We often see scenes of tension between brothers. Internationally, it is not uncommon for some countries that are supposed to be "brotherly countries" to draw swords against each other. Ukraine and Russia are one of them.
Ukraine's Kiev was once the birthplace of Russia. Later, during the war, the two countries formed an alliance, Ukraine became part of Russia. During the Soviet period, the two countries were both members of the Soviet Union until the disintegration of the Soviet Union , and then each declared independence. It can be said that these two countries have deep roots and are brothers. But now the two countries have reached the point where they are about to meet at war.
In Ukraine, there have always been two forces confronting each other. One is close to the United States, and the other is close to Russia. In 2014, the conflict between the two forces broke out. The pro-American forces used street protests and the Ukrainian military defected to convert the original pro-Russian forces. President Yanukovych was ousted from power, which aroused dissatisfaction among pro-Russian forces. Demonstrations broke out, and the conflict between Ukraine and Russia escalated.
Just when the two sides were at loggerheads, Crimea announced that it would leave Ukraine and join Russia, allowing the conflict to continue to expand. As a result, small-scale conflicts continued between Russia and Ukraine until five months later, after multi-party mediation Only then did the two sides sign a ceasefire agreement, and the two sides did not exchange hostages on a large scale until 2019.
Seeing that the relationship between the two countries may slowly ease, in March this year the two countries started to escalate again, which sounded like a big fight. On March 11, Ukraine hoarded a large number of troops at the borders of the six states of Eastern Ukraine, and also used a large number of tanks and artillery. Faced with Ukraine's provocation, Emperor Putin was naturally not a vegetarian, and also mobilized a large number of troops to go there. border, Ukraine's foreign minister said.
This time, Russia may mobilize 120,000 troops. In addition, there are also Russia's most advanced fighter jets, , and a large number of tanks and other heavy equipment.
We all know that Russia is a major military power in the world, and Ukraine is certainly no match for its toughness. However, Zelensky was not afraid at all when faced with the pressure of soldiers. He even directly said that he was ready to meet Putin . The location of can be Is this going to be "conquered personally" anywhere on the battlefield?
In order to stabilize the morale of the frontline troops, Zelensky did wear a battle armor and came to the frontline. It seemed that he was determined to fight Russia. Where did Ukraine get the courage to compete with Russia?
01 The "support" of the United States
Although the conflict between Ukraine and Russia has their own reasons, it is also inseparable from the instigation of the United States and other Western countries. As early as when Ukraine was preparing for border crossings, the United States expressed its support for Ukraine and directly offered to fund 125 million U.S. dollars. also sent its U.S. troops stationed in Germany to Poland for military exercises, and even prepared commanders for Ukraine. .
I have to say that the United States has done quite well in this "Big Brother" scene. Not only does it support Ukraine, but it also enlists its younger brother Turkey to help cheer. It directly drove two warships to the port of Odessa, Ukraine, to carry out operations on them. support. With the solicitation of the United States, Japan, Britain, France and other countries have expressed their support for Ukraine. Britain has sent military advisers, and France has sent its own tanks and armored vehicles .
It seems that Ukraine's support group is very powerful, but when it comes time to actually take action, the U.S. warships are not in place because Russia has blocked the Equatorial Sea Strait.
On April 15, local time, Russia announced that it would block the Erythro Sea Strait and parts of the surrounding Black Sea until October this year. During this period, no foreign warships and ships would be allowed to pass. Originally, the United States wanted to open to The two warships that were conducting drills with Ukraine in the Black Sea returned immediately, leaving only the Ukrainian warship trapped in the Equatorial Strait.
Russia’s move is a stranglehold on Ukraine. Not only will its warships be trapped in the Sea of Azov for the first half of the year, but Ukraine’s import and export goods will also be affected. Faced with this situation, Ukraine has no hope of seeking help from the United States. We can only express strong protest against Russia, denounced it as illegal behavior and asked it to stop immediately.
Don’t even think about it, Emperor Putin will definitely not pay attention to it, and he also said that a large number of our frigates, , light cruisers, hovercraft, etc. have already gone to the Black Sea. will soon hold a series of military exercises. Now Ukraine only Can be dumbfounded.
02 Ukraine's "little calculation"
When Ukraine was still a member of the Soviet Union, the great purges and the Great Famine in the early days of Stalin's rule caused it to sacrifice many people, so it was not very satisfied with the Soviet government, although it paid a huge price , but after the disintegration of the Soviet Union, all the benefits were taken by Russia, which aggravated its opinion of Russia. coupled with the issue of the Crimea region, Ukraine became even more hostile to Russia.
