After the Russian army captured Severonetsk, the intensity of the military confrontation between Russia and Ukraine was slightly downgraded, but the diplomatic actions of Russia and NATO became more frequent.
First, European and American leaders held a series of meetings. NATO adopted a "new strategic concept" and defined Russia as "the most important and direct threat in the next ten years."
On the day after the NATO summit, Turkey reached a compromise with Finland and Sweden, supporting Sweden and Finland to join NATO. At this point, the obstacles for Finland and Sweden to join NATO have been completely cleared.
On the other side, Russian President Putin embarked on his first overseas visit since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and held meetings with Caspian Sea coastal countries.
At the same time, Syria announced with a high profile that it recognized the "state status" of Donetsk and Lugansk . This was also the first country other than Russia to recognize Donetsk and since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The country of Lugansk.
These two incidents can be said to be the changes that have had the greatest impact on the European landscape since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
First of all, Finland and Sweden joined NATO, which means that the confrontation between Russia and NATO will develop in a long-term direction.
Just like before, NATO insisted on eastward expansion and wanted to include Ukraine , which eventually led to the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Although the short-term impact of Finland and Sweden joining NATO is not too severe, after all, Finland and Sweden do not have the conflicts with Russia that Russia and Ukraine have, and now that Russia is trapped in Ukraine, it cannot launch a counterattack against these two countries. .
But in the long run, this is undoubtedly another round of eastward expansion of NATO, and it is also a matter of squeezing Russia's living space. The fact that the Russia-Ukraine war broke out has proven that the tighter NATO presses, the greater the probability of Russia's counterattack. .
At present, Russia and the United States have not reached the point of direct confrontation. In fact, is the minimum peace achieved through nuclear war deterrence. Once Russia cannot resist the pressure brought by NATO in terms of conventional power, then The probability of a direct conflict between the two parties will increase infinitely.
To put it bluntly, the "nuclear balance of terror" also has a limit. It is impossible to say that both sides have nuclear weapons . No matter how forced one side is, the other side can only accept it.
In this sense, Finland and Sweden's move to join NATO is a negative move similar to simmering down the boil for the global security situation. It will only intensify the contradiction between Russia and NATO and is not beneficial to any country. Peace.
Secondly, Syria recognizes Donetsk and Luhansk. The impact of this incident on the European pattern is also crucial.
First of all, it means that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has completely become irreconcilable. Although Russia previously supported the "independence" of the Donbass region, this was only Russia's unilateral recognition.
Now, Syria has stood up to support Russia and directly recognized Luhansk and Donetsk in eastern Ukraine as two "republics", which also shows that Putin's "circle of friends" is indeed tough enough .
Of course, this is not good news for Ukraine, because Syria has recognized Luhansk and Donetsk despite heavy international pressure. Russia will naturally no longer negotiate with Ukraine over the ownership of these two regions. Negotiated.
Therefore, after Syria made this statement, Ukrainian President Zelensky immediately announced that Ukraine would cut off diplomatic relations with Syria .
At the same time, Putin also stated at the Caspian Sea Coastal Countries Summit that Russia would not set a time point for the Russia-Ukraine war. The meaning of is naturally to fight until Ukraine surrenders.
The resolute attitude of the leaders of both sides has brought more uncertainties to when this war will end.
Although it is said that Ukraine is behind NATO, after all, it is Ukraine itself that is directly involved in the war. Once Ukraine resolutely refuses to admit defeat, NATO actually has no good way to persuade peace.
Even in order to prevent Russia from seeing its lust and inner weakness, NATO has to pretend to be calm and continue to support Ukraine and continue its fight with Russia.
As a result, the "peace-seeking" voices that have emerged in European and American public opinion, as well as some arguments that advise Ukraine to sacrifice some of its territorial interests in exchange for peace, are expected to continue to sink. At the same time, the deadline for the end of the Russia-Ukraine war is You have to continue to postpone it.
For the whole world, this means that the food crisis and energy crisis will continue. The current trend of the Russia-Ukraine war is really moving in a long-term direction.
The interests of all parties in Europe, the United States, Russia and Ukraine are entangled, and everyone only cares about themselves. The final outcome is that no one can take advantage. We still hope that all parties can exercise restraint and give peace a chance.
