This exercise was launched on the same day as the NATO summit. Japan, Australia, and South Korea participating in the exercise also participated in the NATO summit for the first time. In addition, South Korea followed the United States and wanted to distance itself from China, an

The "Rim of the Pacific 2022" large-scale joint exercise led by the United States and participated by 26 countries officially kicked off on the 29th. More than 25,000 officers and soldiers gathered in the waters surrounding Hawaii for large-scale maritime exercises. , including the United States, Japan, Australia, South Korea, etc., have sent aircraft carriers or " quasi-aircraft carriers " to participate in the exercise. This exercise was launched on the same day as the NATO summit. Japan, Australia, and South Korea participating in the exercise also participated in the NATO summit for the first time. In addition, South Korea followed the United States and wanted to distance itself from China, and Japan directly exaggerated the emergence of "Asian Ukraine." No matter from which angle we look at the arrogance, we need to evaluate: Once such a large-scale force targets China and a war approaches, how will China fight? What are the chances of winning?

1. Look at history: All out means catastrophe. The United States has gathered the forces of many countries, gathered together, and approached China. In theory, it has the possibility of being annihilated.

I saw Teacher Wenmu’s reading notes this morning: Su Xun put forward the argument in "On the Six Kingdoms" that if the six countries unite and "strike westward", they will not be destroyed by the Qin Kingdom. Mao Zedong commented: "This theory is not inevitable" and "all A coalition of powerful enemies rarely succeeds. Cao Cao also felt the same way about the role of the "coalition" in his own campaign. In July 211 AD (the 16th year of Jian'an), Cao Cao pacified Guandong and later said to the generals. : " Guanzhong has a long history. If the thieves attack each other according to the dangers and obstacles, they will not be able to defeat them in one or two years." We have all come together now. Although there are many of them, the army has no suitable leader and can be destroyed in one fell swoop. It is difficult to achieve success, so I am very happy. "

In the poem "Hao Li", Cao Cao expressed the inherent contradictions of the "alliance" and the nature of the "paper tiger": There are righteous men in Guandong, who raised troops to fight against the group. In the early days of the alliance, they were focused on Chengyang. The combined strength of the armies was not unified. Hesitating and flying. Snobbishness makes people fight, and the descendants kill each other. The title of Huainan brother is engraved in the north. The armor is infested with lice, and the bones are exposed in the wild. There are no chickens in the stems.

Mao Zedong’s assertion that “all powerful coalition forces rarely succeed” and Cao Cao’s understanding of the nature of coalition forces in his poems are helpful for us to understand the current direction of the Western anti-China alliance

It is so similar to history. In the 1950s, the 16-nation coalition gathered by the United States rushed to the Korean Peninsula with great force. Everyone can see the results. In terms of "big killer", the United States' powerful enemy coalition forces were forced to attack the Korean Peninsula. There are two countries with nuclear forces: China and North Korea. The so-called "Rim of the Pacific" series of exercises are held every two years and are billed as "the world's largest multinational joint maritime exercises." Including 7 American countries, 11 Asian countries, 5 European countries and 3 Oceania countries, more than 25,000 officers and soldiers gathered in the waters surrounding Hawaii to conduct large-scale maritime exercises.

The website of the US Naval Institute stated on the 28th that various countries mobilized. 38 surface ships , 4 submarines , 9 army units and more than 170 aircraft will participate in the exercise, which is expected to last from June 29 to August 4. It is worth noting that the participants include. The U.S. nuclear-powered aircraft carrier USS Lincoln and the amphibious assault ship USS Essex , the Japanese light aircraft carrier Izumo, which has just become capable of carrying fighter aircraft , and the amphibious assault ship USS Marado of South Korea, Australia's "Canberra" amphibious assault ship and other aircraft carriers or "quasi-aircraft carriers".

2. Let’s be realistic: There are mobs and arrogance, and the arrangements for the exercise have already been arranged. NATO is trying to enter Asia, which is a blatant deterrent to China.

The 26 countries participating in the exercise announced by the United States are in order. Australia , Brunei , Canada , Chile , Colombia, Denmark , Ecuador , France, Germany, India , Indonesia , Israel, Japan , Malaysia , Mexico , Netherlands , New Zealand , Peru , South Korea, Philippines , Singapore , Sri Lanka , Thailand , Tonga , United Kingdom and United States.

