The United States has always adhered to a "strategic ambiguity" policy on the Taiwan Strait issue, that is, it is not clear that the US government will support the Taiwan authorities. However, in a recent interview with the current US President Biden , when the host asked Biden whether the United States would choose to send troops to stop China if mainland China decides to unify Taiwan by military force, Biden immediately answered "Yes" and explained his answer. Biden's statement immediately caused an uproar, and many international observers once thought that the US government had decided to abandon the "strategic ambiguity" policy.
However, after Biden made his statement, the White House immediately stood up to "extinguish the fire" for Biden. White House said that Biden's statement does not represent the attitude of the US government, and the US government's policy toward Taiwan has not changed. Of course, this is not the first time that Biden has publicly stated that the United States will interfere with the Taiwan Strait issue by force, nor is it the first time that the White House has helped President Biden "extinguish the fire".
"Strategic fuzzy" policy is the long-term policy of the United States in relations with Taiwan. The United States believes that the "Strategic fuzzy" policy can better allow the United States to be at ease on the Taiwan Strait issue. First of all, mainland China has been making corresponding preparations for the possible US military's military's possible intervention in the Taiwan Strait issue. The gradual improvement and powerful "anti-intervention/regional denial" combat system is very obvious evidence. Even if the United States abandons the "strategic ambiguity" policy, mainland China will also make corresponding military preparations for the possible arrival of the US military. In this case, why should the United States abandon its "strategic ambiguity" policy?
Secondly, if the US government clearly expresses its support for the Taiwan authorities, the Taiwan authorities will place all hopes, especially military hopes, on the United States, which will further increase the consumption of the United States on the Taiwan Strait issue. The United States has always adhered to the role of "behind the scene manipulator" or "behind the scene promoter" in international relations, and has been unwilling to rush to the front line. Therefore, it is even more impossible to give up the "strategic ambiguity" policy.
So, there are many opinions that Biden was just "unfamiliar" in public. But this idea is still too simple. For the United States, the current Taiwan Strait issue is not a clear question, but has huge operating space. The United States’ current purpose on the Taiwan Strait issue is almost the following: . The United States continues to recognize the “one China” policy. Of course, this is not based on China’s standpoint.
2. Through the US President or other senior U.S. government officials, they repeatedly emphasized that the US will not hesitate to fight with mainland China for the sake of the Taiwan authorities.
3. The Taiwan authorities must continue to develop their military power, especially to continue to purchase weapons from the United States at a high price.
4. The US government does not publicly recognize "Taiwan independence" to avoid triggering the red line of martial arts reunification in mainland China.
In fact, the United States hopes that the Taiwan Strait issue can become a hot topic that continues to win interests for the United States. The continued purchase of US weapons at high prices by the Taiwan authorities will allow US arms dealers to make more money. The US military-industrial complex is naturally happy to see this situation. Secondly, if China continues to hype the issue of the Taiwan Strait, then the US Air Force, the US Navy, US Marine Corps , and even US Army have excuses to use China as an excuse to ask the US Congress for more military budgets.
US military is afraid of opponents stronger than themselves, fearing that they will not be able to beat them. But the US military is even more afraid that it will not have an opponent, because in this way, the US military will lose its value of existence. Therefore, the US military is either fighting against its opponents or looking for its opponents to create value for itself to continue to exist.
The most typical example is that before and after Biden stated that the United States would send troops to the Taiwan Strait, Anthony Cotton, the commander-in-chief of the United States Strategy Command, said that as long as the United States is willing to use the nuclear weapon , it can prevent mainland China from unifying Taiwan.Faced with a nuclear power like China, anyone understands that China and the United States cannot break out of the " nuclear war " due to the Taiwan Strait issue. So, why did Anthony Cotton still make such a public statement? It is to prove the "value" of its existence to the US Congress, and the excuse is China.
At present, the US military's attitude towards the Taiwan Strait issue is still very clear, that is, try to avoid direct military conflicts with China. General Mili Mili During the Trump administration, during the Trump administration, he risked to violate regulations and told China that the United States had no intention of engaging in a military conflict between China and the United States to avoid military misjudgment between China and the United States. This also shows that the US military is still very calm on the Taiwan Strait issue - when fighting with China, the US military will suffer huge losses. If there is no conflict, try not to cause conflict.
In the decades after the end of Cold War , the US military has had many military victories, but with the increase in military victories of the US military, the US military is becoming more and more "cannot afford to lose". Just like after the Afghanistan retreat, many NATO member states began to question whether the US military could provide them with military protection. If the US military intervenes in China's Taiwan Strait issue by force and suffers a crushing defeat in the face of the People's Liberation Army, the US military's military prestige will be greatly weakened. Considering that the US military is an important tool to maintain the hegemony of the US dollar and the dominance of the US world, this situation is obviously unacceptable to the US.
Therefore, we can see that the United States has begun to constantly encourage Japan to intervene in the Taiwan Strait issue by force, not only accompanying Japan Self-Defense Force training, but also gradually lifting restrictions on Japan's military development. Even the United States believes that Japan's preparation speed is slow at present. The Washington think tank in the United States, " Center for Strategic and International Studies ", even directly published a public article saying that Japan still does not see the current situation clearly enough and is far from ready for China's war.
So, the current situation in the Taiwan Strait has actually undergone major changes. The possibility of the US military as the main force participating in the war is actually decreasing, but the possibility of Japan's military interference in the Taiwan Strait issue is constantly increasing. Of course, we cannot give up our preparations for the US military to fight, after all, the US military may still interfere with China's Taiwan Strait issue by force. However, we need to consider the possibility of Japan's military intervention.
After all, it is still a matter of developing military strength, especially the strength of the Chinese Navy and Chinese Air Force needs to be further strengthened. In the Chinese Navy, the number of 052D series missile destroyers and 055 large missile destroyers needs to be added to strengthen our army's maritime regional air defense combat force. At the same time, the installation speed of the USS Fujian aircraft carrier must be accelerated, and the construction of the next catapult aircraft carrier will begin.
In terms of the Chinese Air Force, in addition to continuing to increase the number of purchases of J-20 stealth fighter , the long-range air-contact strike capabilities also need to be strengthened. In addition to continuing to improve the combat capabilities of the existing H-6 bomber fleet, it is also necessary to achieve the service and combat effectiveness of the H-20 stealth strategic bomber as soon as possible.
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