Island media reported on December 5 that Taiwan's "IOC" responded to rumors that the mainland might capture Dongsha, Nansha and Taiping Islands , stating that it would authorize commanders to fire back. "If the situation is urgent or effective communication cannot be achieved, It must be determined by the on-site commander." This is the first time that Taiwanese officials have publicly and formally spoken out on this issue, emphasizing the use of force in confrontation.
The words of the "IOC" are not unreasonable, but in actual operation, the possibility of surrendering without firing a shot is much greater than the possibility of firing back. With Taiwan's little defensive strength in the southeastern part of the island, once the mainland decides to capture it, the first wave of firepower will basically make the island completely barren. Taiwan's commanders may not be able to find a chance to raise the white flag even if they want to.
Taiwan has been an integral part of the motherland since ancient times. We have said this thousands of times. Precisely because the mainland regards Taiwan as a compatriot, it has always been unwilling to fight with its own people and fight against its own people. However, the island regards the mainland's goodwill as weakness and can be bullied. Instead of thinking about reunification, it intensifies its pursuit of independence in an attempt to separate China and create division.
The essence of the Taiwan Strait issue is Sino-US relations. During the Cold War, Taiwan was a foothold of strategic value for the United States on the first island chain. Its average distance from the mainland was only 200 to 400 kilometers, and it could deploy a large number of aircraft and missiles. Until 1979, these military equipment were gradually withdrawn after China and the United States formally established diplomatic relations.
This year has been affected by multiple factors: first, the COVID-19 epidemic has severely hit the U.S. economy and military power, further narrowing the gap between China and the United States, and causing anxiety in the United States; second, the U.S. election, Trump Even after losing the election, he still doesn’t Willing to do so, he does not rule out making some shocking moves in the dozens of days before he leaves office; thirdly, as the motherland, as the only legitimate government in China, its political and economic influence is growing, which leaves more and more room for Taiwan to split. The smaller the number, the more the separatists feel desperate and try to make a last ditch effort.
In summary, the relationship between the United States and Taiwan has suddenly become closer in the short term. Not only have senior officials from the U.S. government visited one after another, but the U.S. arms sales to Taiwan have also suddenly increased by several levels. Not only are they selling anti-ship missiles , rocket launchers and UAVs, and 66 F-16V fighter jets are planned to be sold in the future. The US military has even entered the island as "instructors".
Nowadays, China not only has an overwhelming advantage over Taiwan in terms of economic and military power, but also has a certain degree of advantage over the US military deployed in the Western Pacific. The American think tank RAND Corporation published a report in 2019, stating that even if the US military concentrates the entire Seventh Fleet, it will not be able to prevent our troops from successfully landing in the Taiwan Strait.
As the most authoritative think tank in the United States, the Rand Corporation does not say such things to be sensational, and it is objectively credible. This report is public, and it is impossible for Taiwan’s local government not to see it. However, they are still running on the dead end of splitting the country. Then they might as well follow their wishes and completely end the "New Democratic Revolution" that has been delayed for 71 years. , to achieve the true reunification of the motherland.
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