text | Zhang Youhua
Before the voting for the nine-in-one local elections on Taiwan on November 26, the number of seats the DPP, the Kuomintang and the People's Party will win has attracted much attention at home and abroad. According to internal polls of various political parties, the DPP's defeat in northern Taiwan has been decided, and Tsai Ing-wen should know it well. Therefore, Tsai has frequently entered and exited the Central Party Department recently, criticizing electoral personnel, which has caused the first-level supervisor to be uneasy, implying that the collapse of the DPP's election situation is already an open secret within the party.
In terms of Yilan's election, Tsai Ing-wen used justice to purify Lin's posture, but it did not help the increase in the momentum of Jiang Congyuan . The factor is that there is a problem with the integration of the Democratic Progressive Party faction. Especially the faction of Chen Dingnan and Chen Oupo are cold-eyed at Jiang, which is where Lin Zimei is still better than Jiang Congyuan.
Taipei City Chen Shizhong sold his life to sprint for the election, but his hatred value was high, and Tsai Ing-wen's nomination was inappropriate. Only the British mobilized. Other factions could only beat the side drums and let the British rampant, resulting in Chen Shizhong's election campaign being able to keep warm in the same stratosphere. With Huang Shanshan attacking Chen Shizhong's vote, it was expected that he would lose to Jiang Wanan.
New Taipei City Lin Jialong fought hard against Hou Youyi . Even Lin thought he could not win Hou. This gamble can only be said that Lin is fighting for the Democratic Progressive Party, not the battlefield that Lin chose on his own initiative. Winning and losing is no longer a problem for Lin Jialong.
In the battle of Taoyuan Mayor, Tsai Ing-wen replaced the general in the last battle, and the source of the foundation of Zheng Wencan and the foundation of Zheng Yunpeng could not be transferred to Zheng Yunpeng, so the Kuomintang successfully integrated in Taoyuan, and Zhang Shanzheng 's momentum rose against the trend, and the Democratic Progressive Party's Taoyuan faction turned against each other, and Zheng Yunpeng's loss was inevitable. Tsai Ing-wen's intervention was too late, which led to a game of chess dispersed.
At present, for the Democratic Progressive Party, Keelung City's election situation can still maintain some advantages, mainly because Keelung young votes are still inclined to Tsai Shi. In addition, there is a gangster incident, Xie Guoliang fought too hard, causing some factions to rebound. If Xie can handle this incident well, there will be a chance to turn it around.
As for Hsinchu counties and cities, Yang Wenke has the chance of winning against Zhou Jiangjie, and Hsinchu County has a high chance of winning. After the integration of blue and white in Hsinchu City was completed, and after Zhu Lilun stated that he would remove the Democratic Progressive Party, Gao Hongan would get rid of Shen Huihong's entanglement.
Looking at the election situation in northern Taiwan, except for Keelung City, the rest of the counties and cities may all fall. This is a situation that Tsai Ing-wen is extremely unwilling to see, and it is also the political price that the DPP must pay for following Tsai.
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