The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has lasted for such a long time. As British Prime Minister Johnson said, many countries have fallen into fatigue with the situation in Ukraine. Therefore, the end of the war as soon as possible has become the ardent expectation of many countries. Even Ukraine End the War expressed its views.
On June 27, local time, Ukrainian President Zelenskiy gave a video speech at the G7 Summit, expressing his latest views on when to end the war.
Zelensky said that due to some relationship considerations , Ukraine hopes to end the war before this winter. German Chancellor Scholz tweeted and after the meeting, expressing some of his views.
He said, " The Group of Seven will firmly stand on the side of Ukraine. We need to make necessary and difficult decisions. The war must end, and we will continue to put pressure on Putin."
Indeed, for both Ukraine and Germany, ending the war as soon as possible is necessary for both.
Ending the war before winter will have two benefits for Ukraine:
First, the long-term war will cause huge trauma to Ukraine. infrastructure, refugees and food issues all need to be resolved urgently for Ukraine.
Especially for refugees, once the war continues in winter and the refugees cannot be properly resettled, it will be a disaster for them.
Second, the Russian army’s offensive will be more intense in winter. You must know that during the and periods of World War II, the German army was so powerful that it was completely defeated in the winter counterattack of the former Soviet Union. This shows how powerful the Russians are in winter.
Once the war drags into winter, will Ukraine face greater pressure? It's hard for anyone to say.
For Germany, it is a simple winter problem. It's still summer, and Germany's natural gas warning has reached level two. If winter enters and the energy problem has not been solved, it will be a huge challenge to Germany's economy and people's lives.
In fact, this is not just a problem in Germany, but a problem in the entire EU . According to statistics, Russia has reduced or stopped the supply of natural gas to twelve EU member states, and the overall supply has been cut in half.
Faced with this problem, the end of the war before winter must be the expectation of the whole of Europe. However, Europe's thinking this way does not mean that it will really achieve its wish. How and when this war will be resolved still depends on the faces of the United States and Russia.
For Russia, it is definitely in line with its interests to resolve the war as soon as possible. At present, according to the latest news, on June 27, local time, the Russian army has set out again, heading towards Lisichansk, preparing to encircle Ukraine from the south and southwest.
But for Russia, the prerequisite for solving the problem as soon as possible is to act steadily. Time is not a problem. After all, Russia and the West are currently winning or losing each other, and there is no moment when they are at a disadvantage and need to make a desperate move.
For the United States, it is impossible to end the war. Just now, two trends in the United States have announced that this matter is not simple.
First of all, National Security Assistant to the President of the United States Sullivan said that as part of military assistance, the United States will provide Ukraine with advanced air defense systems .
Judging from Russia’s response, this behavior of the United States is exacerbating the seriousness of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and expanding the risk of conflict between the world’s nuclear powers.
However, this is not the end yet. According to many senior U.S. officials, the U.S. military will extend its presence in Poland and change its military strategy in the Baltic Sea region.
What does this mean? That is to say, Lithuania , Estonia and Latvia will also become permanent targets of the US military. This can be said to be a further threat to Russia.
It is not difficult to see that the United States is still irritating the relationship between Russia and neighboring countries.Indeed, this is easy to understand. What does the life and death of Europe have to do with the United States?
So, can this conflict end before winter? The author thinks it is possible, but it is very difficult, and it is even more difficult to meet the interests of Ukraine.
It is foreseeable that the entire Eastern Europe has become a buffer zone for the game between the West and Russia. Countries here are likely to fall victim to hegemony , so we still need to keep our eyes open and distinguish right from wrong.
