World Cup analysis: 12-2
Messi loses points and joins Poland to advance together. Spain was careless and lost Jingzhou successfully entered the second half of the group (as for why I think it was successfully entered the second half? It was also mentioned in yesterday's analysis). Does this plot make us feel excited when watching the game? Yesterday's analysis in the first half of the area did not get a good result, but the conjecture in the second half of the area still confirms the author's conjecture from the results (put three pictures written in the analysis of yesterday's document)
Have you guessed it too? (Because the platform control is strict, it is difficult to qualify in the article, please understand and support it)
Without further ado, let’s look at today’s game, and the latter group will take the lead in kicking off.
From the current point form, Portugal has confirmed its promotion. South Korea and Uruguay are both fighting against the enemy. Only by defeating the opponent can there be a glimmer of hope. Let’s first analyze the qualifying form:
For Portugal: qualifying early, locked first in the last round without defeat, and losing may also lead in the group.
1. Portugal is unbeaten and will qualify as the first in the group
2. Portugal loses. The group qualifies as the following situations:
2.1: Portugal loses, Ghana wins, and the two teams have 6 points together. At this time, the two teams have a high probability of the first in the group (currently Portugal's goal difference +3, Ghana 0)
2.1: Portugal loses, Ghana cannot win, and Portugal's first in the group qualifies.
For Ghana: win the ball and qualify directly, and draw depends on the result of another game, and lose the ball and get out directly.
1. Ghana won and qualified in the group, and there is a high probability that the group will be second. Only when Portugal loses, Ghana has the possibility of being the first in the group (the possibility is low).
2. Ghana draws, which depends on the results of another game. It is divided into the following situations:
2.1: If South Korea wins 1 goal in Portugal, South Korea and Ghana have 4 points and the goal difference is 0. At this time, compare the total number of goals of the two teams. The team with the most total goals advances as the second in the group.
2.2: South Korea beat Portugal with more than one goal, South Korea and Ghana had 4 points together, South Korea beat Ghana more goals than Ghana, and advanced as the second in the group.
2.3: South Korea won't win, while Ghana directly advanced with the second place in the group.
3. Garner lost the game and was directly eliminated.
So for South Korea: the form is relatively serious. After all, facing the strongest opponent in the group and both sides seem to be a little unhappy, but Portugal has confirmed that it will play with all its strength in the situation where it is highly likely that it will be the best news for them. South Korea is eliminated directly if it fails to win. While ensuring that it wins, it also has to rely on Ghana's failure to win, and at the same time, it must score as many goals as possible.
1. South Korea won directly out
2. South Korea won, it depends on the result of another game. It is divided into the following situations:
2.1: Ghana won, and South Korea was eliminated directly.
2.2: Ghana tied, South Korea beat Portugal by 1 goal, South Korea scored the same score and the goal difference was the same, Ghana is likely to qualify in the second place in the group. (So far, South Korea scored 2 goals, and Ghana scored 5 goals. In this case, South Korea has to score 4-3 or above against Portugal to advance, which is too difficult).
2.3: Ghana draws, South Korea beats Portugal with more than one goal, so South Korea has more goals than Ghana and advances as the second in the group.
2.4: Ghana Loss:. At this time, South Korea and Uruguay both earn 4 points. The team with more goals will be compared. The team with more goals will be ranked second in the group, and South Korea has an advantage. (Currently, South Korea's goal difference is -1, Uruguay -2)
For Uruguay: if you don't win, you will be eliminated directly. When winning, it depends on others' expressions.
1. Uruguay will be eliminated directly if it fails.
2. Uruguay wins the game, and depends on the results of another game. It is divided into the following situations:
2.1: South Korea cannot win, and Uruguay qualifies as the second in the group.
2.2: South Korea wins, Uruguay and South Korea both earn 4 points.At this time, the two teams have a goal difference (currently South Korea's goal difference -1, Uruguay -2)
To sum up: Portugal is likely to win the first place in the group stage. Whether it can win the first team in this group stage will be a big highlight. Only when Uruguay defeats its opponent with a big score can the initiative be taken into its own hands.
1. Ghana (61) vs Uruguay (14)
Ghana ranks 61 in the world, and Uruguay ranks 14. Facing Ghana, who is weaker than itself, can Uruguay grasp the last life-saving straw? The two sides had only once. In the quarter-elimination match of the 10-year World Cup, the two sides shook hands 1-1 at regular time, but from the scene, they were extremely dissonant. They showed a total of 6 yellow cards. The striker Suarez even blocked Ghana with his hands at the last moment of the game. Although he was sent off by a red card, Ghana failed to score a penalty kick. In the end, Uruguay won the final victory in the penalty shootout and advanced to the semi-finals. After the game, Suarez also refused to apologize like Ghana. So many stories gathered together, and this game must be evenly matched.
Judging from the performance in the first two rounds, Ghana is the better side, scoring goals in both games, scoring two goals in the strong Portugal, almost drew with Portugal at the last minute of the game. Uruguay's performance in this World Cup is hard to say. With a world-class forward line composed of Suarez and Cavani (although the two are no longer as brave as they were), it is really unreasonable to not score a goal. However, Ghana's defense is really worrying. In the last round, when facing South Korea 2-0 at halftime, he was chased by his opponent twice in a row. Then it seems inevitable to concede the ball in the face of Uruguay's attack. So whether his own offense can pose a threat to Uruguay is the key.
