The situation in Russia and Ukraine is constantly changing.
There is no doubt that The protracted conflict between Russia and Ukraine is at a critical stage.
At present, the Ukrainian army continued to advance, and had reached Khelson . The Russian army "strategic retreat" to the left bank of the Dnieper River . Zelensky rarely came to Khelson. sent condolences to the soldiers and boosted morale. He also delivered a speech saying that the Ukrainian army is moving forward and will continue to move forward.
If you remember correctly, this is the first time that Zelensky has appeared in the front line area where the fiercest battle has occurred since the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
In addition, due to the current situation in Russia and Ukraine, neither Putin nor Zeliansky went to Bali, Indonesia to attend the G20 summit.
Among them, Ukraine is not a member of the G20, but Zelensky has been invited to attend the summit. However, a few days before the summit, it announced that offline attendance was cancelled and online attendance was changed.
. Russia is a member of the G20, but Putin also canceled the Indonesia trip with , which should be led by Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov . Putin may attend the summit online, or may not.
It is obvious that the Russian and Ukrainian presidents were "absent" of the offline G20 summit and stayed at home. Zelensky also went to the Khlsson front line, giving the outside world the feeling of "Russia and Ukraine are about to have big moves" .
However, the more tense the situation in Russia and Ukraine, the more urgent and necessary the peace talks become. At present, the international community knows that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will end in the end with the peace talks. The question is how to talk, when to talk, and which countries participate in the negotiations.
After all, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has continued to this day, and it is no longer just a contest between Russia and Ukraine. More, is a confrontation between Russia and the United States and the West. Therefore, when the conflict between Russia and Ukraine ends, the attitudes of Russia, Ukraine, the United States and Europe are very important.
At the critical moment, Russia, Ukraine, the United States and Europe successively sent out signals of peace talks.
Let’s talk about Ukraine first.
15, Zelensky attended the G20 summit in the form of a video call. What is comparable to the outside world's expectations is that Zelensky indeed publicly criticized Russia. He first mentioned the recent revenge of Khlsson by the Ukrainian army, saying that the situation is comparable to " World War II in ," and then in his speech, he mentioned many times that " Thanks G19" rejected "threat of Russia's use of nuclear weapons" , which implied that "Russia should be removed from the G20 and then become G19."
, and Zelensky called out to Russia, saying that it is time for "Russia must and can stop the destructive war", and emphasized that If Russia opposes Ukraine's peace plan, it reflects that Russia wants to continue the conflict and the Ukrainian army will fight to the end.
What kind of "peace plan" is it?
It turns out that just before participating in the G20 summit, Zelensky released Ukraine's "peace plan" online. There are 10 requirements in :
to ensure the safety of Ukraine's nuclear and radiation;
to ensure the food security of Ukraine;
3 to ensure the energy security of Ukraine;
4, the Russian army must evacuate from Ukraine and stop hostilities;
4;
4;
4;
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5. The Russian army must release all captured people and let the expelled people return to their homes;
6. Implement the " UN Charter " and restore Ukraine's territorial integrity and world order;
7. Rebuild justice;
8. Oppose ecological extinction;
9. Stop the situation and situation from further escalation;
0. Russia declares the end of the war.
It is obvious that Ukraine uses these 10 requirements as a prerequisite for Russia-Ukraine peace talks and ceasefires. will not only make Russia feel "unacceptable", but it actually "his secrets".
Once we arrive, Ukraine will put the first priority in ensuring nuclear and radiation safety. is to prevent the Russian army from being furious and using nuclear weapons directly on the battlefield.
Don’t forget that the current situation is not good for Russia. As early as the Russian army retreated from bonus Man , Chechnya President Kadyrov proposed to Putin - uses low-equivalent nuclear weapons to counterattack the Ukrainian army, reverses the situation on the battlefield, but was rejected by Kremlin .
Nowadays, the situation in Russia and Ukraine continues to escalate. Obviously, Ukraine or the United States and the West behind it are also beginning to worry about whether Putin will "take a dangerous move" and directly show his "nuclear trump card".
Secondly, Ukraine requires Russia to protect its rights and interests, at least return to the beginning of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and withdraw troops from Ukraine in a comprehensive manner and return all territory. This obviously also touched Russia's "reverse scale".
