Unconsciously, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has entered its fifth month. This "special military operation" carried out by the Russian army in Ukraine not only affected both parties in Russia and Ukraine, but also had a major impact on people around the world, such as rising energy prices, rising food prices, inflation wait. As a result, many European people have changed their previous attitude of supporting their respective governments in providing military assistance to Ukraine, hoping to end this crisis as soon as possible. However, the months-long war has shown no signs of ending. When will the Russia-Ukraine conflict end? Some recent statements and small details from Russia and Ukraine may allow everyone to think about it.
In recent times, Russia, including Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov , Defense Minister Shoigu and Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Zakharova , have constantly reiterated that Russia must achieve the ultimate victory of the "special military operation". . Russian President Putin also personally stated his position recently, saying that the goals of military operations in Ukraine "have not changed at all." He said tactics for military operations in Ukraine may differ, with how troops deployed and targets determined to be determined by the Defense Ministry. But he also said that the Russian army’s “ultimate goal is to liberate Donbass, protect the people there, and create conditions to ensure Russia’s own security.”
This shows that the Russian side has indeed changed from the high-level aspects of the tactics of rapid advancement and direct access to Kiev in the early stages of the war, and instead adopted the proven and effective method of attacking steadily and step by step. More importantly, it is basically confirmed that Russia has given up its goal of overthrowing the Kiev authorities and has instead gained absolute control of the Donbass region and eliminated the possibility of Ukraine joining NATO .
The "ultimate goal" expressed by Putin is actually close to being achieved. The entire Donbas region is now almost under the control of the Russian army. Only a small area is still contested. However, the Russian army is gradually pushing forward the front. It is only a matter of time before it takes over the entire Donbas region, and it will be in the short term. It was captured within a short period of time, and the Ukrainian army was unable to stop the Russian army's advance. As for the issue of Ukraine joining NATO, it has long been rejected by NATO. Ukraine must also be aware of it and will no longer fantasize about it.
So, from Russia's perspective, the conditions under which they feel they can stop are almost reached. All that remains is to see the reaction of Ukraine.
As for Ukraine, in addition to actively engaging in peace talks with Russia at the beginning of the war, Ukrainian President Zelensky’s attitude has been very tough in the past two months or so. However, no matter how hard you are, you still need to have "iron" within yourself. With the consumption of the war, the Ukrainian army's heavy weapons consumption is huge, and it is very dependent on military assistance from NATO countries.
But among the NATO countries, except for the slightly larger support from the United States, the others are just a drop in the bucket. For example, the self-propelled howitzer and other heavy artillery that Ukraine needs very much. European countries can only have one for you and a few for me. Donate. From the perspective of our great country, this is simply stinginess. It does not look like assistance, but seems to be humiliating people. Moreover, these limited weapons aids have been intensively tracked and attacked by the Russian army in recent times. Many of them have been turned into cannon fodder before they even have time to enter the battlefield. So much so that Zelensky had to lament that he had to keep collecting arms every day when he opened his eyes.
On the other hand, although Zelensky has been demonstrating his tough attitude towards Russia, at the same time, he has also been calling for a direct interview with Russian President Putin. However, due to his previous "bad credit record", he has been He was ignored by Russia and failed to establish a direct communication channel with Putin. And just on June 30, he wrote a letter to Putin through Indonesian President Joko Widodo, who is about to hold this year's G20 summit.
Although I don’t know what is written in this letter, whether it is this letter or Zelensky’s expected interview with Putin, it is impossible to criticize Russia or Putin. Just do these unnecessary things on social media and in front of the camera for Western countries and their own people to see. Therefore, Zelensky must have expressed his intention to end this conflict.
If the Russian side feels that Zelensky has shown sufficient sincerity in his letter, it cannot be ruled out that the negotiation teams of both parties will resume peace talks in the near future. However, the United States and some other European countries obviously do not want to see this scene, such as , Lithuania, , such as the United Kingdom, and so on. If Zelensky can withstand the pressure from the United States, a more optimistic estimate is that the war will end even this summer vacation.
Of course, the battlefield is the negotiation ground, and the results of the victory are the bargaining chips on the negotiation table. Even if peace talks are resumed, the battlefield will continue to be filled with smoke and even more intense artillery fire in the near future. But we all hope that when autumn comes, this war will end like falling leaves.
