US think tanks performed war games in the Taiwan Strait War. Two nuclear-powered aircraft carriers were destroyed by Chinese missiles. 900 fighter jets were destroyed within one month of the war. Five major factors became the key to the victory or defeat of the US military on the

U.S. think tank war chess deduced the war in the Taiwan Strait. Two nuclear-powered aircraft carriers were destroyed by China's missile . Within one month of war, 900 fighter jets were destroyed. Five major factors became the key to the victory or defeat of the US military on the battlefield.

Because of the incident of US Speaker Pelosi 's outrage, the PLA's large-scale military exercises in the Taiwan Strait have attracted great attention from the outside world. Although the United States did not openly cross the Taiwan Strait’s battle group when the Taiwan Strait crisis broke out in 1996, the United States has not been idle for this period of time. Considering the continued tension in the Taiwan Strait, many American think tanks, including Rand Company, conducted war games on the possible outbreak of the Taiwan Strait War in the future. According to US media, after a long period of deduction and simulation, these think tanks have come to a basically consistent conclusion that with the United States' full intervention and the Taiwan authorities insist on "resistance", the possibility of mainland China regaining Taiwan and achieving cross-strait reunification is very low, and it may even give up the plan of "attacking Taiwan by force". After the result of this military push was reported by the media, it immediately sparked heated discussions from the outside world.

It should be noted that the war chess exercise conducted by the US think tank was not a "great victory", but a miserable victory with the Taiwan army. Because according to the estimates of US think tanks, when conducting military confrontation with the PLA in the Taiwan Strait, the US military needs at least 8 aircraft carrier combat groups and all the US military's air force in the Asia-Pacific region. However, even if the US military invests such a huge military force, it will suffer considerable losses, including two nuclear-powered aircraft carriers sunk by the PLA Dongfeng-21D medium-range anti-ship missile. Within one month of the war, 900 US military fighters of various types were destroyed, and more than half of the surface ships may be sunk into the sea. As for the Taiwan military, not only will there be serious combat reductions, but the entire Taiwan region will also become a ruin, with all infrastructure construction scrapped, waiting for the start of the reconstruction plan.

However, the US think tank also clearly pointed out that if the US military wants to achieve the expected results of the deduction, then five key factors are essential: first, and the People's Liberation Army will not do its best. Second, the United States is planning to showdown with China. Third, the Taiwan Army can withstand high-intensity combat. Fourth, China and the United States will not have a full-scale nuclear war. Fifth, the U.S. military's military base in Japan was not directly attacked. If we look at it from the surface, these five factors proposed by American think tanks are indeed very critical, but is this really the case? Can the US military really defeat the People's Liberation Army at the cost of a miserable victory as in war games, and successfully "preserve Taiwan" the region? There is only one answer: No. Because as far as the current situation is concerned, it is very difficult to achieve the five factors proposed by the United States in this wargame exercise against the Taiwan Strait War to be honest.

First of all, once the war begins, the People's Liberation Army will definitely do its best. If the war in the Taiwan Strait breaks out, the PLA, in addition to the necessary defensive forces, will be invested in the struggle to defend national sovereignty and territorial integrity, including strategic nuclear forces, which the United States must be clear about. Secondly, if the United States intends to intervene in the Taiwan Strait War, it must be prepared to have a full showdown with China. At that time, China and the United States will engage in unprecedented confrontation and confrontation in the economic, political and military fields. Can the United States afford this price? After all, Taiwan is China's core interest, but it is not the United States. Finally, as long as the US military intervenes in the Taiwan Strait War, the US military's military in the Asia-Pacific region will be the main target of the People's Liberation Army. There is no need to worry about establishing a new enemy and be restrained. As long as you dare to follow the United States to intervene, the People's Liberation Army will fight with all its might.

In fact, the results of the war chess performance announced by the US think tank this time are not only for the American people to see themselves, but also deliberately displayed to mainland China and Taiwan.To be simpler, this so-called "missive victory of the United States and Taiwan" in war chess is to encourage the Taiwan authorities and make them believe that with the support of the United States, Taiwan will inevitably be recaptured by mainland China. After all, this military exercise around the Taiwan region held by the People's Liberation Army in the Taiwan Strait region did put a considerable pressure on the DPP authorities and "Taiwan independence" elements, and brought a considerable psychological impact on them. However, the United States' "paper talk" approach has no effect on the Taiwan authorities, and on the contrary it will make it more worried about the outbreak of the Taiwan Strait War. After all, with the intervention of the US military, the construction of facilities in Taiwan has been completely lost, and the US military itself almost "submerged". At the same time, the US's performance during the PLA exercise also made the Taiwanese authorities doubt whether the United States will fulfill its "defense commitment."

Of course, the United States' war chess performance on the other side of the ocean is just an "activity" for their own entertainment, and does not affect the process of cross-strait reunification and mainland China's determination and belief in regaining Taiwan. On the Taiwan issue, mainland China has issued warnings and reminders many times. It is the United States’ own business whether to listen or not, but the People’s Liberation Army is also ready to attack any external interference forces. If the situation is really misjudged, then it is ready to take risks.