But Russia has inherited the military power left by the Soviet Union. If Ukraine only relies on itself to fight against it, it will definitely not gain much advantage. Now that the United States intends to contain Russia, Ukraine naturally wants to seize this opportunity, so it uses Cooperate with U.S. actions in various ways.
Judging from the current world situation, the United States is still the world hegemon. In line with the mentality of leaning against a big tree to enjoy the shade, Ukraine also wants to hug the thigh of the United States and join NATO to enhance its own strength.
Ukraine is located in eastern Europe. It has always regarded developing relations with the EU as a diplomatic priority. It also wants to join NATO. Although its wish has never been realized, Western countries have not blindly refused, but have continued to give it Oral commitment.
For example, recently US White House Deputy Press Secretary Jean Pierre gave a positive answer when answering the media's question about whether the United States supports Ukraine's joining NATO. Although an official later clarified that this was a slip of the tongue, it is not ugly. The purpose of leaving Ukraine is to win support from the United States for joining NATO.
Because of its strategic location, it is in the buffer zone between Russia and Western countries. It knows that neither Russia nor the Western countries will be too harsh on it. After all, both sides are afraid that Ukraine will completely fall to the other side, so in Ukraine In the consciousness, no matter how unbridled it is, Russia will get used to it and it should not make any big moves.
It is not difficult to see that Ukraine has its own small calculations. It wants to rely on its special influence on Western countries and Russia, combined with the US policy of containing Russia, to move among the big powers and strive for the greatest reality for itself. Benefit.
03 Does Russia really want to attack Ukraine?
According to reports, Russia has 120,000 troops on the border. Is it because it can't bear it anymore and wants to fight Ukraine? In fact, Russia was also forced. is of great significance to Russia, although Ukraine is noisy. After years of containment by the United States, Russia's economic development has not been very good.
If Ukraine completely falls to the Western camp, it will join forces with the United States and other NATO countries to strategically encircle it. At that time, the U.S. fleet can directly enter the Black Sea or establish a military base in Ukraine. This is equivalent to the enemy directly taking over Ukraine. When the cannon was mounted at the door of the house, life became even worse.
Therefore, Russia has massively increased its troops to the border and blocked the Erythean Strait. This is to put pressure on Ukraine and clearly tell the Western countries where its bottom line is. This will prevent Ukraine from easily turning to the West and prevent Western countries from completely turning to the West. Don't dare to help Ukraine so blatantly. After all, Russia's nuclear bomb is not a vegetarian. Who wouldn't be afraid of ?
In fact, Russia's tactic of showing off its "military strength" is very useful. NATO promised to accept Ukraine as early as 2008, and it has been reiterated at every NATO summit , but it has always been only verbal. They are just afraid of Russia, because has made it very clear that Ukraine cannot be allowed to join NATO.
Therefore, Russia just wants to keep the current balance from being broken, and strives to keep Ukraine as a buffer position and maintain its own security; Of course, Russia also wants to take a breath in the face of Ukraine's provocation.
04 Where will Ukraine and Russia go?
The war between Ukraine and Russia has escalated. Looking at the postures of both sides, the war seems to be about to break out. What will happen to the relationship between the two parties? At present, the two sides are still in a state of confrontation. If they start to engage in close combat, the United States will inevitably intervene. will even use Ukraine as a chess piece to test Russia's strength, which may eventually evolve into a confrontation between the United States and Russia.
From the perspective of the United States, we hope that the two sides will fight. After all, this will further weaken Russia's strength. Russia also knows it. Similarly, Ukraine also knows that if a war really breaks out, it will turn its own land into is a tool used by others to compete for interests. The gains outweigh the losses, and we will not fight easily.
According to relevant media reports, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu once ordered that the troops participating in exercises on the country's southern and western borders will return to their permanent bases before May 1. Is this Russia retreating?
In fact, before Russia "retired", Ukrainian President Zelensky sent a peace signal to Putin, hoping that the two sides could talk, so Russia's actions can be regarded as showing its sincerity in wanting to maintain peace between the two sides. The two sides made As a peaceful move, is a waste of water for the United States.
The relationship between Ukraine and Russia not only involves itself, is also a great power game between NATO headed by the United States and Russia. This is a long process.
Ukraine, which lives in a crack among major powers, also knows that if it does not properly handle its relations with both parties, it may become a political victim of the game. Therefore, the wisest choice is to maintain the current balance and then We should strive to develop our own economy to enhance the country's comprehensive strength. After all, only when we are strong can we stand firm.
If it is blindly blinded by hatred or hostility, it will only fall deeper and deeper into the quagmire of the American pawn, and will not get the results it wants. As for how to choose, it depends on Ukraine itself.
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