Recently, news and interpretations of power and production restrictions in many places have been overwhelming. People from different angles can interpret different meanings.
First of all, the most mainstream interpretation of the current dual limit is: overseas countries are over-issued currencies (especially the United States), and use the depreciated flower head to buy products in China. As a result, raw material prices soared and carbon emissions soared. However, under this wave of buying, buying, buying, China, as a seller, has not received the corresponding benefits. Since the main source of raw materials is these foreign resource countries headed by Australia, they can count the money and have cramps, but our production companies did not make much money even though the workers were tired to vomit blood. Because the pricing power of finished products in international trade is not in the hands of our manufacturing industry. Even if they lose money to make yells, they have to eat the international community's money on carbon emissions and environmental protection. The senior management is very dissatisfied with this status quo, so they push for double limits, with the intention of urging our capable companies to increase the prices of export commodities and seize certain pricing power. At the same time, we will eliminate a group of technologically backward ones who rely on squeezing workers to work overtime and evade workers’ social security obligations that are dragging China’s economy backwards, creating " internal volume " production capacity and enterprises.
Each voice is different.
Economists: Basically the above-mentioned mainstream views.
Bosses of foreign trade companies: There are many conflicts and can’t be understood right away. Because, the current order price and delivery date have been negotiated with foreign countries a few months or even six months ago, and it is basically impossible to temporarily increase the price; the order delivery date was originally severely delayed due to the tightness of shipping, and now production is restricted. , The delivery time is even more difficult to guarantee. These are the most realistic difficulties facing foreign traders. It’s tricky to deal with. When it comes to negotiable customers, the price of the finalized order is impossible to change, but there is room for negotiation in the delivery time; when it comes to customers who are not negotiable, they have a tough attitude and will not deliver on time. Cancel the order, or threaten to breach the contract by air freight, the Chinese enterprise shall bear the freight. What's more, they will threaten to not cooperate in the future, and all orders that have been placed but not shipped will be cancelled. It is hard to explain in a word, the present and future difficulties!
Factory workers: Production is restricted,Directly affect income. Because most foreign trade companies are piece-based. With fewer working days, the output will naturally be lower, and the earning will be less. I wanted to fight for a few more months before I could return to my hometown to celebrate the New Year by the end of December or the beginning of January. Now that the income that has been in the budget is less, the mood is naturally not good, and it is also a complaint about the double limit.
As for the official: naturally, there will be no official interpretation, you need to experience and understand it yourself.
People who are not eating melons in these production industries: it's nothing to do, so naturally they don't have real feelings, and they generally support and applaud.
As the author, I am a foreign trade practitioner. I have a deeper experience and more practical difficulties. But I very much agree with this action and think it is necessary.
As a foreign trade worker, I have been mourning the misfortunes of certain domestic companies in negotiating with foreign companies for countless times. The foreigners who have the right to speak in channels are all human beings, and their negotiation skills and methods can write a book. In short, due to the natural advantages of the buyer, in the end many of our companies can only make very meager profits. In case something happens to the follow-up order, the Chinese companies will have to take the blame. I have seen too many such examples. To be honest, our foreign trade has been made into a deformed business model. It's time for a change! We do not seek arrogance, but in international trade, the most basic equality and win-win situation should be won.
Finally, I will talk about the ideal results I hope to see after a stage of power curtailment and production restriction, and the logical chain in it.
- Forcing factories to generally implement 5 days of work and 2 days of rest. Must persist for a few months, even one or two years. The time is short, no effect.
- So there are 2 results.
The first type: less production of 2 days of products, the total amount of products is reduced. Anyway, that’s all. Whoever pays more, who buys the goods, can’t afford the new price, then you can go to India and Vietnam to see if they are cheaper. You are the owner of the local stalls, so you should go to the stalls and don’t come to join in the fun. The epidemic is serious, so it’s better to avoid gatherings. Use price to eliminate some low-quality buyers.
second kind,It means that the amount of 7 days can be completed in 5 days. How to achieve it? It is nothing more than these methods to increase the number of machines and workers, update technology to optimize the production efficiency of machines, and scientific management to increase the average efficiency of employees and reduce the rate of defective products. In fact, the second type is what the country hopes to see. It is also an effort to promote.
3. Waiting for the 5+2 production and rest mode to become a habit and reasonableness, then it will be difficult to change from extravagance to frugality. Workers will feel that taking a 5-day shift is justified, and even if they are given more money in the future, only a small number of people are willing to work overtime. You should eat, drink, go shopping and enjoy life with the elderly and children in two days of the weekend. In this way, when more people have free time, naturally they will not stay at home every day. Leisure, excursions, sports, shopping, and gatherings will naturally increase. This will promote the recovery of the real economy. Demand for cars, restaurants, culture, and sports facilities will all be driven. Do you know how many billions of green economy are behind this?
4. The bosses have also recognized the situation. The low-level way of making money by extending the working hours of workers has become unsustainable. For those, you have to find a way to ask about technology, and management needs production capacity. In this case, technology and management talents in this area will be more useful. At the same time, another way to guarantee one's basic interests is to ask customers for more reasonable prices. There will also be a more comprehensive selection of guests, so as to achieve a true two-way choice.
5. Through these changes, people's lives will be more quality, and everyone will no longer be a tool man who is greedy for the dark, day and night. Have time to feel life and experience the splendor of life. People who love life are more energetic and enthusiastic, and people will become more kind and easy-going.
6. If the original production capacity is to be maintained, the factory needs to buy more machines and hire more workers, and the employment problem is also improved. As the people have more free time, all kinds of consumption will rise, and tax revenue will increase accordingly. Perhaps, if the common people are empty, the birth rate of children will also increase as a "by-product". Isn't this multi-tasking? How much green GDP has been added after this?
If all of the above can be achieved, isn't it the "common prosperity" we want? The butterfly effect affects our lives unknowingly. When you find out, we may already be in a new world.A few years later, looking back, the autumn of 2021 is a magical and profound season!
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