Recently, Western media such as the United States, Europe and other Western media exaggerated that Russia might use nuclear weapon . Western countries also warned Russia seriously, deliberately creating a tense atmosphere and further kidnap Ukraine. But the most surprising thing is EU , as a political and economic alliance, it also publicly warns Russia! On October 13, EU Foreign and Security Policy Representative Porel publicly warned that if Russia uses nuclear weapons against Ukraine, the Russian army will be "completely destroyed" by the Western military response! It's really a naked threat! But is the EU crazy or has another purpose to openly provoke the super nuclear power Russia in this way? The editor of the EU's warning this time has a purpose. Today I will analyze what the purpose is.
The bombed Crimean Bridge
. Tell Russia a fact that the conventional power of Western countries is far greater than the current Russian army. In conventional wars, they are fully capable of annihilation of the entire Russian army and avoid Russia's further expansion of the war threatening the entire Europe. Judging from the performance of the Russian army in Ukraine for 8 months, the conventional equipment equipped by the Russian army, including tank armored vehicles, air defense system , fixed-wing combat aircraft, helicopters, ships, logistics vehicles, and even missile , have been seriously lagging behind Western countries, and there is a huge gap in drones, informatization, etc. The Russian army's famous star equipment before the war, including Su-35, Su-34, Ka-52, T90 main battle tanks , S300 air defense system, Doyle air defense system, Moscow-class cruiser, etc., have repeatedly failed in Ukraine. The various types of missiles, suicide drones and other equipment launched on Ukraine's infrastructure recently performed not very well. Not only is the accuracy not as high as advertised, but it has also been intercepted by Ukraine.
destroyed Russian armored vehicles
, and Russian military industrial enterprise has severely reduced production capacity under the severe sanctions of the West and cannot quickly make up for the Russian army's consumption on the battlefield. So that on the one hand, Russia purchased drones, shells and other equipment from Iranian , North Korea and other countries, and on the other hand, it brought out the old equipment from the Soviet era, such as the T64 main battle tanks moved to the battlefield! On the other hand, the weapons that Western countries such as the United States and Europe have performed well on the battlefield. Whether it is the anti-tank missile , individual air defense missiles, or the self-propelled artillery , towed artillery , and rocket launcher , they can bring great trouble to Russia, causing Russia to suffer great losses. For example, the Himas rocket launcher , which recently aided Ukraine, has left a deep impression on the Russian army and is a very difficult equipment to deal with.
Haimas rocket launcher
These Western equipment in Ukraine are not as top equipment of Western countries, which makes Russia a little overwhelmed. If Russia and the United States, Europe and the United States, Europe and the United States, Europe and the United States, and only use conventional weapon , Western countries can quickly grasp the air superiority, information control and electromagnetic power of the battlefield. The Russian army has no power to fight back at all. It may be quickly divided and surrounded and eliminated like the German and Iraqi army in the Gulf War. In response to this reality, the editor believes that the United States and Europe are very clear, and Russia is also very clear! Porel publicly warned Russia that it was to recognize the reality and the situation. The conventional weapons of the United States and the EU were fully capable of destroying the Russian army. Putin and Russia used nuclear weapons in Ukraine must make careful decisions, otherwise it would have serious consequences.
Apache armed helicopter
2. In accordance with the situation, openly support Ukraine and further enhance Ukraine's national will to resist Russia. Russia's special military operation has been carried out for 10 months, the entire Ukraine has suffered tremendous damage, especially the military industry in eastern Ukraine has been destroyed. Famous military enterprises such as Black Sea Shipyard , Antonov Aircraft Manufacturing Company, Shuguang Machinery Production Consortium, and Mareshev Machinery Manufacturing Plant have been destroyed by the Russian army, and Ukraine has lost its ability to manufacture weapons.At present, Ukraine's resistance mainly relies on weapons aided by the United States and EU countries. Ukraine's resistance gradually evolved into Ukraine's production, and Western countries such as Europe and the United States contributed money and weapons to jointly consume Russia's proxy war, causing Ukraine to suffer from war and a large number of Ukrainians were displaced.
