The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has turned into a "protracted war", which is beyond the expectation of many people. Although the Russian army has adjusted its tactics and is fighting steadily, it is not as "dangerous" as it was in the early stages of the war, but this doe

The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has turned into a "protracted war", which is beyond the expectation of many people. Although the Russian army has adjusted its tactics and is fighting steadily, it is not as "dangerous" as it was in the early stages of the war, but this does not mean that Putin does not want to end the fight early. Just recently, there have been constant military interactions between Russia and Belarus. Russian nuclear bombers launched missile strikes against targets in Ukraine in the airspace of Belarus. Putin promised to provide Belarusian brothers with "Islamic missiles" that have both nuclear and conventional capabilities. Kandel tactical missile system, which will allow Belarus to "regain nuclear capabilities."

Regarding the recent close military interactions between Russia and Belarus, the British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) stated that the possibility of the Russian-Belarus coalition "opening up a second front" always exists, and if Belarus really directly participates in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, it is possible This caused the battlefield situation in Ukraine to "change drastically." As we all know, since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Belarus has always maintained a "neutral" posture. Although it verbally supports the Russian army and Putin, it "has not sent troops to actually participate in the conflict." So, why have Russia and Belarus recently been involved in the conflict? The degree of military cooperation has been greatly strengthened, and it is even possible to join hands to open a second front?

On the one hand, the United States and Europe and other countries are already preparing to open a "second battlefield" in the Baltic Sea , specifically in Lithuania and Kaliningrad . Russia and Belarus cannot turn a blind eye. Not long ago, Lithuania suddenly announced that it would ban Russia from transporting various materials to Russia's "enclave" Kaliningrad Oblast on the Baltic Sea through railways and roads in Lithuania. This triggered strong dissatisfaction in Russia. First Vice Chairman of the Russian Federation’s International Affairs Council, Jabarov, said, “Any attempt to separate Russia’s mainland from Kaliningrad will definitely lead to military conflict.” NATO doesn't understand this."

Jabarov warned that Lithuania and Poland "should think twice before making a move" because once a war does break out, "they will be the first countries to become a 'meat grinder'." Medvedev, deputy chairman of the Russian Federal Security Council, also said that Russia's response to Lithuania "will be very tough." As we all know, Lithuania is just a "big nose" country in Europe. The reason why this country dares to provoke Russia is because it is backed and instigated by the United States. The reason why the United States does this is actually to attract Putin's attention. After Russia and Ukraine After the conflict, a second battlefield is opened.

To put it simply, as the Ukrainian army is losing troops on the front line, especially the artillery ammunition is about to run out, the United States is worried that Ukraine may "not be able to hold on". In order to "extend the life" of the Kiev regime, the United States encourages Lithuania to cut off The land line of communication between the Russian mainland and Kaliningrad forced Putin to temporarily focus his attention on the Baltic Sea to "buy time" for Ukraine. Since the United States and Europe are going to reopen "dungeons" and increase the "workload" for Putin, Putin will definitely create some trouble for the United States and Europe. You can open a "second front", but Russia and Belarus cannot open a "second front." "?

In fact, Belarus is indeed making solid preparations for military intervention in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. For example, Belarus announced the establishment of the "Southern Combat Command"; expanded its armed forces from 65,000 to 80,000; and began holding multiple military exercises in June, and the purpose of the exercises is to "transition from peacetime to wartime." . There are various signs that Belarus may send troops to Ukraine in the future. The Uzbek Defense Intelligence Agency stated on the 26th that the Russian "GRU" special forces attempted to create an explosive attack in southern Belarus in order to "frame it on Ukraine" and create an excuse for Belarus to send troops. .

On the other hand, whether Belarus sends troops actually depends entirely on whether Putin needs it, and Putin may be a little unhappy recently because the second phase of the Russian military's military operation "has been delayed for too long." The BBC pointed out that although the Russian army "has made important progress" in the Donbas battlefield, overall, the Russian army's combat operations are still "slow-paced and difficult."At this time, if the Russian-Belarusian coalition forces can open a second front and launch a surprise attack in northern Ukraine, considering that the main force of the Ukrainian army is gathering in Donbass to fight the Russian army, Belarus’s dispatch of troops may become a "thrust" against the Kiev regime. A fatal blow."

BBC’s judgment was supported by another piece of news. According to a report by Phoenix News on June 27, the British “ Daily Telegraph ” pointed out on the 25th that Alexander Devo, the top commander of the Russian military in Ukraine General Nikov "has not appeared in public for more than a month" and was dismissed by Putin "suspected of the slow progress of Russian troops in Donbas". According to the report, if the news of Dvornikov's dismissal is confirmed, it will mark another major adjustment made by the Russian military command, indicating that Putin is "dissatisfied with the war situation."

In addition, Chairman of the Russian Duma Defense Committee Kartapolov announced the Russian army’s “third phase operational goal” on June 1, which is to seize Ukraine’s Kharkiv Oblast and Odessa Oblast. and Nikolaev Oblast . However, one month has passed, and the Russian army has not yet completed the Donbass battle, which indeed may make Putin "not very happy."

It can be said that both the United States and Russia are currently dissatisfied with the current war situation in Ukraine: The United States is worried that the Russian army is making progress and the Ukrainian army "cannot hold on", so it suddenly blocked Kaliningrad to divert Putin's attention; while Russia feels that the fight is steady. It was too slow, so it increased its military interaction with Belarus, using various advanced weapons and even providing nuclear weapons as a "chip" in exchange for Belarus cooperating with the Russian army to send troops to northern Ukraine, and taking advantage of the main force of the Ukrainian army to be attracted by the Russian army. Donbass has the opportunity to launch an offensive from behind.

If Belarus "regains" nuclear capabilities with Putin's help, then even if Belarus sends troops to Ukraine, NATO may not dare to do anything to it. At this time, Lukashenko also wants to understand that if Russia falls, Belarus will Can he still live? Therefore, even if he faces huge internal and external pressure, if Putin requires Belarus to send troops, Lukashenko will most likely agree. If Belarus joins the war, it will not only help accelerate the collapse of the Ukrainian army and the Kiev regime, but will also likely resolve the blockade of the Kaliningrad state by the United States and NATO countries.

Because there is a "Suwalki Corridor" of about 60 kilometers between Kaliningrad Oblast and Belarus, Putin can ask Belarus to block this narrow corridor, then not only Lithuania's land connection with NATO will be cut off, but also Lithuania's land connection with NATO will be cut off. Estonia , Latvia 's land connections with NATO will also be cut off, which is a "reverse general" to NATO. NATO wanted to cut off Russia's connection with its European "enclaves". As a result, the connection between NATO and three member states was "cut off" by Russia and Belarus. It is not certain who is stuck. Therefore, Russia and Belarus Cooperation has the effect of “killing two birds with one stone”.