Judging from the data given by sports lottery , Uruguay is definitely the more optimistic side. Uruguay's odds for winning are at a lower level below 1.6. However, from the perspective of support rate, it seems that players do not like Uruguay, but are more optimistic about Ghana, who was eliminated by handball in the 10 World Cup. Why did the corresponding Asian data get half favored in the market?
Comparing the data from the 10-year World Cup, Uruguay, as the home team, failed to play the market. Compared with the group stage data, when facing South Korea, the life and death sets given by the half-ball, and Portugal was given by the life and death set; Ghana was given by half-one against Portugal, and the draw against South Korea, then according to this data, Uruguay should be a range from low water to medium-high water in the half-ball. In the life and death set of Uruguay was eliminated if he couldn't win, the institution also gave Uruguay a very good face. The initial data directly gave Uruguay half-one high water, giving enough support. After adjustments to the future market, the water level only changed slightly, but it was maintained at half-one high water. Combined with the monetization of two strong rounds, Uruguay's scoring spell, which seems to have two world-class forwards. Whether the abilities of the two forwards have declined with the years, in this case, Garner will definitely not be ruthless in the player's psychology, and will definitely vent the grief of being eliminated in the 10-year World Cup in this game. Then the pulling force in the lower set is enough, and the high water level will also have a certain resistance effect.
To sum up: I am optimistic about Uruguay's victory in
2, South Korea (28) vs Portugal (9)
This group of duels are all duels with stories, and it should be very exciting. During the 2019 Juventus trip to South Korea, the failure of C Ronaldo caused dissatisfaction among Korean fans. So will Cristiano Ronaldo appear in this game? Will Portugal risk his player being injured while determining the high probability of qualifying in the group, and the main force will play to win the first record of winning the World Cup? Can South Korea win back the hurt hearts of South Korean fans when it can only be a little bit better if it defeats Portugal?
I believe that as long as I can defeat Portugal, I can get the understanding of fans even if I am eliminated. If I am easily defeated by Portugal, then how much pressure will Korean players face in the face of criticism from Korean fans? Then from the analysis of fighting intention, South Korea must have won the complete victory. Whether South Korea has the strength to win or defeat Portugal is a thing worth considering.
From the current sports lottery data, it seems that the data given by the director has not been adjusted by Portugal's fighting spirit. Instead, it gives away odds that are lower than Uruguay's life and death game, and Portugal's away win has also received support from players. The probability of corresponding Asian institutions entering the market is also close to 70%.
As European institutions significantly increase the odds of away wins, aren’t the sports lottery afraid to face huge compensation pressure? Judging from the initial data given by Asia, major institutions are not unified, which means that major institutions are not sure about the judgment of this battle. After adjustments in the future, they will all give in to customers half of the high water. So can this high water stop the chips from going up the market (the situation in Uruguay and Portugal is completely opposite)? So did European institutions know Portugal’s starting list in advance or did they confirm that Portugal’s main players would not play, so they dared to make such a big adjustment?
Let’s take a look at other data: Portugal’s corner kick against Uruguay 6-2, yellow card 3-2; 3-3, yellow card 2-4 against Ghana; South Korea’s yellow card 2-2 against Ghana, 12-5 against Ghana (Ghana scored two goals first, South Korea has no way of retreat, can only attack), 3-4 against Uruguay, yellow card 1-1;
From this set of data, we counted: Portugal averaged 2.5 yellow cards per game, South Korea’s 1.5. Is there a big difference in the impression of a fierce foul in our hearts? Portugal played 9 corners in two matches, averaging 4.5 corners per game; South Korea’s 15 corners per game; South Korea’s 15 corners per game; the game against Ghana cannot be analyzed as the main data, after all, the possibility of falling behind in the first half again is relatively small.
Judging from the data given by the agency, the corner kicks and 3.5 yellow cards are also a fair data. Combined with the United States vs. Iran, there are still constant topics off the court, and the institutions gave 5.75 yellow cards. As a result, the two teams are still very friendly on the court. So can the two sides still separate the external interference from the outside world and concentrate on football in this game? From the perspective of corner kicks, in terms of the factors that one or two main players in Portugal may not be able to play, why can Portugal still make South Korea 1.5 corner strongly? Combined with the data of the big and small balls, the data given by the two teams in the first two rounds were below 2.5 goals, and in this case, 2.5 goals can be given.
To sum up: The author believes that this battle will definitely be a goal battle, with the overall goal size greater than 2.5 goals, and the score may be a 1-2 trend. Entertainment: South Korea scored first.
Then the author gives a guess: the starting list is released, and there are indeed many main players in Portugal who are not in the market. After Uruguay led Ghana, South Korea also gave feedback to break through the Portuguese gate first. The plot in the second half is similar to that of France. Portugal mobilized troops to send the main players to the field. Ronaldo, who is very competitive, will definitely show himself strongly. Why do you think so that the main player will be replaced in the second half? Portugal certainly does not want to go to the top half of the group second to meet potential opponents Brazil. Even if he passes Brazil, letting Messi and Ronaldo meet in advance is not what UEFA wants to see.
The remaining two games are still left to all friends who like to watch football. If you have friends who like to discuss, you can send a private message, watch football together and analyze it together.
