The Russian-Ukrainian conflict has certain chances , which is largely due to the instigation and instigation of the US government, and the Ukrainian government is "ignorant", tempted to be deceived, and was deceived by the US strategy, and insisted on joining NATO . The result is that it is impossible to do it, and Russia is completely angered. In fact, any calm-minded leader will calculate the strategic costs and benefits of decision-making. He must be very cautious and think twice before acting.
Now, because the four eastern Ukraine regions join Russia and Ukraine attacks the Crimea Bridge , the Russian-Ukraine conflict is facing serious escalation, and Russia has launched a military strike against Ukraine.
One wrong step is difficult to go back. National decision-making must be cautious, consider strategic costs and benefits, and think twice.
rationality is full, reality is skinny. Regardless of whether you support Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity, or whether you agree with Russia's helplessness, for the Zelensky government, the question is: What exactly did this war in bring to Ukraine? You should know that Crimea had been incorporated into Russia before the war. Without this military conflict, at least two of the four regions in eastern Ukraine would still be under Ukraine's control.
At present, the dilemma faced by Zelensky's government is that except for continuing to fight against Russia with external support, there is little room for other options. Ukraine wants to "take back" the four regions in eastern Ukraine, including Crimea, rely on force to "take back" from Russia, probably only a few people believe that What's more, Ukraine is now full of holes and broken walls. This is a major strategic mistake of the Ukrainian government.
The war has reached this point, and it is difficult to recover. There are too many losses. Ukrainians are not willing to accept it anyway. If Ukraine had made mistakes due to "recklessness" at the beginning, then the current Zelensky government is a little "rampant".
Ukraine issued a stamp on the Crimea Bridge that was blown up
August 20, 2022, Russian philosopher Alexander Dukin and his daughter Dalia Dukina were assassinated and died
You should know that Ukraine used a "suicide" attack this time to destroy the Crimea Bridge that was and caused 3 deaths. According to the US anti-terrorism standards, is a typical "terrorist attack" incident because it directly attacked "critical infrastructure", and also caused civilian casualties. Not long ago, American media also revealed that Ukraine was the "real murderer" of the assassination of Dujinna in Russia in August this year, and that assassination was characterized by the Russian side as "state terrorism." In other words, if Russia launches a large-scale military strike against Ukraine in the name of "anti-terrorism", the United States can only stare at it.
Judging from the attack on the Crimea Bridge, it is likely that Ukraine is escalating the Russian-Ukrainian conflict through "extreme" methods, including the rumored "decapitation operation", and ultimately forcing the United States and NATO to "take direct action" against Russia. But the United States obviously does not want to be "dragged into the water" by the Zelensky administration, and engaging in nuclear confrontations and nuclear wars with Russia is not in the United States' global interests.
It can be seen from this that The United States has begun to "beat" the Zelensky government through the media, and cannot "rush around" regardless of the interests of the United States. It is impossible to launch an "unconventional war" against Russia by relying on Ukraine itself, and rumors that the US and Russian governments may be conducting secret negotiations all show that the Biden administration is "teaching" or "warning" the Zelensky government not to "go to extremes", because the security of the United States and Europe is the most important. Interestingly, President Zelensky has also taken back the sentence "preemptive strike" under pressure.
Overall, if the United States and Russia can reach a certain consensus through secret negotiations, the Zelensky administration can only obey the "instructions" from the White House, no longer attack the territory and key facilities that have been incorporated into Russia in "extreme ways", and cannot become a "troublemaker" between the United States and Russia, and Russia's retaliation measures will also limit . By then, Ukraine will have to accept the United States' "goal mediation" actions. The United States not only needs to use Ukraine to consume Russia for a long time, but also cannot let the Zelensky administration "out of control". The Biden administration is also "walking a tightrope".