Recently, the preliminary preparations for the US midterm election have basically been completed, and the camps of both sides have been finalized. If nothing unexpected happens, the two sides will start to compete for the basic balance of the 2024 US election on the first Tuesday of November.
Recently, many friends have asked us in the background, what is the US midterm election? Is there any impact on immigration to the United States? Here Xiaohuan will make it clear to you that the midterm election will not only have no bad impact on immigration to the United States, but will also be more conducive to immigration to the United States.
Why do you say so? Let’s first look at the midterm elections. The period in the midterm elections refers to . The presidential term of the United States is four years. Every newly elected president or newly elected president has a large-scale election when the four-year term is about halfway through, and this election is called the midterm election.
More simply, the so-called "midterm election" is to re-elect some governors and lawmakers, and obtain more seats through various means to ensure that the Democratic Party or the Republican Party candidates can win the next presidential election.
Why do we say that after the midterm election, the ways and methods of immigrating to the United States will be more flexible?
Looking at the red and blue states in 2020, we will find that the closer we are to the Midwest, the more conservative they are, and support the Republican Party, because the Midwest states are basically industrial states. In the industrial field, the high labor costs and transportation costs of the United States cannot compete with the countries of the cheapest price of Third World , which is also anti-globalization;
On the contrary, the closer the coastal areas, the more support the Democratic Party, because the coastal areas are distributed with a large number of high-paying technology industries and biopharmaceutical industry . The development of the industry requires the support of the world market and the absorption of global talents. The Democratic Party is the one who is more likely to benefit from globalization, because coastal areas are more likely to benefit from globalization.
Then we can draw a very accurate conclusion that the Democratic Party represents globalization and an open attitude, while the Republican Party is the opposite. The same is true in fact. The immigration reform bill introduced by Biden after taking office will provide an eight-year naturalization path for about 11 million immigrants without legal status, and also include measures such as expanding the scope of refugee reception and using technology to patrol the border.
This completely reversed the previous harsh immigration policy during Trump's administration. Directly issue US green cards to PhDs in STEM. This new policy may also expand beyond STEM majors, such as a PhD in Social Sciences, and submit country restrictions to Congress to cancel the green card for professional immigration.
At present, Chinese applicants for occupational type green card have to face a long waiting time (ranging from 4 to 7 years). Once the bill passes, it will eliminate the long waiting time for immigration, and the new law may shorten the waiting period to one year or six months.
But things went against my expectations. Biden entered the White House happened to be in the worst period of the overseas epidemic. The Immigration Bureau and The US Consulate are in a state of stopping work. At the same time, although the Democratic and Republican parties have reached a consensus on the amount of the fiscal budget in 2021, they have made some mistakes in the specific allocation.
Then the US Congress still cannot reach an agreement, so the US government will face the "closing" crisis again. Although the "closing" crisis has been temporarily overcome with the efforts of Congress, the promotion of various work has been affected to varying degrees, and Biden's immigration reform plan has also progressed slowly.
However, the dilemma faced by the Democratic Party in the midterm elections forced it to advance the immigration reform process to deal with the crisis. First, the Federal Reserve introduced a series of extraordinary quantitative easing monetary policies to deal with the economic difficulties after the outbreak of the epidemic. This time node happened to be in the period when Trump stepped down and Biden was in power.
A large number of dollars poured into society, making the wealth of the rich stronger, while the wealth of ordinary Americans began to dilute, which aroused dissatisfaction among the people. At the same time, the Federal Reserve, as the " central bank " of the United States, is independent of the existence of the US government, and the Democratic Party cannot interfere with the Federal Reserve's monetary policy through government orders.
Secondly, affected by the Russian-Ukrainian war, global energy market prices rose, while the United States, affected by the shale gas revolution, has completed the transformation from an energy importer to a major energy exporter, and industrial energy states in the central and western regions have benefited from this, and the Republican Party's strength has greatly enhanced. At the same time, the United States' economic sanctions on Russian countries have exacerbated the turmoil in the world's supply chain and further exacerbated the trend of inflation. Republicans will severely attack the Democratic Party based on this point.
Democrats can only choose to speed up immigration application steps and simplify the application process, and absorb more new American citizens to dilute the power to fight against the Republican Party. We all know that after obtaining permanent residence , individuals have the status of American citizens, but when they retain their Chinese citizenship, they have no right to vote or the right to be elected. Only when naturalized as a U.S. citizen can you have the right to vote and be elected.
And for the Democratic Party, the decline in the midterm election seems to be irreversible, and the domestic support rate is not optimistic about democracy. How to stabilize the basic foundation of the US election two years later, the Democratic Party has begun to send hopes to US immigration.
And the pace of the Democratic Party is also accelerating. New York City will soon vote on a bill that allows non-citizens to vote in local elections. This measure was supported by Eric Adams, the elected mayor, and perhaps by 2024, US green card holders have the right to vote, and may also be able to immigrate to the United States.
Source: WeChat public account EB1A Talent Immigration Service Zhonghuan International Official Website
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