Shocked the world!
On September 26, 2022, the Swedish surveying station detected two strong underwater explosions in the same waters where the leak occurred in the natural gas pipelines of " Nord Stream-1" and " Nord Stream-2". Judging from the pictures and videos, the explosion is quite large. The measurement of the earthquake station in many European countries indicates that it is equivalent to a magnitude 2.3 earthquake.
Subsequently, the Russian Kremlin said on the 27th that it is not ruled out that the pipeline of the "Northern Stream" natural gas pipeline was deliberately damaged. Previously, three offshore pipelines of the "North Stream" natural gas pipeline leaked in Baltic for unknown reasons.
September 28, EU Special Representative for diplomatic and security affairs Borelli issued a written statement saying that the EU is seriously concerned about the damage to the Baltic "North Stream" natural gas pipeline and believes that the information currently available proves that the pipeline was deliberately destroyed, and all parties involved have been adversely affected.
U.S. Secretary of State Blinken said that it is too early to draw a conclusion because if it is proven to be intentional damage, "this is obviously not in the interests of all parties." Blinken also said that he does not believe that the current leakage of the "North Stream" natural gas pipeline will have a significant impact on Europe's energy supply, and reiterated that the United States is working to resolve short-term and long-term energy security issues in Europe to achieve the goal of ultimately ending Europe's dependence on Russia's energy.
"North Stream-1" natural gas pipeline was completed in 2011. It starts from Russia in the east and leads to Germany through the Baltic Seabed. It is Russia's main gas pipeline to Europe.
Nord Stream No. 1 and Nord Stream No. 2 were built in parallel with
"North Stream-1" an turbine was previously sent to Canada for repair by Siemens, Germany. Gas Russia has stated many times this year that due to the failure of Siemens to deliver the turbines delivered to Russia in time, Russia has to reduce the gas transmission capacity of the "North Stream-1".
This move has always been suspected to be Russia making excuses to deliberately reduce gas transmission.
"North Stream-2" is a natural gas pipeline leading from the Russian coast through the Baltic Sea bottom to Germany, with an annual gas transmission capacity of 55 billion cubic meters. The construction of the natural gas pipeline took three years and was completed in 2021. However, in response to Russia's special military operations in Ukraine , Western countries have imposed a series of sanctions. On February 22, 2022, German Chancellor Scholz announced that in the context of the escalation of the Russian-Ukraine conflict, the German government will temporarily stop the approval procedures for the Nord Stream-2 natural gas pipeline.
As early as July 2018, a spokesperson for U.S. State Department said: "We make it clear that all companies related to the Russian Energy Export Pipeline (North Stream 2) in business are engaged in business with sanctions risks."
North Stream 2 suspension of operations was entirely a decision made by Germany under pressure from the United States.
However, whether it is Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2, Germany is the biggest beneficiary.
This explosion will completely interrupt the export of Russian natural gas to Europe. Severe winter is coming soon. In this winter, what kind of suffering will European countries such as Germany rely heavily on Russian natural gas experience?
If Beixi No. 1 stops gas supply for a long time, the tight gas supply problem in Europe will intensify. On the one hand, the problem of tight natural gas supply in Europe will continue to raise European energy prices and increase the cost of chemical products production. On the other hand, natural gas, as an important raw material and energy source for European chemical production, will also lead to a decline in the supply of chemical products in Europe.
Originally, since the Russian-Ukrainian War, European natural gas prices have continued to soar. After this explosion, the price soared by about 20% again on a high level. Next, this price may have to continue to rise.
After the Russian-Ukrainian War, Europe, especially Germany, suffered the greatest damage to the interests. One direct consequence is that Germany has experienced an trade deficit in 30 years, which means that it spends more money than it earns.
So who did this explosion?
Although there is no evidence at present, it is obvious that the United States cannot escape the relationship.
This explosion was obviously a bomb deployed by the special forces to send frogman or unmanned submarine . It could not be a sabotage operation carried out by civilians and terrorists.
From the perspective of interests, who will benefit the most from the explosion?
Obviously, countries that rely on Russian gas are all victims.
Ukraine did not benefit either. Although the war was continuing, many oil and gas pipelines exported to Europe by Russia were not interrupted, and the pipelines passing through Ukraine also brought Ukraine transit income. More importantly, if it was indeed done by Ukraine, then Ukraine offended the European power Germany and France. So may they continue to support Ukraine? For example, is it possible for Ukraine's EU dream to be realized?
Russian oil tanker
Look at the United States again. Due to sanctions against Russia, the natural gas exported to Europe by Russia has decreased significantly, while at the same time, prices have continued to rise. American oil and gas companies took the opportunity to make a fortune in war. They even bought oil and gas from Russia and transferred it to European countries, of course, mainly Germany and France. There are reports that many American tankers, wearing other countries' flags, unload oil from Russian tankers on the high seas (professional term: ship-to-ship STS transfer) and then reselling them in Europe. In addition, an American natural gas transport ship can earn $100 million by traveling to Europe.
So, now it is actually very obvious that the United States is the most unavoidable suspect of planning an explosion.
But the truth has not been revealed yet. Who did it can only be guessed.
However, the purpose of this explosion is obvious - to exacerbate Europe's economic and energy difficulties, and there is another purpose, which will prompt Germany and Europe to completely get rid of their dependence on Russian energy and prompt them to impose more severe sanctions on Russia.
However, things are highly likely not to go in the direction expected by the planners, because in order to completely get rid of Germany and Europe's dependence on Russian energy, Europe can only purchase large quantities of high-cost oil and gas energy, which will further increase the production costs of European enterprises and the living costs of European people. How does this continue?
Meloni is expected to become Italy's first female prime minister
In addition, due to the rise of European far-right wing forces, Italy's far-right wing has already taken control of the regime. He once publicly praised Mussolini . The far-right Meloni won the Italian general election and will be the right to form a cabinet, becoming the first female prime minister in Italy's history, and will also become the "rightest" prime minister of Italy since in World War II. Italy is one of the founding countries of the EU and the third largest economy in the euro zone. Meloni has reached the peak of power in Italy, which means that the EU will see the first situation where the founding countries are controlled by the right-wing government. This will undoubtedly add new uneasiness to the already turbulent situation in Europe and even the world.
The possibility of Europe as a whole being to the right has further increased, Europe's right-leaning nationalism awareness has further risen, and severe problems such as immigration issues, Russian-Ukraine wars, economic decline, and price inflation will test the wisdom of leaders of European countries.
In addition, based on the just-concluded referendum on the four eastern Ukrainian states to join Russia, in the end, the greatest possibility of the development of things is that Europeans who are selfish at heart will abandon Ukraine, Germany and France, abandon their support for Ukraine, and instead compromise with Russia, and further break away from the control of the United States politically and militaryally.
Therefore, the Russian-Ukrainian war may end early in the aftermath of the explosion of the Nordic Pipeline 1 and Nordic Pipeline 2.
