11-7
Hubei Provincial Meteorological Bureau released
Winter climate trend forecast
When will it snow in Hubei?
Will it be very cold this winter?
Let’s take a look at
The latest monitoring shows that the La Nina incident in the equatorial Middle East Pacific continues and will continue until the winter of 2022/2023. Comprehensive analysis of the influencing factors such as sea temperature, atmospheric circulation and the early weather and climate characteristics, is expected to be normal in the winter of 2022 (December 2022-February 2023) East Asian winter monsoon is normal, and the cold air activity is relatively strong in stages. Most areas of Hubei Province are warm in front of winter and cold in winter, and the overall trend is slightly warm and dry, and there may be phased cold and low-temperature rain and snow weather processes. The specific forecast of is as follows:
01
Overall temperature is slightly higher. In the first winter, the winter is cold after winter
0 The average winter temperature is expected to be 4.3~6℃ in the north and 6~7℃ in the south. Compared with the same period in previous years, most areas are slightly higher than 0.1~0.5℃. extreme minimum temperatures in the north -8℃~-7℃ and in the south -6~-5℃, the coldest period may occur from mid-to-late January to early February.
02
Overall precipitation is relatively low. It is possible that Summer, autumn and winter drought
It is expected that the precipitation in winter is 41 to 60 mm northwestern Hubei, and most of the others are 60 to 160 mm. Compared with the same period of the previous year, except for the slightly more in northern Hubei, most of the others are 1 to 20% less. Except for northwestern Hubei, is more likely to experience continuous drought in summer, autumn and winter in most areas of the province, and , especially in the central and southern regions, are at a high risk of severe or above persistent meteorological drought.
03
There are phased low temperature rain and snow
Cold air activity frequency is close to usual years, mainly concentrated in the middle and late December, mid-to-late January to mid-to-late February, and early February. Among them, there is a high possibility of phased low temperature rain and snow weather from mid-to-late January to early February.
04
Central and eastern forest fire risk level is high
In winter, most areas of the province have high temperatures and less precipitation, and overall it shows a slightly warm and dry climate trend. The forest fire risk meteorological level is relatively high, especially Southeast Hubei forest fire risk meteorological level is high.
05
overall atmospheric self-purification capacity is weak
0 It is expected that the atmospheric diffusion conditions in the province in winter are generally average, close to the average level in the past three years, but little rainfall is not conducive to the wet removal of air pollutants. The number of days of haze may be the same as those of the year-round winter.
What is the weather in Hubei in the near future?
Today (7th) is controlled by high-altitude northerly airflow, and the whole province is sunny to cloudy. The highest temperature is 23-26℃ in most areas. Tomorrow will be affected by high altitude fluctuations, and will turn to light rain in western Hubei, and other areas will turn to cloudy in sunny days. The high temperature in the west has dropped by about 3℃, at 19~23℃, and in the east, at 24~27℃. The weather in the province turned sunny the day after tomorrow, with the highest temperature rebounding to 22-25℃ in the west and 25-27℃ in the east.
reminds the public that the temperature is high in the past three days. Remember to pay attention to sun protection and hydration when going out. At the same time, the temperature difference between day and night is large, so you need to add and remove clothes in time.
It is expected that our province will also focus on sunny to cloudy weather in the early stage of this week, with the high temperature during the day being around 25℃, which makes it feel comfortable. will usher in strong cold air this weekend, with strong winds and cooling and precipitation weather.
When will Hubei begin winter?
Although the weather in our province has been sunny and warm recently, today it has entered the "Beginning of Winter" solar term. According to the meteorological standards for winter, the average annual winter date in our province is around November 23. Shennongjia usually starts winter first in early and mid-November, while central and southern regions generally start winter from late November to early December.
During the beginning of winter solar term, the cold air activity is more frequent and its strength is stronger. It can usually go south to affect Jiangnan and even South China region . Data shows that the beginning of winter is the solar term with the highest frequency of cold waves in the country, reaching 25 times, which is twice as high as the previous solar term, Frostfall .
The beginning of winter is also the solar term that cools the most severely throughout the year, especially in northern my country, where the cold season of "winter with wind" has entered. Judging from the national average temperature change of the twenty-four solar terms, starting from the beginning of autumn, the national average temperature began to fall, and the beginning of winter was the peak decline, reaching 3.77℃.
Source: Hubei Meteorology, @Hubei Weather
(Source: Hubei Daily )
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