Author of this article: Cuckoo
This article only represents the author's views and does not represent the position of this account
The US midterm elections are about to begin, and the current President Biden seems to be very out of shape and frequently perform badly. On the other hand, Trump is sharpening his knife, actively holding one rallies after another, and has made it clear that he will participate in the US presidential election again. For a time, supporters all celebrated. After the midterm elections, the political situation in the US and even the future of the US may undergo tremendous changes.
Now is a "critical moment" for American politics, because there are less than two weeks left before the important "midterm election" in the United States. This drama is about to be officially unveiled, and from what angle should we start to observe? Let me first point out the most core highlight of the midterm elections, which is actually the competition for Congress, that is, changes in seats between the Senate and the House of Representatives. This change will not only profoundly affect the US election in 2024, but also affect the policy direction of the United States in the next two years.
As we use the previously mentioned midterm elections to affect the U.S. policy towards Ukraine as an example. According to the US Politics, if the Republican Party wins in the congressional midterm elections, the US may immediately stop aid, and White House says Kiev is very clear about this prospect. The midterm elections affect the US policy orientation towards Russia and Ukraine, and the principle is that the midterm elections will change the seat pattern of the two houses of the US Congress. Take the US military expenditure to Ukraine as an example. First, it is necessary to vote by Congress to pass the majority and then approved by the president. For example, in May, the U.S. Senate passed $39.8 billion in aid to Ukraine by 81 to 11, while on September 29, the U.S. Senate passed $12.3 billion by 72 to 25.
It should be noted that this is a change that occurs when the Democrats have the advantage of the Senate. Once the Republican seats are in the midterm elections, the pattern and policy orientation of the US Congress will undergo tremendous changes. According to Reuters , some Democratic lawmakers who had previously led the election polls are "on the thin ice", and some competitions that were originally considered to be evenly matched are turning to the Republican Party. Kevin McCarthy, the leader of the Republican Minority Party of the U.S. House of Representatives, had warned that if the Republicans win the midterm elections, they would stop providing unlimited aid to Ukraine. The changes caused by the midterm elections are not limited to this, but will also involve all aspects of the United States in the future.
Since a few months ago, American public opinion has generally believed that the Democrats are most likely to lose control of the two houses of Congress in November. This is undoubtedly a good opportunity for their old rival, , the US Republican , especially for Trump, who is now very popular to "win the championship". For Trump, who once lost his chance to re-election, this time is a great opportunity for him to "take revenge". On October 22, Trump held a rally on Texas . He said to countless supporters in the audience: "The results of the 2020 presidential election were manipulated and stolen... I have run for the election twice and won twice. The second time I did much better than the first time. In 2020, I received millions of more votes than in 2016. Moreover, I have received more votes than any incumbent president in American history (for re-election). Now, in order to make our country successful, safe and brilliant again, I may have to do it again!" The atmosphere at the
rally was warm, and Trump's supporters were even moved to spontaneously sing the national anthem. As the last period of the midterm election is approaching, Trump has finally made almost clear statements that he will participate in the 2024 US election, which has put huge pressure on the Democratic Party. According to the latest poll in the United States, 46% of voters in the United States currently support Trump in the 2024 election, while only 43% support Biden. Compared with Trump, who is in high morale, is the current US President Biden fully prepared with the Democratic Party?
First look at Biden. Previously, Biden did lose his composure many times in public places, including incontinence in during press conferences, dozing off during speeches, "self-created words", etc., but it is not that frequent.However, as the midterm election approaches, Biden has made a lot of fools, and the "lost incident" has occurred many times in recent days. For example, at the Pittsburgh speech rally last week, Biden lost his way after the speech. After waiting and watching for a long time, he turned around and walked down the stage. And on the 24th, he repeated this state. After holding a tree planting event in his White House, Biden was confused and looked around again, and finally asked the guards where to go.
In addition to getting lost, when Biden called the new British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak to congratulate him, he misnamed Rishi Sunak again and called Rishi Sunak "Rash Sanuk". And he once again called Vice President Harris "President"... Biden's increasingly intensive poor performance has aroused people's concerns about Biden's physical condition. In an interview with Microsoft NBC, Biden said that it is "completely reasonable" for American voters to question whether people of his age can withstand the pressure to be president. But he believes that American voters should also consider his "passion" for work when considering his age, and he has repeatedly shown his intention to seek re-election. In response, White House Press Secretary Pierre also said to the public: "The President (Biden) himself said that he plans to participate in the 2024 election."
Obviously, the Democratic Party has to worry about whether Biden is causing trouble for their midterm elections. According to the midterm election poll released by the New York Times on the 17th, the New York Times and the Siena Academy in the United States interviewed 792 random respondents over the phone. 51% of independent voters expressed willingness to vote for Republican candidates in the 2022 midterm elections, 10 percentage points ahead of the Democratic Party. In September, Democrats led the Republicans by 3 percentage points in support of independent voters. The Democratic Party may have a headache in the midterm elections. Coupled with the long-term high inflation, it makes it difficult for the people to increase their favorable feelings for the ruling Democratic Party.
And Biden's Democratic government is indeed worrying. The American media once summarized the three major mistakes of Biden's first half of his term: energy and immigration policies in the early days of his administration led to soaring natural gas prices and a surge in border immigration; a 1.9 trillion stimulus plan intensified inflation; and cultural policies have embarked on a radical line, which are likely to ruin the future of the Democratic Party's future election. But Biden himself doesn't think so. He claimed in his speech at the Democratic National Committee that with his efforts, the U.S. government vaccinated millions of people, while driving a sharp drop in unemployment, helping small businesses survive and develop, and also launching a $1.2 trillion infrastructure package.
At the same time, he did not forget to attack his opponents, saying that once the Republicans win control of Congress in the midterm elections on November 8, the US economy will be completely in chaos. The Republican Party will not only not help the working class, but will also abolish plans to reduce students' debts, and extreme MAGA politics will occupy this country and the like. At the same time, Biden’s $1.2 trillion infrastructure plan also makes people doubtful. Judging from the current efficiency of the United States, there is a high possibility of a tit-for-tit-tit-tit-tit-tit-tit-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it-it- Compared to him, Trump's slogan "Make our country successful, safe and brilliant again" is obviously more attractive to American voters. Moreover, during Trump's tenure, the "rust belt" of the United States and ordinary people gained some benefits, which also gave Trump a certain "public opinion basis" to return to the throne of the US president.
Overall, since the midterm elections, the Democratic Party’s response has indeed been a bit bad. Perhaps it was the international changes such as the Russian-Ukrainian war that involved a lot of their energy, especially the continuous passage of large budgets in various aspects, and the huge distribution of interests involved the real eyes of the parliamentarians, and they had no time to truly consider their own election situation. As the midterm election approached, the more passive the Democratic Party highlighted its trend. Of course, the struggle between the two parties will still be more intense in the last moment. For example, the gas price in Texas, USA has been exposed, and Texas, with a developed natural gas industry, is the territory of the Republican Party.Recently, gun incidents in the United States have frequently occurred, and it has been revealed that a Trump supporter was shot dead by police after firing in an FBI office in the Midwest United States. Time is getting closer and the tension brought by the midterm elections to the United States is increasing. I am afraid that more intense events will occur recently.
No matter what, big changes in the United States are coming soon.
