Author of this article: Nanshan Passerby
The debate on whether Russia will use nuclear weapons has not yet subsided. This week, new doubts emerged in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Russia and the West broke out in a verbal battle over the allegations that Ukraine intends to drop dirty bombs on the battlefield, and even quarreled with Security Council .
According to Global Network , on the 24th, Russia's permanent joint representative to Nebian Jia sent a letter to UN Security Council , demanding that Ukraine's "dirty bomb" doubts be discussed on the 25th.
Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov said that Russia has practical and reliable evidence that Ukraine may use dirty bombs.
The allegation originated from a phone call between Russian Defense Minister Shoigu and the defense ministers of France, Britain and Turkey on the 23rd.
On the same day, Shoigu accused Ukraine of intending to drop dirty bombs on the battlefield, but the defense ministers of Britain and France refused to recognize the Russian accusations. The United States, Britain and France subsequently issued a joint statement accusing it of false propaganda by Russia and Russia intends to escalate the conflict.
the same day Ukrainian President Zelensky refuted the Russian accusations, saying that if Russia says what Ukraine intends to do, it means that Russia is ready for everything it says.
24 Russian Defense Minister Shoigu had a rare call with US Secretary of Defense Austin, and then senior generals from Russia, the United States and the United Kingdom spoke on the phone. Russian Chief of Staff Gerasimov expressed Russian concerns to US Joint Joint Conference Chairman Mili and British Defense Minister Ladakin. The United States and Britain agreed to maintain channels open with Russia to reduce the risk of misjudgment and urged the situation to be downgraded.
It is worth noting that when the West hyped Russia's plan to use nuclear weapons, Russia and the West had not had such frequent high-level calls. However, after Russia exposed that Ukraine planned to create dirty bombs, several calls from the three defense ministers undoubtedly added a shadow to the tense situation.
Dirty bombs are an attractive option for countries that require weapons of mass destruction. The manufacturing of dirty bombs does not require advanced technology like nuclear weapons. It only requires a certain amount of radioactive material and carrier tools. For example, using missile as a carrier is enough to create dirty bombs. The warhead of the
missile or shell is used to maximize the spread of radioactive materials. Although this method is extremely primitive, the spilled radioactive substances, especially the elements of half-life over a hundred or even millennium, will pose a threat to the health of generations and pollute local soil and water sources.
According to Kirillov, commander of the Russian Three Defense Forces, since the Soviet era, Ukraine has stored abundant radioactive materials, and it can produce dirty bombs with a slight transformation.
Kirillov pointed out that a uranium processing plant in Dnepropetrovsk Prefecture and a uranium salt chemical plant in Dneproderiansk City have mining and uranium enrichment technology, and there are at least 40 million tons of radioactive solid waste in the local uranium mine.
3 three nuclear power plants controlled by Ukraine also have radioactive substances that can be used to make "dirty bombs". The nuclear fuel storage pool contains 15,000 tons of enriched uranium.
In addition, the research on nuclear isotopes of radioactive matters, which have participated in the Soviet nuclear program in recent years, has never stopped. Therefore, Kirillov believes that Ukraine's dirty bomb manufacturing has entered its final stage.
Shoigu once warned the West during the call that if Ukraine detonates dirty bombs, radioactive materials spreading in the atmosphere will cover the entire Polish . Russia will regard Ukraine's use of dirty bombs as an act of nuclear terrorism.
According to reports from Russia and Western media, the two sides have rarely reached a consensus on Ukraine's ability to create dirty bombs, but Russian media and Western media have different opinions on whether Ukraine will use dirty bombs.
Russian media believes that there should be reason to believe that Ukraine will use dirty bombs.
Russian News Agency said that as early as February 19, Zelensky said at the European Security Conference that Kiev reserves the right to restore the nuclear capability to combat . In the past month, he has been asking Western countries to launch a preemptive nuclear strike against Russia. Although the West rejected Zelensky's request, the Russian News Agency believes that Zelensky's hatred of Russia led to his desire to launch the nuclear war at all costs.
The current battlefield situation will also require Kyiv to do so. After the Ukrainian army won the Kharkiv area, the large-scale advancement of the troops stagnated, such as near Luhansk , Khelsson and Nikolayev .
Kiev is very clear that as the Russian army mobilized its forces to the front line, the Ukrainian army would suffer catastrophic losses every step forward, especially Ukraine intends to regain Zaporo thermonuclear power plant and Khlsong by this winter. So Kiev must hurry up and drag NATO into the battlefield. Simulating nuclear strikes against Russia may be the fastest way, otherwise NATO will not respond.
Many Western media believe that this is just an information war initiated by Russia.
The Washington War Institute believes that Shoigu intends to intimidate Western countries to slow down or reduce assistance to Ukraine.
On the one hand, Russia and Ukraine have recently gathered heavy troops in Khlson. Before the war broke out, Moscow specially chose four countries to call: the United States and Britain were behind the escalating situation in Ukraine, while France and Türkiye regarded themselves as mediators of the conflict. So it is obvious that Russia hopes to create differences within NATO through diplomatic dialogue and alleviate the military pressure under the Russian army.
On the other hand, according to Russia's nuclear policy, Russia does not need any event as a premise to prove the legitimacy of the use of nuclear weapons. In Russian media reports, Moscow has never stated the clear consequences of Ukraine's use of dirty bombs, and the US Department of Defense has not issued a warning that Russia's nuclear power will enter a state of combat readiness.
In the analysis of many foreign media, it is surprising that the Russian "Visitor" which has always had a tough position put forward a view that is contrary to its Russian media counterparts this time.
"Guan Popular" also believes that the recent "dirty bomb" suspicion is more like an information war initiated by Russia. Ukraine may indeed be studying dirty bombs, but it will not be put into the battlefield because it will reduce the legitimacy of the Kiev government.
And some experts told the Opinion that it can be seen from the statements of the Ministry of Defense of the United States and Britain that they are not sure what Kiev is planning. Before the midterm elections, Biden , obviously did not want an uncontrollable situation in the Ukrainian battlefield. The new British Prime Minister , Sunak also expressed his hope to resolve the conflict between Russia and Ukraine through dialogue. Therefore, after the Western investigation is clear, Kiev will inevitably be restricted and it is unlikely to use dirty bombs.
Some media commented that although the West has repeatedly accused Russia of using nuclear weapons since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, when Russia makes similar charges, no matter what the facts, it will make the turbulent Ukraine situation even more unsettling.
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