In the blink of an eye, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has entered its 126th day, and the fierce confrontation on the battlefield is still going on. Outside the battlefield, the United States, Britain, France, Germany and other countries are also taking the opportunity of holding G7 and NATO summits to continue to take measures to impose sanctions on Russia. This pressure has not only brought more variables to the situation between Russia and Ukraine, but also greatly increased the risk of direct conflict between Russia and the West.
It is against this tense background that three new trends have emerged in the situation between Russia and Ukraine.
Trend 1: 100,000 troops are not enough. Biden has announced that more troops will be sent to Europe.
html On the 29th, Biden announced during the NATO summit in Madrid that the United States will strengthen its military deployment in Europe to respond to the changing security environment and strengthen NATO security.Biden also revealed some specific plans to "increase troops in Europe", such as building a permanent military headquarters in Poland , the so-called "American Fifth Corps" ; and sending 2 more F-35s to the United Kingdom. Fighter squadrons ; sending more "air defense and other forces" to Germany and Italy, as well as increasing the U.S. military presence in the Baltic Sea and more.
I have to say that Biden announced a big move this time . Among them, at least 5 details of and cannot be ignored.
. During the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the United States has quietly deployed more than 100,000 troops to Europe under the banner of "protecting its allies." Now announcing so many new military deployment plans means that it wants to increase its troops in Europe.
By then, the number of U.S. troops in Europe may approach 200,000. Europe will also become the region where the United States has the largest number of troops stationed abroad.
2, the "U.S. military deployment blueprint" announced by Biden covers almost all major European countries - the United Kingdom, Germany, Italy and other countries, all of which are established European powers. In addition to France, two countries in the original European " troika " have been "deployed heavily" by the United States.
Obviously, the United States has a vague feeling that is "eyeing" Europe's this time. has a big agenda and a bigger "appetite".
3, the United States is "quite generous" this time, but there are obvious differences.
First of all, Britain, which has a close relationship with the United States, launched two squadrons of F-35 fighter jets; Poland, which "obeys" the United States, even directly established the headquarters of the US Fifth Army Corps.
As for Germany and Italy, which are "not too cold" with the United States, it is estimated that the United States has not yet thought of specific deployments, and will ultimately replace them with "air defense and other forces."
But no matter what "sort of affinity" the United States has for its European allies, its ambition to take the opportunity to expand its military presence in Europe is obvious.
4, the United States has listed so many plans to increase its troops, and one of the unavoidable "central ideas" is to put pressure on Russia.
On the one hand, the establishment of the so-called Fifth Army Corps in Poland by the United States is just under the nose of Russia, and it is obviously a signal of military deterrence to Russia.
On the other hand, Biden wants to strengthen the US military deployment in the Baltic Sea, and he obviously also has his sights on the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad on the coast of the Baltic Sea.
Obviously, the United States’ “plot” against Russia this time is not simple.
5, the United States' massive increase in troops in Europe will have a non-negligible impact on the situation in Russia and Ukraine.
After all, the support of Western countries such as the United States and Britain is one of the biggest sources of confidence for the Ukrainian army to fight against Russia. Now, the United States will increase its troops in Europe, and and Kiev will have more confidence and morale.
I have to say that the plot and intention behind Biden's announcement of additional troops in Europe are not just as simple as "killing three birds with one stone" .
Regardless of Russia, Britain, France or Germany, we really need to pay more attention to this.
The second trend is that while the heads of state of the United States, Britain, France and Germany are gathering in Europe, Ukraine is "asking for money" from the West again.
html On the 29th, Ukrainian President Zelensky’s economic adviser Ustenko said that Ukraine’s post-war economic and infrastructure recovery work will require nearly 1 trillion , which is equivalent to Ukraine’s GDP in 5 years, and it was before the war. GDP, calling on the West to provide as much relevant support to Kiev as possible.The implication is that Ukraine hopes that the West can help fund the US$1 trillion in reconstruction funds. Otherwise, Ukraine may not be able to return to the pre-war situation in 10 years, let alone 5 years.
Of course, for the United States and Western countries that have always pursued "interests first," the military aid to Ukraine has not yet been fully settled, and it is tantamount to a fantasy to jointly spend another $1 trillion at this time.
Moreover, it is impossible for Zelensky not to know that his request is "very unrealistic." But since Kiev dares to make demands, it should have thought of countermeasures in advance.
secretly believes that what Ukraine currently wants may be Russian assets frozen by Western countries, as well as Russia's more than 600 billion US dollars in foreign exchange reserves that have also been frozen. All things considered, this is not far from the goal of 1 trillion US dollars.
Therefore, after Ukraine "asks for money", it is indeed possible that the United States, Britain, France, Germany and other countries will "find any reason or excuse" to directly give the frozen Russian assets to Ukraine.
In short, behind Ukraine’s move of “knowing that it cannot do something”, we cannot rule out the possibility of playing a double role with the Western . Of course, Kiev’s intention to “settlement debts” from the West cannot be ruled out. After all, the West bears a large part of the responsibility for the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
As for whether Ukraine can finally get this reconstruction fund, let's wait and see.
Trend 3: At the beginning of the NATO summit, Canada was asked to "withdraw from NATO."
html On the 29th, a large number of anti-war people in Canada suddenly came to the Canadian Ministry of Defense building to hold protests and demonstrations. demanded the Canadian government to withdraw from NATO, believing that NATO is one of the important threats to world peace and human security.In addition, Canadian anti-war organizations also clearly oppose Canada's continued increase in weapons to Ukraine, saying that this will only encourage war and bring suffering to the people in the war zone.
In other words, Canada is asked by its own people to "withdraw from NATO" on the grounds that the existence of NATO seriously threatens world peace.
It is reported that such protests began on June 24 and will continue until the 30th.
In fact, such "protests" do not only exist in Canada. During the G7 summit and the NATO summit, the venues were filled with objections and protests from demonstrators. believed that the G7 and NATO had become a threat to the global order and undermined the global order. The biggest threats and hidden dangers to security.
In short, the international community and the people have sharp eyes. All parties have a clear idea of who is seriously safeguarding peace and who is maliciously fanning the flames and disrupting the regional situation.
Regardless of whether it is the G7 or NATO, if it continues to satisfy its own interests, disregard the safety of all mankind and the stability of the world, and continue to stir up trouble and misbehave around the world, will sooner or later be washed away by the long river of history.
Don't forget, in this world, if you do any injustice, you will be punished., and you will have to pay for it sooner or later. Even the United States is no exception.
