Recently, the US presidential election has attracted much attention. Biden has announced his victory, but Trump has not admitted that he lost the election and may file a lawsuit against the election. In this regard, many think tanks in Australia have written analysis and believe that although the voter turnout in the US general election has reached a record high, the election results clearly show that the US society is unprecedentedly divided. At present, the United States is still facing many thorny issues such as the raging epidemic, economic recession, and decline in international influence. If Biden is elected, he will face multiple challenges in foreign policy.
Biden’s "Top Priority"
Australia East Asia Forum website recently published an article entitled "After the US election, a divided big country will still be difficult to lead", saying that for Biden, its first task is to deal with the domestic crisis: prevent and control the epidemic , Restarting the economy, stabilizing employment, reorganizing government agencies, etc., try to bridge internal differences. However, in the absence of an overwhelming victory and the Republican Party may control the Senate, Biden will struggle to reorganize the politically "fragmented" United States. The
article believes that in the context of multiple challenges facing the world in health, economy, and environment, the solution should come from the external environment rather than the United States itself. Therefore, for Biden, turning his attention to the world may be a relative shortcut. The article believes that Trump's "America First" policy has alienated the US from its allies and undermined multilateral cooperation. If Biden is elected, he will be committed to restoring relations with allies, re-participating in multilateral cooperation, and gaining external forces to achieve his goals in the wider world. In the article “Can Biden lay the foundation for the renewal of American leadership”,
Australia’s Roy Institute for International Policy pointed out that Biden may lead the United States back to its traditional foreign policy after World War II. Shaping American leadership will be its biggest challenge. and this depends largely on how he judges the Democratic Party’s increasingly radical internal debates about the state of the world.
may adopt a “moderation” policy towards the Asia-Pacific
East Asia Forum website analyzed in another article entitled "The Impact of Biden’s Victory on the Asia-Pacific Region" that Biden may continue to a large extent Trump’s Asia-Pacific policy, but the approach may be more moderate and pragmatic. The
article predicts that in the Asia-Pacific region, Biden will seek to strengthen alliances with Japan, South Korea, and Australia. Regarding relations with China, Biden may be more cautious on economic, trade, and technical issues, while at the same time making selective contacts on issues such as global health and the environment. In the "Indo-Pacific strategy," Biden may place more emphasis on regional diplomacy. The article believes that without strong economic support, the "Indo-Pacific Strategy" will be hollow and unsustainable. Therefore, Biden is likely to consider returning to TPP conditionally. The
article analyzes that although Biden has served on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and has extensive diplomatic experience, his policy leeway will be constrained by domestic differences. It remains to be seen whether the United States can restore its leadership position. The article published on the website of the East Asia Forum pointed out that, compared to Trump, Biden will not pursue an ambitious global strategy. Supporting Biden to strive for external forces to achieve global goals may be the only remaining bipartisan consensus in the United States. However, because the United States has already over-expanded worldwide, Biden’s "internationalization" foreign policy is not the "10,000" to save the United States' global leadership Panacea".
According to the current situation of the US government, the Lowy Institute for International Policy has analyzed that the next few weeks will be filled with speculation that "Biden will take action to abolish Trump's policy." At home, Biden has stated that he will carry out actions to prevent and control the epidemic. However, in terms of foreign policy of , other countries will pay more attention to "whether" or "how" the United States will "return to the center of the world."
Former Chief Economist of the World Bank: Reinvigorating the World Bank should pay attention to four priorities
Center for Strategic and International Issues Research: The United States should adopt a smarter national economic policy
US Think Tank: The expansion of the epidemic is losing momentum to the US economic recovery
Edit | Li Sai
Review| Yang Sihan Feng Lingyi
Final Review| Liu Hua
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