Recently, former US Secretary of State, an old friend of the Chinese people, and a well-known geopolitical scientist, Kissinger, issued a document warning Europe and the United States not to repeat the 1916 crisis.
At present, the war between Russia and Ukraine has lasted for 8 months. After Russia took over the four states of Dongwu, it is no longer able to advance, and it is also very difficult to defend these four states.
The goal of Russia's demilitarization of Ukraine in front of the station can be said to have completely failed. However, after Ukraine launched a counterattack, it suffered heavy casualties and seemed unable to continue the counterattack.
At this time, the two sides have entered a strategic stalemate stage. Much like after of the First World War, it was this time in 1916. However, at that time, Europe and the United States did not seize this precious opportunity and resolve the problem through peaceful negotiations, which ultimately made the world war meaninglessly fight for two more years.
Therefore, Kissinger warned that now Europe and the United States should seize this opportunity and start negotiations with Russia. However, I think Russia should seize this opportunity, after all, oil prices have fallen, and if they continue to fight, the economy will definitely collapse.
Currently, Russia's bottom line is to keep four states, Crimea , while Ukraine wants to counterattack four states and even take back Crimea.
I think Crimea has no hope of getting it back. This is Russia's bottom line. As for the four states, it is something that can be negotiated.
