The picture shows the Japanese Type 12 surface-to-ship missiles
As Japan has made it clear that they are about to equip the Southwest Islands and Kyushu Island with Type 12 surface-to-ship missiles, and they intend to upgrade the existing Type 12 anti-ship missiles to increase their range. Is the increase to 1,000 kilometers a prelude to Japan's plan to amend the peace constitution ? If these Type 12 surface-to-ship missiles with a range of 1,000 kilometers are deployed, how will a series of countries near Japan counterattack? In this issue, we will analyze how a series of East Asian countries, including China, should counter Japan's action if Japan deploys the cruise missile with a range of more than 1,000 kilometers.
The picture shows Japanese airborne anti-ship missiles
In fact, although Japan has announced that they will deploy more than 1,000 long-range missiles with a launch range of more than 1,000 kilometers in the Southwest Islands and Kyushu Island in the future missile , but in fact, based on its own economy and the reactions and behaviors of neighboring countries, even if Japan successfully develops this improved Type 12 surface-to-ship missile with a range of 1,000 kilometers, the number of deployments of this missile , and it will not exceed 200 pieces.
The picture shows Japan's supersonic anti-ship missile
Why is it said that even if Japan successfully develops a new missile with a range of up to 1,000 kilometers, the number of its deployments will become very rare? First of all, Japan’s Type 12 anti-ship missile is developed based on the American Harpoon anti-ship missile. Therefore, the upgrade potential of this missile is actually very limited. If you want to modify the Type 12 anti-ship missile to have a range of 1,000 kilometers The difficulty of designing and producing a new cruise missile is even higher than developing a new missile from scratch.
Secondly, due to the restrictions of the pacifist constitution, Japan cannot sell the weapons and equipment they have developed on their own in the arms market. This also means that Japan can hardly use bulk sales to share their weapons research costs. Even if Japan breaks through the technical difficulties and upgrades their Type 12 surface-to-ship missiles into cruise missiles with a range of more than 1,000 kilometers, the combined R&D and manufacturing costs of these missiles will not be affordable by Japan today. Japan is in a continuing economic recession. Even if the Japanese scientific research department completes the upgrade of missiles, they will not be able to raise enough military spending to purchase a large number of missiles with a range of more than 1,000 kilometers from the Japanese military industrial enterprise .
The picture shows China’s large-scale deployment of Dongfeng 16 missiles
Finally, anti-ship cruise missiles with a range of just 1,000 kilometers are of little use to Japan itself: because the distance between Japan and other surrounding countries is about 1,000~1,500 Kilometers, this means that even if the range of the Type 12 surface-to-ship missile reaches 1,000 kilometers, it is basically impossible to hit anything. In addition, the entire territory of Japan is basically within the coverage of Dongfeng 16 and Dongfeng 17. If Japan wants to use Type 12 anti-ship missiles or JASSM missiles purchased from the United States to launch an attack on China, no matter whether Japan can hit any Targets will encounter thousands of Dongfeng 16 and Dongfeng 17, China's weapons outside the defense zone, including the Changjian-10, are targeted at targeted strikes including power plants, power supply equipment, water plants, and major military bases. Therefore, even if Japan possesses 1,000 missiles, bureaucrats and senior military officers will not be able to do so at all. They would not have the courage to issue a launch order, because if the missile is fired, Japan can be said to be completely finished.
Therefore, China does not need to worry about the threat of these 1,000 Japanese cruise missiles with a range of 1,000 kilometers. Unless Japan can afford the consequences of domestic infrastructure and military facilities being completely destroyed in a very short period of time, otherwise, No matter how many cruise missiles Japan has in hand, they will never launch them.