Let’s briefly sort out these 26 countries: Japan and South Korea in the “two-sided” military alliance; “core axis”: the United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia; India in the “Quadrilateral Mechanism”; Canada in the “ Five Eyes Alliance ” , New Zealand; France and Germany in the " Group of Seven "; Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Brunei among the 13 countries in the "Asia-Pacific Economic Framework". These add up to 16 countries.

The remaining Israel , Chile, Colombia, Denmark , Ecuador, Mexico, the Netherlands, Peru, Sri Lanka, Tonga are all given to the United States, but Israel focuses on the Middle East ; has some They are also anti-China activists. For example, "Denmark, one of the three Nordic countries, has repeatedly made "anti-China" remarks internationally ; Tonga is a South Pacific island country, which implies the United States' attempt to contain China in the South Pacific island country.

After analysis, Following the United States, it is actually still Japan, Australia, the United Kingdom, Canada and a few other countries that are directly fighting with China; some are far away, and some are close at hand. We need to see through their noisy performance capabilities and harmful real capabilities. , develop different response plans; for example, if South Korea has North Korean brothers, it will be annihilated and unified, so don’t worry. For example, if Canada goes to the East China Sea to provoke, that will be Deputy Director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and the Ministry of National Defense. Spokesperson Tan Kefei emphasized two points: first, come once and counterattack once; second, those who come uninvited will bear the consequences. To put it bluntly, let them come once and suffer. !

In fact, the United States itself divides these countries into three, six or nine levels. This can be seen from the consistent division of the "Pacific Rim" series of exercises into multiple levels. The ships of ordinary participating countries can only participate in the early stage. non-traditional security field subjects such as joint patrols, maritime search and rescue, maritime interception and boarding inspection, only core allies of the United States can participate in joint operations and live-fire firing sessions. Hypothetical crisis scenarios will be set in the final stage of the exercise. To test joint crisis response capabilities, the U.S. military will conduct live-fire sinking training with core allies.

3. Ask about the future: working side by side to defeat the enemy, the Japanese Prime Minister clamored that "tomorrow's East Asia may become the second Ukraine ." , we must be prepared for breakthroughs in our actions.

Japan is jumping up and down. It is a big scourge and must be guarded against. I remember not long ago, Wang Wenbin of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs said that as long as China does not carry out nuclear strikes against , there is no need to worry about China launching nuclear strikes against it. This is China's nuclear policy. But personal thinking, this aspect should be an exception for the Japanese who do not regret their crimes of aggression.

Japan's Kyodo News Agency said that in addition to the Maritime Self-Defense Force dispatched the "Izumo" light aircraft carrier and " In addition to the destroyer USS Takami, the Ground Self-Defense Force will also conduct anti-ship combat shooting training with the US Army during the exercise.This is the 22nd time that the Maritime Self-Defense Force has participated in the "Rim of the Pacific" series of exercises, while the 4th time that the Ground Self-Defense Force has participated.

Regarding this "Rim of the Pacific" series of exercises, as we have said before, the time when the exercises are launched is also the time when the NATO summit is held, both on June 29. Considering the key countries participating in the exercises, it is necessary to cooperate with " NATO's new strategy " focuses on China's unity and is wary of threats to China if it approaches the city.

In addition, Japan is trying its best to stir up tensions in the Asia-Pacific in an attempt to fish in troubled waters. Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, who attended the meeting for the first time, said at the NATO summit that the security and defense of Europe and the Indo-Pacific region are inseparable, and attempts to unilaterally change the status quo through coercive means continue to occur in the East China Sea and the South China Sea. He claimed that "Tomorrow's East Asia may become the second Ukraine," and Japan is deeply concerned about this crisis.

Of course, Japan is not alone. The British Foreign Secretary wildly said that a "global NATO" will be established!

In this regard, the strategy that can be adopted should still be to hit the first bird with a stick, and "side by side" with Russia. With this idea, the target of the attack is very clear. How to specifically combat

should adopt the method of displaying military power in peacetime, based on both military and economic means. In this regard, the Qin'an strategy is summarized as "going north to resist Japan" in the new era. Four paths have been sorted out before: The first is to actively participate in the construction of Russia's Kuril Islands; the second is Sino-Russian joint air patrol; the third is Sino-Russian joint maritime patrol; the fourth is The Chinese and Russian maritime fleets cruised around the Japanese island respectively.

One sentence summary: Only by being tough can you become strong. During the "Pacific Rim 2022" large-scale joint exercise, the People's Liberation Army will rain missiles!

Qin An, July 3, 2022, Haidian, Beijing.