Source: Taiwan Strait Network
Taiwan Strait Network February 14th According to the comprehensive report of the Straits Guide, in the face of the 2022 Taiwan local elections, various political parties have already started to make arrangements, and the direction of the mayoral election in Taipei is also a focus of attention from all walks of life. Taiwan's current affairs commentator Lai Yueqian analyzed that in addition to "legislator" Jiang Wan'an and Taipei City Councilman Luo Zhiqiang, there may also be "big dark horses". As for the few candidates currently emerging in the Green Camp, Lai Yueqian is not optimistic, and whether the People's Party can transfer the halo of Ko Wen-je in the 2022 election campaign, he is reserved.
Lai Yueqian said in a political commentary program on the 13th that the political sector of Taipei was originally the Blue Camp, but now the situation has changed. The Blue Camp and the White Camp have equal strengths, and the Green Camp is weaker, forming a pattern of "two strong and one weak". As for why such a situation is formed, it is because Taipei City Ke Wenzhe has attracted many young people and middle-aged voters, but Ke Wenzhe cannot be re-elected again. Whether he can transfer his halo to his successor is a question.
For candidates who may run for the election on the current Kuomintang, Lai Yueqian pointed out that Jiang Wanan seems willing, but is more implicit, "He wants to eat implicitly"; Luo Zhiqiang has a strong ambition, and his ambition is also in line with the taste of young people today, with a higher exposure rate than Jiang Wanan, and Luo Zhiqiang has no burden of family background.
Lai Yueqian believes that it is not appropriate for Jiang Wanan to cut off the Jiang family. He always supports his ancestors. This is what he needs to do for his descendants. At the same time, Lai Yueqian also predicted that in addition to Jiang Wanan and Luo Zhiqiang, the Kuomintang will actually have a third "dark horse". Like Zhao Shaokang said before, it is not ruled out, and the Kuomintang can promote many people. As long as it launches someone with a good image and respected personality, the chance of winning is relatively large.
As for the DPP part, Lai Yueqian analyzed that judging from the current candidates, the success rate of Green Camp to win Taipei is very low. He pointed out that Chen Shizhong, the head of the health department of the Taiwan authorities, is getting worse and worse, and the Taiwanese people's distrust of him exceeds trust, so they can be excluded; Keelung Mayor Lin Youchang is not well-known enough, Keelung does not equal Taipei, Taipei's governance is different from Keelung's governance, and it is not easy to choose, and he can only get green camp votes, which is difficult to attract middle voters; Wu Yinong relies on his family background, and there may be young people in the green camp to support him, but whether he can convince others is a question.
As for Huang Shanshan, deputy mayor of Taipei City, who is regarded as the "successor of Ke Wenzhe", Lai Yueqian revealed that she and she are good friends and said that Ke Wenzhe is training her, but Huang Shanshan is more of Nangang and Neihu . It is not easy to win by relying solely on the People's Party and the People First Party. Moreover, her votes are not enough to shake the entire Taipei. In the event that the "legislator" election cannot win, if Ke Wenzhe wants to win the votes in various constituencies in Taipei, Lai Yueqian has a relatively reserved attitude.
