Starting from June 28, two batches of relief supplies worth 50 million yuan from China to aid Afghanistan have been or will soon be sent to Afghanistan. This is the first time that China's Y-20 transport aircraft has arrived in Afghanistan, and it is also another China's mission to Afghanistan. Humanitarian aid .
After the Taliban seized power, the situation in Afghanistan is still very bad, because the Taliban currently lacks sufficient control capabilities and is also very short of materials and funds for post-war reconstruction. The current earthquake disaster is just one of the many crises faced by the Taliban. How to feed 40 million Afghans when external aid is cut off is still a very complicated task for the Afghan Taliban.
The previous Afghan government was essentially a dependent institution that relied on US aid. During the more than 20 years of Afghan war, the original Afghan government was lackluster in terms of political order and lacked effective grassroots governance. This disorganized state was directly exposed with the withdrawal of US troops. The Taliban was able to sweep the country within a month, which is precisely a reflection of the collective powerlessness of the original Afghan government. On the contrary, the Afghan Taliban can quickly seize power. The core advantage is that it is firmly embedded in Afghanistan's grassroots society and has sufficient control capabilities. Judging from the current situation, the Taliban is still the only political group capable of controlling the entire country of Afghanistan. Judging from the situation after the Taliban took power, they did not have much problem maintaining basic order.
However, the Taliban's current governance measures are far from efficient. The Taliban is not a strictly disciplined political organization, but closer to a loose tribal alliance. There are many intellectual elites with overseas study background among the Taliban's top leaders, but there are also a large number of religious conservatives. The Taliban's current policies are neither fast nor often conservative. It should be said that China and other neighboring countries are still not satisfied and feel reassured. Governance is much more complex than simply maintaining basic social order, and the Taliban are not yet mature enough to provide a complete and widely accepted political solution.
But in this case, China must maintain good contact with the Taliban. Because if Afghanistan continues to be in chaos, various religious forces, tribal forces, and international terrorist forces will still make a comeback in the power vacuum. By then, they will have a huge impact on Central Asia, northern Pakistan, and , and have a huge impact on China's Xinjiang Autonomous Region Governance, China-Pakistan Economic Corridor , and the Belt and Road Initiative pose more serious challenges. Afghanistan is the geographical center and crossroads of the Eurasian continent. Although a large number of empires have come and gone in history, the radiating power of security risks caused by Afghanistan's power vacuum cannot be underestimated at any historical moment.
Obviously, the U.S.’s full troop withdrawal also intends to turn Afghanistan into a security black hole. They have no interest in the reconstruction of Afghanistan and even froze Afghanistan’s funds in the United States in order to make it difficult for the Taliban to govern Afghanistan and create a new geopolitical shock. belt, in order to leverage the security issues in northwest China, eastern Iran, southern Central Asia, and northwest South Asia. Among them, inhibiting China's ability to adopt effective governance in the Xinjiang Autonomous Region and constraining China's construction of the Overland Silk Road Economic Belt will undoubtedly become a good tool to contain China.
Therefore, China, as its neighbor, should still directly help the Taliban when it needs it. On the one hand, this can alleviate the humanitarian disaster in Afghanistan, and on the other hand, it can also establish more channels of cooperation with the Taliban, paving the way for more channels of influence in the future. China does not interfere in internal affairs, but it is clear that the Taliban's current conservative ideas still do not serve China's interests. What China needs is more encouragement for the Taliban's progressive policies, while many conservative ideas originating from nomadic tribes cannot be supported by performance. Rationally speaking, the Taliban needs governance performance so that it can gain a foothold in Afghanistan, which is inherently loose, and the Afghan people also need a government that is sufficient to provide basic governance to get rid of poverty and provide food and clothing.
A stable Afghanistan is not in the interest of the United States, but it is in the interest of China and all neighboring countries of Afghanistan. The development direction of Afghanistan is still unclear. At this time, China provides important assistance and uses these bottom-line and positive influences to What should be done is to encourage the Taliban to gradually clarify its direction.
Afghanistan's strategic significance to China is growing, this is clear. The intersection is unstable and any transportation line will be affected. China wants to open up the transportation line in the center of Asia and Europe, and Afghanistan is an impossible place to bypass. Creative intervention is necessary, and as Chinese people who have just had enough to eat, we may understand the real needs of developing countries better. This is an advantage that needs to be fully utilized.
