One wave of unrest and another wave!
At the moment, the international situation is turbulent, just as Russian President Putin said: "Today's situation, is just like the eve of World War II! " The more critical the moment, the more we cannot ignore the 2strong turbulence of important countries.
On October 12, there were three major events in the world, 6 countries including the United States, Russia, France, Germany, Japan and South Korea are deeply involved!
Let’s talk about Japan first.
On the 12th local time, during the debate in the Japanese parliament, the new prime minister Fumio Kishida solemnly stated: “Japan’s sovereignty covers the Northern Territory and must resolve territorial issues and not leave the issue to future generations. ”
And this is the second time reiterated the position of the Japanese government on this issue after Fumio Kishida came to power. Earlier, in his policy speech on October 8, he emphasized that the prerequisite for the conclusion of a peace treaty between Russia and Japan is to resolve territorial ownership first.
Now, it seems that Russia and Japan regarding the Northern Territory (Russian " South Kuril Islands ") issue, I am afraid that will not be able to get better in a short time. After all, although the two sides have a consensus to sign a peace treaty,But refused to give up on the preconditions.
In this regard, briefly talk about 3 points.
First, due to the toughness of the new Japanese cabinet, Russia is also very vigilant.
In the past few days, Russian Pacific Fleet conducted live-fire exercises in the Sea of Japan area, not only dispatched the flagship "Varyag", but also launched supersonic missiles . It can be seen that at this sensitive point in time, Russia’s warning of deterrence Japan’s meaning is obvious.
Second, although Japan dare not actively escalate disputes, there will be no small actions.
On the 11th, Japan Cultural Affairs Agency revealed that a communication cable transfer station that was used by to contact and four northern islands will be registered by the government as a tangible cultural heritage building , the relevant procedures are currently in progress.
In the final analysis, the disputed territory between Russia and Japan is currently under the control of Russia, and the Japanese side also dare not stage a "sand landing" drama . Therefore, the "historical ownership" is the only card that the Japanese government can play .
Thirdly, as far as the Japanese government is concerned, the issue of territorial disputes between Russia and Japan is gradually becoming a show tool.
As the saying goes, does not listen to what a person says, but depends on what a person does . For ordinary people, this is the best criterion for to judge a politician . But obviously, Japanese politicians still talked more about and did less .
In fact, in the recent few prime ministers of Japan, only Abe Shinzo and Putin's talks in 2018 won the best interests Japan can fight for: returns the two islands, jointly develops, and concludes a peace treaty.
For this reason, Abe and Putin met more than 20 times . In contrast, Yoshihide Suga was in office, but never visited Russia .
It is for this reason that Putin regrets to say: On the issue of territorial disputes between Russia and Japan, is still "staying in situ" .
And when it comes to Russia , we have to mention yesterday’s call between the heads of Russia, France and Germany .
Just yesterday, Russian President Putin , French President Macron , German Chancellor Merkel ,The leaders of the three major powers talked on the phone together, mainly discussing the issue of Ukraine .
The focus of the conversation is that the three parties believe that the Ukraine conflict 's coordination process is too slow , and emphasized that the three parties of will further strengthen the negotiation . Among them, Putin pointed out the source of the problem, that is, the Ukrainian government evaded responsibility and violated its promise .
Of course, the framework is still the "Normandy model" . Moreover, the conflict between Uzbekistan and East is complicated, and it is necessary for the three parties to consider how to hold a leader summit. Speaking of, the last time the "Normandy model" four-nation summit was held was in 2019.
Since then, the new summit has been delayed until in April this year, the situation in Udong area became tense again. 's behind-the-scenes was just a few months after came to power. US President Biden.
And now, nearly 4 months have passed since Putin and Biden met for the first time, and the second "Pubai meeting" is also coming soon. What will happen to the situation in Udon, once again affects the eyes of the world.
At such a sensitive moment, the leaders of Russia, France and Germany talked on the phone "privately". Among them, there are three key points of cannot be ignored.
First, the "Normandy model" is clearly a four-party talk, but this call is not Ukraine.
Obviously, on the issue of Ukraine, Russia, France and Germany have reached a consensus, and has no room for Ukraine to intervene . It has to be said that "weak countries have no diplomacy" is indeed the most plausible saying. Ukraine has abolished martial arts and is economically backward . At present, can only act in the eyes of big countries.
Second, the relationship between Russia and France and Germany is picking up compared to earlier this year.
In early February of this year, Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov even said: "Russia is ready to sever relations with the EU." Since then, NATO has been tough on Ukraine, and the EU has been Belarus. The sanctions imposed by further deteriorated the relations between Russia and Europe.
However, now that France and Germany, as the "two carriages" of the European Union, can communicate with Russia friendly, this means that "Biden era" EU-Russian relations will usher in a stable signal for the first time .
Of course, there may also be Russia increasing its contribution to Europe’s natural gas supply and easing the European energy crisis .
third,Unlike Russia, France and Germany, the United States has received Russia’s "dismissal".
You should know that when Putin was talking on the phone with Macron and Merkel, the US Deputy Secretary of State Newland finally set foot on the Russian territory . In fact, the White House revealed the news of her visit to Russia as early as the end of last month.
The reason is very simple. Due to Newland’s “anti-Russian” position, Russia added her name to the sanctions list when reciprocally sanctioning the United States. Therefore, it was not until the United States recently lifted the sanctions on a Russian citizen that Newland was allowed to visit Russia at the last minute .
I have to say that compared to Russia’s treatment of France and Germany’s , the treatment the United States has received this time is not the usual .
It is worth mentioning that this US Deputy Secretary of State, known as "female Pompeo " , used to serve as US ambassador to NATO . In 2014, she paid a lot of effort for the "color revolution" in Ukraine.
Finally, let’s talk about the recent troubles in the United States.
A few days ago, according to the South Korean police report, 2 US troops stationed in South Korea made trouble on the streets of the South Korean capital.After the incident, was arrested by the South Korean police , and is currently handed over to the U.S. Gendarmerie by .
It can be seen from the live video that the two US troops stationed in South Korea provoked the first and bent the rearview mirror of a passing car. The South Korean driver who got off the bus was beaten a lot by the US troops stationed in South Korea.
It is worth noting that one of the troubled US troops in South Korea was injured and holding a wine bottle smashed the wine bottle directly at the car during the conflict. Obviously, this is another "US troops stationed in South Korea making trouble after drinking" incident.
Speaking of which, "likes" drunken trouble , the US military stationed in South Korea is nothing new in South Korea.
Just in June this year, two US troops in South Korea ran into a Korean woman because of drunk driving a electric skateboard . But after the accident, the two ran away directly from , and were finally captured by the police and handed over to the U.S. military police.
And this set of common procedures has repeatedly caused dissatisfaction among South Korean public opinion. Some people said that should deport the US troops stationed in South Korea . Some people said that the South Korean government should revise the unequal agreement with the US military .
But apparently, these calls did not get a response from the Korean government. After all, as long as the US military stationed in Korea is still in Korea for one day, "Status of Forces Agreement in Korea" will always work.
And if the South Korean police want to continue to detain US troops in South Korea, then only if the latter commits 12 vicious crimes such as homicide, rape, drug trafficking, and assault to death, can they not have to hand it over to the U.S. military police. .
I have to say that in exchange for the armed asylum of the US military in South Korea, the Korean people are really and have suffered too much humiliation .
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