Yesterday (2nd) was the last day for the registration of candidates for in 2022 "nine-in-one" election in Taiwan. With the end of the registration time, the "election mode" on the island has been fully launched, and the political smoke of the election is also coming.
Source: Taiwan media
Chinese Kuomintang evaluates that the Kuomintang currently has 12 counties and cities that are in power in New Taipei City , Taichung City, Chiayi City, Hsinchu County , Changhua County , Nantou County, Yunlin County, Yilan County , Hualien County, Taitung County , Kinmen County and Lianjiang County (Taiwan) 12 counties and cities are leading in the election; the election is stalemate among 6 counties and cities.
Party and government officials of the DPP analyzed that the four southern counties and cities in Taiwan, including Chiayi County, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City and Pingtung County, which are governed by the DPP, have been confirmed to be guaranteed. Now we must strive to defend Keelung City, Hsinchu City and Taoyuan City, and finally take over Taipei City. The DPP will not lose in this year's "nine-in-one" election.
Convener of the Taiwan People's Party's election team Cai Biru analyzed that if the situation is steady and no mistakes are made, Taiwan People's Party candidate Gao Hongan has the greatest chance to win Hsinchu City; in addition, the Taiwan People's Party's supporter Huang Shanshan has now been promoted to second place in the polls. If the current situation is maintained until the voting, there is also a chance to win Taipei.
Image source: Taiwan media
Yesterday, on the last day of election registration, Taipei City unexpectedly revealed 12 mayor candidates. Not only did they run the most among the 22 counties and cities, but they also set the highest number of all Taipei mayor elections. However, the outside world generally believes that the opportunity for Taipei City lies in the "municipal expert" Huang Shanshan, the "Zhenglan" Kuomintang candidate Jiang Wanan, and the Democratic Progressive Party candidate Chen Shizhong, who cannot get rid of the controversy during his term in office in charge of the Health and Fu Department. As Huang Shanshan resigned from his position as deputy mayor of Taipei City and joined the election campaign, the situation of Taipei City's "three-legged" battle was even more stalemate.
Source: Taiwan media
Observed from the registration list, Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Hsinchu City and Yilan County in northern Taiwan are regarded as the five hot zones for the "nine-in-one" decisive battle. Who will win the blue, green and white deer to death? The answer will be revealed until the final invoice is issued. However, the "2024" road of the three major camps of blue, green and white seems to have begun to see clues.
Image source: Taiwan media
The Democratic Progressive Party has always had a tradition of judging heroes by its military achievements. Recently, Zheng Yunpeng shouted that he would be elected mayor when he was building a campaign in Taoyuan, allowing his campaign chairman and current mayor of Taoyuan Zheng Wencan to join the Taiwan administrative agency, and then run for the leadership of Taiwan in 2024. This passage clearly reveals the DPP's consistent power logic, that is, if Zheng Wencan cannot help Zheng Yunpeng be elected as mayor of Taoyuan, Zheng Wencan will not be qualified to be the head of the Taiwan administrative agency, but will also stop at at "2024".
Image source: Taiwan media
Former deputy leader of Taiwan, Chen Jianren, and Taiwan deputy leader of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, served as the campaign chairman of Chen Shizhong and Lin Jialong, respectively, and were also given the same responsibility by Tsai Ing-wen. From the perspective of the entire DPP, the use of Chen Jianren and Lai Ching-te seems to be a joint attack, but for the parties involved, they are undoubtedly taking their own positions and entering the "2024" primary election mode in the party in advance. Once the auxiliary election fails, they are forced to fade out of the game.
Source: Taiwan media
In terms of the Kuomintang, there has been a long-term lack of selected generals who have made outstanding achievements. Zhu Lilun, who was questioned by the outside world, has never given up running for Taiwan's leader. Under the pressure of party factions being too cautious about him, the only chance to turn around is to win the end of the year-end election. If Zhu Lilun could stabilize the ruling advantages of counties and cities for the Kuomintang, even if his reputation was not high at this moment, the future situation would still be expected.
Source: Taiwanese media
The same logic, the most popular blue army , Hou Youyi , is carrying the blue army's super high expectations. His , New Taipei mayor re-election, not only must he win, but also to win beauty, otherwise it will repeat Zhu Lilun's "miserable victory" history in 2014. For Hou Youyi, the election at the end of the year will also be a test of whether it is to go up to the top.
Picture source: Taiwan media
The "nine-in-one" election campaign at the end of the year is also the "2024" touchstone of Ke Wenzhe . Ke Wen-je’s performance in Taipei mayor in 8 years is not outstanding, but in the island environment that hates blue and green fighting, as a representative figure of the “third force”, he does have a certain degree of advantage, especially Taipei City and Hsinchu City, which currently have the “three points of the world” in the election. If the Taiwanese People’s Party can break through, it will be equivalent to using votes to verify that Taiwan has room for “third force” in other regions, in addition to Taipei City.
Source: Strait Shinkansen
