Since the beginning of this year, international oil prices have been in a state of fluctuation, which has also led to a sharp rise in domestic refined oil prices, which has made many car owners feel uncomfortable. After all, the continuous rise in oil prices has increased a lot of expenses in the cost of daily consumption, so many people began to miss the low oil price era in the past two years.
Especially now, international oil prices have risen from the first day of the year to the high point and have been fluctuating in this range. Many people want to know when international oil prices can fall sharply? However, at present, such expectations are very small. Some experts said that international oil prices this year will be at a high point for a long time, so this also leads to the domestic refined oil prices in the era of "high-priced oil". The low-priced oil that many car owners want is difficult to see at present.
Because my country's refined oil prices continue to fluctuate with international oil prices, and today's international oil prices have always been at a high level, which has led to the fact that car owners choose to drive out now becoming a new question. In 2020, the international oil prices were at a low point, which led to the domestic refined oil dropping to the "5 yuan era" and "4 yuan era". At that time, many car owners were very happy. After all, adding a box of oil saved a lot of money.
However, this situation did not last long. As the economies of countries around the world began to recover in 2021, demand for oil increased, and national oil prices began to rise slowly. After 2022, international oil prices once reached a high price of US$140 per barrel, which also led to domestic refined oil rising all the way. At present, 8 adjustments have been made in China, 7 rises and 1 fall. Moreover, the price this year has doubled compared to the price in 2020, and many car owners basically spend more than double the money they spend on adding a tank of gas.
According to the regulations on the adjustment of refined oil in my country, the next round of adjustment will be carried out at 24:00 on May 16, which is also the 9th adjustment this year in my country. At present, it seems that this adjustment may rise again. Because international oil prices have always fluctuated at the high level of at , according to experts' estimates, the adjustment is about 225 yuan/ton, which is almost equivalent to the increase of oil prices of 0.17 yuan/liter-0.20 yuan/liter. For most car owners, it is estimated that it will cost several more dollars to fill up a tank of gas by then.
However, yesterday, the international oil price was lowered by the US Energy Information Administration for the global oil and liquid fuel consumption this year again, so oil prices fell on the same day. The light crude oil futures price of delivered on June of the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by $3.33 to close at $99.76 per barrel, a drop of 3.23%; the London Brent crude oil futures price for delivery in July fell by $3.48 to close at $102.46 per barrel, a drop of 3.28%.
This is also the first time since this month that international oil prices have fallen below $100, while Brent crude oil has also fallen below $103, setting a new low in two weeks. Brent crude oil has always been a benchmark for global oil prices and a reference indicator for domestic refined oil adjustments. The decline in Brent crude oil has also reduced the increase in this round of oil price adjustments. Therefore, some experts said that the increase in refined oil may be adjusted and increased by smaller, and may not even be adjusted.
However, even if international oil prices change again, the market price actually has a certain delay, and the impact of this decline in transmission to the domestic market will still take time. According to the expected adjustment, this round of adjustments is actually still rising, but how much it can rise depends on the impact of international oil prices.
Moreover, international oil prices have been disturbed a lot, such as the emergence of international disputes, especially under the influence of the Russian-Ukrainian incident, many countries have made new changes in their energy imports and exports. and internationally, although the United States requires OPEC countries to increase production, many countries have expressed their rejection, including Saudi and the UAE, all said they will not increase production outside the established production plan. This is also one of the reasons why international oil prices have been rising.
This leads to the current global oil supply being insufficient. According to the latest news, OPEC+ has been postponing the production increase agreement since August last year, which may be delayed until December this year, which may also lead to the high international oil prices this year.
So, if car owners want to wait until the oil price drops, it is estimated that it will be difficult to achieve at the moment, unless the global situation suddenly changes, but it may rise again to cause oil prices to rise.
This leads to the current global oil supply being insufficient. According to the latest news, OPEC+ has been postponing the production increase agreement since August last year, which may be delayed until December this year, which may also lead to the high international oil prices this year.
So, if car owners want to wait until the oil price drops, it is estimated that it will be difficult to achieve at the moment, unless the global situation suddenly changes, but it may rise again to cause oil prices to rise.