The bombed An 225 transport aircraft
According to statistics, since the Russian-Ukraine conflict, 14 million people have left their hometowns, accounting for about one-third of the total population! After the Crimea Bridge was bombed, Russia began to unlimitedly strike the infrastructure of Ukraine. Within a few days, nearly 200 missiles of various types were launched, resulting in hundreds of casualties, as well as large-scale water and power outages. A large number of civilians had to hide in air raid shelters to take refuge! Because Ukraine's opponent, Russia, is a supernuclear power, has more than 25,000 nuclear warheads and has established a "trial-in-one" nuclear deterrent force in land, sea and air, Ukraine is always in fear of nuclear deterrence while suffering from conventional Russian weapons. Without the support of the United States and Europe, Ukraine will have no ability or confidence to defeat Russia.
Zelensky video attending the Seven-Nation summit
Therefore, Ukraine is currently facing unlimited strikes from Russia. President Zelensky has spoken on phone with the heads of government of major Western countries such as the US President, the French President, the German Chancellor, and the British Prime Minister , asking Western countries to increase their assistance and ask for advanced air defense weapons and security guarantees. The United States and Germany have decided to provide Ukraine with advanced medium-range air defense systems, France has decided to provide security assurances to Ukraine, and the Western Alliance of Seven-Nation decided to increase sanctions on Russia. NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg accused Russia of being very serious and unforgivable for air strikes against Ukraine, and decided to hold a large-scale nuclear deterrence exercise next week! As an important political alliance in Western society, the EU is necessary to adapt to the situation and support Ukraine on a large scale. It not only gives full sense of existence, but also further enhances Ukraine's national will to resist Russia!
Western aid to Ukraine PZH2000 self-propelled artillery
3. Further weaken Putin and Russia's reputation by drawing a red line for Russia, strengthening Russia's internalization and contradictions. After the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Russia repeatedly emphasized that it would not use nuclear weapons in Ukraine, because Russia is very clear that once it uses nuclear weapons, it will completely isolate itself, and it is very likely to trigger a nuclear war with Western countries. The worst result may cause the earth to enter nuclear winter , and even the entire earth civilization may be destroyed. This is obviously not in Russia's long-term interests. In response to Porel's remarks, Vice Chairman of the Russian Federation Security Conference Medvedev responded that Porel's words were "delusion".
Russian roadbed strategic missile
Medvedev said, "Let's look at the logical chain of the consequences that will be caused: first, the so-called nuclear strike against Ukraine →NATO/Europe is carrying out a strong non-nuclear strike against our country → In response, Russia launches a nuclear strike against NATO member states. This is a vicious cycle. The result is that the earth enters a nuclear winter"; "Western countries do not care about the Ukraine and Ukrainian regimes, they do not want to interfere in full, not to mention that those igniters on Europe and the other side of the ocean are definitely unwilling to die in the nuclear doomsday." It can also be seen from Medvedev's words that as long as Western countries do not directly intervene in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Russia will not use nuclear weapons in Ukraine. The logic of Western countries is that as long as Russia does not use nuclear weapons in Ukraine, it will not send troops to interfere in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.
Nuclear launch silo
Therefore, the war logic between Russia and the United States and Europe is each other's premise, and the possibility of direct military conflict is almost zero! It is precisely because the EU saw this that it was relieved and bold to draw a red line for Russia, which not only allowed itself to show its face in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, but would not cause any substantial threats. To put it bluntly, it was just empty words, but it could weaken the reputation of Putin and Russia to a certain extent and strengthen the internal conflicts of Russia, because the EU would promote that it was its own red line that made Russia dare not use nuclear weapons in Ukraine!
Iskard tactical missile