural students.
, and the enrollment scale of Russian undergraduate colleges reached 1.2074 million, of which 628,000 full-time students were. The number of admissions to undergraduate colleges has exceeded the total number of fresh graduates in and . So high school graduates can do it if they want to go to college, just get the money. This is a bit similar to that in China.
, according to the calculation, there are about 130,000 eligible enlists who meet the enlistment requirements every year. Since there are too few people of the right age who meet the conditions for enlistment, the Russian army vigorously promotes the professionalization of the military.
However, the professional army has a fatal weakness, and its enthusiasm for combat is not high. Joining the army is to support the family. Once it dies on the battlefield, the wife belongs to someone else, and the child can only find a stepfather.
Some people say that soldiers can get a pension if they sacrifice on the battlefield, but the pension itself is not high, and it is a one-time thing. It is really not worth it to exchange for life.
Therefore, the professional army is not very active on the battlefield. In the case of smooth battle, this situation is not obvious. Once the battlefield situation is unfavorable, it will be very obvious. You can throw away anything to escape. This is also an important reason why the Russian army discards a large amount of equipment in Kharkov .
. When surrounded by the enemy, most professional soldiers will choose to surrender, as long as they are professional soldiers, this is true.
In the early days of World War II , in 110,000 US troops from Philippines collectively surrendered to the Japanese army with weapons and equipment. In the battle to resist U.S. aggression and aid Korea, the black men of the US military would raise their hands to surrender when they saw that the situation was not good. The US military was angry that the black soldiers did not allow them to exist in an established system and must be scattered among various white squads. The same is true for the surrounded white soldiers, often raising their hands to surrender.
In the Sino-Indian border conflict in 1962, Indian soldiers surrendered to our army in batches with weapons and equipment.In the battlefields of Iraq and Afghanistan, although the US military has absolute advantages, there are also US military surrenders.
US military regulations that when the situation is unfavorable, resistance can be surrendered. The reason why the US military has such regulations is not because of humanity. If the US military requires soldiers to die in battle, then no one is willing to be a professional soldier.
Russian army
In today's battlefield in Russia and Ukraine, Ukraine has carried out large-scale war mobilization and implemented a compulsory military service system. As long as it is within the scope of recruitment, it must join the army. Some reports say that Zelensky requires Ukrainian soldiers not to surrender, otherwise military law will be carried out.
So at the beginning, due to the sudden attack of the Russian army, the Ukrainian army did not organize effective resistance. At that time, some Ukrainian soldiers raised their hands to surrender when they saw that the situation was not good.
In the Battle of Mariupol, the Ukrainian army surrendered only after exhausting ammunition and food. However, as the war progressed, the Ukrainian army surrendered less and less, and instead the Russian army continued to surrender.
Therefore, even if Russia conducts large-scale mobilization and expands its military posts, it will not solve the practical problems.
The most fundamental reason for the Russian army to be passive on the battlefield is that the level of equipment informatization is insufficient. The Russian army's firepower is not bad, but there is a lack of high-precision satellite reconnaissance equipment in the air, and the ground lacks drones, night vision and other battlefield perception equipment.
The Ukrainian army's successful counterattack was already given the answer, and an official from the U.S. Pentagon admitted that time-sensitive intelligence was provided to the Ukrainian army.
U.S. Defense Secretary Austin revealed that the intelligence shared by the US military with the Ukrainian army has reached a real-time level, and the US military can pass on the intelligence that has been interpreted and sorted to the Ukrainian army within one hour.
So the Ukrainian army knows how many troops the Russian army has in Kharkov and where it is deployed. What China's military art says is "knowing yourself and your enemy, and never winning a hundred battles." Ukraine made the situation of the Russian army clearly, while the Russian army was blinded.
When the Russian army was attacked, they didn't know how many Ukrainian troops came. They were suddenly panicked and lost all their fighting spirit for a while. They tried their best to retreat, but the retreat route was also clearly seen by the US military, so the Russian army lost a lot of weapons and equipment under the attack of the Ukrainian army.
Honland A agency tracking the battlefield situation of Russia and Ukraine said: In this large-scale counterattack, the Russian army lost about 700 tanks , armored vehicles, artillery and various military vehicles , etc.
The author believes that even if Russia mobilizes a large-scale war, new recruits will not be able to go to the battlefield for the time being. The key is that the level of informatization of weapons and equipment cannot be improved for the time being, and the practical problems cannot be solved at all.
For Russia, there are only two ways to solve the current dilemma:
First, use nuclear weapon , especially tactical nuclear weapon , but it requires huge risks. With Russia's current situation, it should not dare to use nuclear weapons.
Second, quickly introduced advanced weapons and equipment. For example, Russia introduced a large number of drones from Iran , and was preparing to obtain rocket launcher of Chinese origin through Belarusian .
In fact, Russia should have done this long ago, but the reason why Russia is unwilling to do this is mainly due to three reasons.
is a psychological factor first, because Russia has always been rated as the world's second most powerful military, so Russians are very arrogant and unwilling to admit that their weapons and equipment are lagging behind, and they are not willing to buy advanced weapons and equipment from the international level.
The second is to maintain the good image of Russian weapons and equipment. Russia has always been the world's second largest arms exporter, which determines that it cannot buy weapons and equipment from other countries at will, otherwise the image of Russian weapons and equipment will collapse and Russian weapons and equipment will not be sold.
is to protect the country's declining arms industry again. Russia's arms industry is not having a good time due to lack of orders, so the Russian army's limited funds must be given to its country's arms industry.
Putin
Today's Russia should quickly adjust its mental state and introduce advanced weapons, equipment and technologies through various methods to quickly improve its capabilities in space reconnaissance, battlefield perception, remote communication, precise strikes, etc.
When these capabilities are improved, coupled with the Russian army's super firepower, it will be much easier to solve the Ukrainian problem.
Since the West imposed the most severe sanctions on Russia, Russia's only way out at present is to look east. In the past, Russia always wanted to move closer to the West, but was abandoned by the West again and again, causing a tragedy. If Russia does not adjust its national strategy, Russia's position as the second military power will be lost and the country will be dismembered by the United States.
