Human beings' joys and sorrows are not the same. Today's United States and Western countries are typical of "watching the excitement without taking it too seriously." However, Russia and Ukraine , which are deeply mired in war, are in trouble one after another, and each has its own difficulties.
1. Russia may face the problem of insufficient military strength.
html On June 27, a draft discussed in Russia caused speculation from the outside world that Russia may face the problem of insufficient military strength. The purpose of the draft is to expand the number of people serving in the military. According to the Russian "Independent" report, the chairman of the Central Committee of the Russian Military Union also admitted that "it is becoming difficult to rely on the troops that have been invested to promote special operations."In fact, as early as June 14, according to Global Network report, Zelensky had stated that the Russian army was facing the difficulty of insufficient reserve troops . Judging from Russia’s official statement this time, Zelensky’s words are not unfounded. The Russian army is indeed encountering manpower difficulties.
The author believes that if the Russia-Ukraine conflict fails to find a breakthrough in the summer, it will inevitably enter the " Vietnam War " mode. Then Russia will definitely invest a lot of manpower and material resources . Just refer to the United States back then. .
Therefore, whether it is to meet the needs of the current stage of combat, or to avoid being overwhelmed by the war after entering the "Vietnam War" mode, the proposal of this draft is a necessary and helpless measure for to prevent problems before they occur .
2, Zelensky changed his tune and said he wanted a ceasefire before winter.
Ukraine is also worried. Zelensky changed his previous statement that "the war can last for ten years" and said that he hopes that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will cease at the end of the year.
According to Reference Network’s report on June 28, Zelenskiy participated in the G7 summit via video on the 27th and expressed the hope of receiving your “strong support” so that Ukraine can end its war with Russia before the winter comes at the end of the year.
It can be seen that Zelensky also wanted to end the battle quickly, but he did not choose a peaceful way. If does not choose peace talks, it will be a matter of "God willing" when the war will end.
The dominant side can be either the Russian army, which is constantly adjusting its tactics, or the Ukrainian army, which is supported by Western weapons. Peace will become elusive.
3, West: Keep fighting.
Different from the "entanglement" and "embarrassment" of Russia and Ukraine, Western countries are more like guests sitting in the audience, constantly betting with their weapons, betting on the "Western" that needs to be exchanged for the blood of Russian and Ukrainian soldiers and people. The glory of ".
According to a report from Reference Network on June 28, U.S. President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs Sullivan told the media while in Germany, “We confirm that the assistance plan has entered the final stage, including advanced prevention and control systems.”
Britain even stated that it has entered a "combat readiness state" to face the Russian threat. According to the British "Daily Telegraph" report, The Chief of Staff of the British Army said that the United Kingdom is facing the "1937 moment" and must be prepared to "fight and win."
1937 is the time of World War II . The British used this metaphor. Firstly, it may be to highlight the "big threat" faced by Western countries and to build momentum for strengthening armaments; secondly, it may also be to tell Russia that the West The West is not afraid of the "Third World War" and is using this to frighten Moscow.
The British approach is really disappointing! What Europe should do is to regain its senses and assist Russia-Ukraine negotiations, instead of "stoking fire". After all, it has also "suffered eight thousand losses".
Finally, what do you think?
1, Russia will definitely take measures.
Faced with Ukraine's determination to fight and the West's "warring", Russia must have taken measures.
According to the Russian "Independent" report on June 27, Russia has added a new combat base and used Russian Tu-22M3 bombers to launch cruise missiles from Belarus to Ukraine.
This move by Russia is not simple. It at least shows that Russia has anticipated the possibility of Ukrainian retaliation on its own territory. It can be said that the battlefield has expanded.
andPutinAfter convincing Belarusian President Lukashenko, Belarus is expected to provide troops to alleviate Russia's shortage of troops.
2. The battlefield plays a decisive role.
In the end, the ending depends on the actual performance of on the battlefield. Let’s see who can hold on, who can hold up well, and who can seize the advantage in key battles, otherwise everything will be empty talk!
In short, both Russia and Ukraine, as well as the United States and the West, have the responsibility to prevent the war from turning into a "Vietnam War" model. Instead of focusing on how to win the war, they must have a high strategic vision!
