The most important international security forum in the world, the "Munich Security Conference" in Germany, will be unveiled on the 19th, and US President Biden will also attend. Conference Chairman Wolfgang Ischinger warned that the most likely hot spot for military conflicts in the world is the Taiwan Strait, calling on European and American countries to strengthen coordination with China as soon as possible. why? What is the difference between the chairman’s thinking and our analysis? The following is a detailed analysis of Qin'an Strategic Think Tank.
1. The Munich Conference is an important "weathervane" for the relevant policy positions of European and American countries. The chairman of this conference released the conference hot spots ahead of schedule
The Munich Security Conference, founded in 1963, attracts more than 70 people every year The participation of the country’s heads of state, dignitaries, members of parliament, business leaders and the media has been hailed as the "Davos Forum in the field of diplomacy and defense", which has appeared in mid-February every year for more than 50 years. Senior officials and experts from various countries clarified their positions and exchanged views on major international security issues. There will be no resolutions or declarations after the meeting. However, this meeting has always been an important "weathervane" for observing the relevant policy positions of European and American countries.
At last year's meeting, the Speaker of the US House of Representatives Pelosi and former US Secretary of State Pompeo, who had no bottom line, all appeared to discredit China, and even threatened allies such as Germany to prevent Huawei product sales. Ms. Fu Ying, the former Vice Minister of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China, gave a rebuttal on the spot, reflecting her own elegance and Chinese demeanor, which greatly boosted the aspirations of the Chinese people.
This meeting has not yet started. The chairman of the "Munich Security Conference" warned that Taiwan Strait has become the most likely area for military conflicts in the world. It is equivalent to predicting the hot spots of the meeting in advance. In particular, Biden's personal participation in the meeting will clearly explain his position on the Taiwan Strait issue and is also a touchstone for testing whether he adheres to the "one China principle."
2. The chairman of the Munich Conference emphasized that the most likely hot spot for military conflicts in the world is the Taiwan Strait.Mainly consider European and American coordination and self-interest
"Munich Security Conference" Chairman's talk shows two implications. On the one hand, express the European position and strengthen coordination between Europe and the United States: Europe must intervene, and Europe and the United States must agree. He said that Europe cannot sit back and watch what is happening on the other side of the world. Once the conflict between Taiwan and Mainland China escalates, the United States may send aircraft carriers to the South China Sea as a "co-defense" of Taiwan, and mainland China may join forces with Russia to prevent the United States from entering East Asia. Will cause Europe to be involved in conflict.
On the other hand, it considers the impact on its interests after the tension with China, and requires restraint from all parties. The chairman pointed out that in addition to the military level, if a conflict breaks out between the two sides of the strait, the German automobile manufacturing industry will also be severely affected. Therefore, Isinger called on European countries to pay more attention to regional security in Asia and asked all parties in the South China Sea to exercise restraint. He pointed out that the priority of trans-Atlantic countries is to coordinate more with China.
3. At present, the most likely hot spot for military conflicts in the world is the Taiwan Strait. There are four reasons. China’s determination to maintain national unity remains unchanged and its capabilities continue to improve
Taiwan is called There are several reasons for the areas where military conflicts are most likely to erupt in the world. First, the Tsai Ing-wen authorities abandoned the "92 Consensus" and moved on the road of accelerated splitting, attempting to resist reunification with force, especially the perverse practices during the epidemic, which greatly hurt the feelings of more than 1.4 billion Chinese people; second, the United States violated the " The three Sino-US Joint Communiqués continue to sell weapons to Taiwan, especially the Trump government has stepped up its efforts to encourage the "Taiwan independence" forces to become rampant and intensify military confrontation through visits to Taiwan by high-ranking officials and the sale of offensive weapons; Followers of the United States, such as the Czech Republic and Australia, joined the ranks of supporters of "Taiwan independence", further exacerbating the risks in the Taiwan Strait.
Fourth reason,It is The People's Liberation Army The unchanging determination to maintain national unity and the ever-increasing comprehensive strength and military capabilities. In fact, the mainland has always had the utmost goodwill and has never given up its efforts for peaceful reunification. This is the choice that is most conducive to the fundamental interests of the Chinese nation. The mainland even abolished the regulations on rewards for Taiwan military officers and soldiers and established China’s peaceful reunification. Promotion Association. But everything has a bottom line. The 1.4 billion Chinese people and the Chinese People’s Liberation Army absolutely cannot allow Taiwan to separate from the motherland.
The Chinese people are not warlike. The few wars after the founding of the People’s Republic of China were all self-defense fights under the circumstances of unbearable circumstances; the Chinese people are not afraid of war, and the People’s Republic of China can be ready to advance as soon as it is founded. The United States and other 16-nation coalition forces started war; the mainland has always had the utmost goodwill towards Taiwan compatriots. Taking military actions against Taiwan is a must to maintain national unity. The more rampant the "Taiwan independence" forces, the more intense the foreign intervention, and the intensity of the PLA's military operations. The bigger it is!
China must be unified, and it must be unified. This is not only the spirit of struggle, but also the skill of struggle, which is indispensable!
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