After all, Khlsson, Donetsk , Lugansk and Zaporoze just held the "Referendum to Russia" not long ago, and Putin also signed an order to recognize the referendum results. Therefore, in the view of Moscow , Khlsong 4 has become a part of Russia, and Russia will definitely not compromise easily.
3. Although the Russian-Ukrainian conflict lasted for nearly 9 months, Russia has always called it a "special military operation" and has not called it a "war against Ukraine."
Therefore, Ukraine demands that Russia declare the end of the war, which on the surface is announcing the ceasefire, but in fact it also makes Russia recognize that its actions against Ukraine are "war", because once the nature changes, Russia's situation will be even less optimistic and face more follow-up pressure.
The most direct point is that on the 14th, the UN General Assembly passed a resolution on Russia's "war compensation" to Ukraine . The United States Western countries also proposed to use frozen Russian assets to compensate Ukraine, which doubled the pressure on Russia.
shows that the 10 peace talks proposed by Ukraine to Russia are probably difficult to achieve and may further intensify tensions.
In addition, just as Ukraine speaks out, the United States, Europe and NATO have also made statements one after another.
The United States said that hopes to see the parties in the future negotiate on the situation in Russia and Ukraine, but emphasized that "the conditions for negotiation should be decided by Ukraine" , and the United States also suggested that Ukraine should consider more "actual" positions during the negotiations.
implied that the United States still believes that the peace negotiation conditions issued by Ukraine cannot be "too casual" , and should be practical or constructive. To put it simply, can put pressure and weaken Russia.
And the US's statement this time makes people doubt - Are there any traces of US personnel giving advice and secret guidance among the 10 peace talks proposed by Ukraine?
Secondly, EU also stated that when will negotiate with Russia depends on the wishes and attitudes of Kiev , and the EU will support it.
Once again, NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg also said , under what conditions and when should Ukraine start peace talks, NATO will not intervene, and NATO will continue to support Ukraine.
can be seen that The United States, NATO and the European Union are indeed "wearing a pair of pants". On the surface, they all listen to Ukraine and support Ukraine, and at the same time they also send out signals that they are willing to negotiate. But after all, still does not want to "confront the head-on" with Russia and wants to use Ukraine as a "shield". It is estimated that the United States and Europe know whether Ukraine's will and attitudes are affected by "external forces".
Let’s talk about Russia again. Regarding the successive release of negotiation signals between the United States, Ukraine and Europe, Russia’s response to is “quite calm” , saying that the negotiation conditions proposed by Ukraine is “very ridiculous” and essentially rejecting peace talks with . It also pointed out that Ukraine’s current negotiating position is not affected by Kiev, but is decided by the United States and Western countries.
But the Russian side also stated that is open to any negotiations and talks , but the premise is that dialogue must be carried out on the premise that is "equal and pays attention to the Russian demands" .
implied. The Russian side believes that the peace talks sent by Ukraine, the United States and Europe are all "false and have no sincerity" , and it is more like a "trap or trap", and Russia will not easily believe it.
However, just as the negotiation process was stagnating, an unexpected news came - The United States and Russia held a secret talks.
14, Russian media reported that under the auspices of the Turkish government, the delegations of the United States and Russia held "secret talks" in the Turkish capital Ankara . Russia sent Nareshkin, director of the Foreign Intelligence Agency, and the United States sent Burns, director of the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA).
In this regard, Russia confirmed that At the initiative of the United States, the US-Russian delegation held talks on Türkiye , but refused to disclose the content of the talks.
White House said that this round of talks between the United States and Russia does not involve a solution to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, and emphasized that the Ukraine side had been informed in advance of Burns's itinerary, and also said that any matter related to Ukraine cannot be without Kiev's participation.
is visible, and the White House has also confirmed the news of secret talks between the United States and Russia, and also wants to give Ukraine a "reassurance" to .
In addition, the United Nations also rarely claims that the negotiations between the United States and Russia are very positive, which is related to the future development of the situation, but the United Nations has not participated.
From this point of view, except for Türkiye, the United States and Russia are probably willing to negotiate, and cannot slap it in the face after all.
In short, there are still many variables and risks in the situation in Russia and Ukraine. I still hope that all parties will maintain rationality and restraint, calm the war as soon as possible, and restore peace.
