July 11th is World Population Day , and the United Nations released the report "World Population Prospects 2022" on that day. This report predicts that India will become the most populous country in the world in 2023, and the population is expected to exceed 1.6 billion in 2050.
China is still the country with the highest population in 2021. The 2021 data given by the World Bank is 1.41236 billion, and it is still the only country in the world with a population of 1.4 billion, which is about 18.02% of the total global population. . India's population in 2021 is approximately 1.3934 billion, accounting for approximately 17.86% of the world's population. It is the second most populous country in the world after my country. Followed closely by the United States with a population of about 327 million; Indonesia with a population of about 261 million; Brazil with a population of about 210 million; Pakistan with a population of about 193 million; Nigeria, Bangladesh, Russia, and Mexico. , Japan, Ethiopia , and the Philippines, a total of thirteen countries with a population of over 100 million.
The reason why the population of China and India exceeds one billion
First, historical reasons. China and India, both countries are one of the "four major ancient civilizations" in the world. They have a long history and rich cultural heritage. The Yellow River and Yangtze River Basin in ancient China, the Indus River and the Ganges in ancient India The watersheds, the Nile River basin in ancient Egypt , the Euphrates basin in ancient Babylon, and the Tigris basin, are all the birthplaces of ancient humans, resulting in large population bases in China and India. Second, the reason for cultivated land. China's land area is 9.6 million square kilometers, making it the third largest country in the world. Its total cultivated land area is approximately 1,432,960 square kilometers, ranking fourth in the world. India has a territory of 3.288 million square kilometers, making it the seventh largest country in the world. Its cultivated land area is about 1,596,500 square kilometers, which is larger than our country and ranks second in the world. The food output of the two countries is basically "self-sufficient" and can feed their own countries. With the population of China, food is the most important thing for the people. This is the most basic thing. Third, economic factors. In 2019, my country's GDP was US$14.36 trillion, making it the world's second largest economy; India's GDP was US$2.85 trillion, ranking fifth in the world economy. The rapid economic development of the two countries has solved the people's problems of food, clothing, housing and transportation.
World population development trend
Today, India's population growth is even stronger. Compared with 2021, the number of new people in 2022 will exceed 13 million; while the number of new people in our country will exceed 480,000. India's population growth rate is about 330 times that of our country. Therefore, it is only a matter of time before India's population exceeds ours.
In addition, the United Nations released the latest report on July 11, which is World Population Day, predicting that the global population will exceed 8 billion on November 15, 2022, reach 8.5 billion in 2030, reach 9.7 billion in 2050, and will reach 9.7 billion in 2100. Reaching 10.4 billion people, the population reached its peak.
Please look at the picture above to see how fast the number of humans is growing: In the early 1800s, the number of humans only reached 1 billion; in 1930, the number of humans rose to 2 billion; in 1960, the number of humans reached 3 billion; In 1975, the number of humans reached 4 billion; in 1987, the number of humans reached 5 billion; in 2011, the number of humans reached 7 billion; in 2022, the number of humans will exceed 8 billion; in 2100, the number of humans will exceed 10.4 billion.
India's population is growing rapidly, and China's population has reached an inflection point of negative growth.
In 2022, the most populous regions in the world will be in East Asia and Southeast Asia, accounting for 29% of the global population. Central Asia and South Asia will account for 26% of the world's population, which means that Asia's population will account for 26% of the world's population. account for more than half of the world's population. The United Nations' latest prediction is that India's population will surpass China's in 2023, which is earlier than the previous prediction. This news was forwarded as good news by Indian media such as The Hindu. India is proud of becoming the world's most populous country, but the crisis is more pressing. The high unemployment rate determines that it is difficult for India's "demographic dividend" to be transformed into strong economic growth.
As one of the world's most populous countries, the report predicts that India's population will surpass China's in 2023.Please look at the chart below. Although the birth rate in India has been declining, it is still more than 10‰. Moreover, India has a large population base and will rank first in the world in terms of population in the next few decades.
It is inevitable that my country will usher in an inflection point of negative population growth. On January 17, 2022, the National Bureau of Statistics released China's economic data for 2021. As of the end of 2021, the mainland's population was 1,412.6 million, an increase of 480,000 from the end of the previous year. The number of births in the year was 10.62 million, and the birth rate was 7.52‰; the number of deaths was 10.14 million, and the mortality rate was 7.18‰; the natural population growth rate was 0.34‰. The topic of my country's birth rate falling below 1% for the first time has become a hot search topic on major platforms, setting a new low since 1978. During the same period, the natural growth rate of the national population (birth rate - death rate) was only 0.34‰, also a record low since 1978. If the population growth trend continues like this, my country's population may experience negative growth in 2022.
From 2011 to 2021, during the National Day, my country’s growing population dropped by 100% year-on-year. Please look at the picture below:
The reasons for India’s population growth and my country’s population decline
The reasons for India’s rapid population growth are: large population base, so population growth is fast; contraceptive measures are not effective, and family planning is not adopted like our country, and children are born casually; religious beliefs Factors such as the constraints of feudal ideology, insufficient sex education , serious early marriages, premature, over-frequent, and excessive childbearing patterns are all factors that have led to the rapid growth of India's population.
The reasons leading to my country's population decline: To put it simply: housing, education, medical care, and pension costs are indeed the "four big mountains" that stand in front of most people. This is an objective reason. The subjective reason is. my country's fertility rate is low. On the one hand, it is due to the reduction in the base of the childbearing population (if I use the words of experts: the post-70s and post-80s women who were the main reproductive groups in the past few years have exited their fertile period) and the delayed age of marriage and childbearing; on the other hand, This is because people's willingness to have children has decreased, and those born in the 1990s have become the main force in childbearing. This is the subjective reason for the decline in the number of newborns in our country.
In summary, it is precisely because of this that the title of "the most populous country" will change hands in 2023. India will surpass China next year and become the most populous country in the world. Original work by
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