Reporter | Anjing
Less than two weeks after the US Congress midterm election vote. The Democratic Party, who is worried about losing control of the two houses, invites former President Obama , hoping that he can mobilize more voters to support the Democratic Party.
To this day, Obama is still the most popular Democrat in the United States, with a support rate of nearly 60%. Obama's outing is also the states that are most fiercely competing for seats in the Senate, including Georgia, Pennsylvania and , Nevada .
and the situation for Democrats in these three states is not optimistic. In Georgia and Pennsylvania, the originally leading Democratic candidates are being chased by the Republican candidates, and Georgia even overtakes. In Nevada, the Republican candidate's lead is expanding.
When the Democrats asked Obama to leave, the Republicans also prepared a large number of legal lawsuits to request a recalculation of votes when the situation was unfavorable.
Obama takes the game
According to the itinerary announced by the Obama office, on October 28 local time, Obama will arrive at Georgia capital Atlanta canvassing votes for Democratic candidates, and then go to Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada and Pennsylvania. Before departure, Obama recorded an advertisement for Pennsylvania , saying that the election was related to the future of American democracy and the right to choose women.
In this election, the biggest fatal point for Democrats is the worst inflation in the United States in 40 years, while Republicans are the right to abortion. Previously, the Supreme Court overturned constitutional protection of abortion rights sparked protests across the United States, and the results of the midterm elections will determine whether abortion rights in multiple states can be protected.
This year's midterm elections will begin on November 8, with all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in the Senate. There are 36 more states in the 50 states in the United States to re-elect governors.
Republican Party, former President Trump has always maintained a high level of activity. He supported more than 200 party candidates and frequently participated in election campaigns in various states. For the Democratic Party, the current President Biden and Vice President Harris rarely hold canvassing activities in various states.
Next week, Biden will go to Florida to stand up for the Democratic gubernatorial candidate. On November 5, he will join Obama in Pennsylvania's canvassing event.
Biden's approval rating has rebounded recently, but it still hovered around 42%, which is close to Trump's approval rating when he was president. Although Obama has stepped down as president in 2017, he is still the most popular Democrat.
YouGov polls in the third quarter of this year showed that Obama's approval rating was 58%, ranking first among Democrats. The second and third places are former president carter and Sanders , which participated in the presidential election twice.
Democrats hope that Obama can mobilize more African Americans, Latino , young voters, and suburban highly educated voters to vote for Democratic candidates.
Key states are in a stalemate
Republicans have taken control of the House of Representatives. Even if the United States does not experience historic high inflation, in previous midterm elections, voters usually let the presidential party lose their seats in order to balance the government's strength.
But if the Democrats further lose the Senate, Biden's remaining two-year term will be very difficult.
is not only the policy and personnel appointments that Biden wants to introduce will be rejected, but Congress may also initiate an investigation into the Biden administration, including the motivation for the House of Representatives to establish a Capitol Hill Inquiry Committee. Republican lawmakers have already asked to investigate whether the U.S. government put pressure on Saudi Arabia, demanding that Saudi Arabia postpone the decision to cut OPEC+ until after the U.S. midterm elections.
There are 100 seats in the Senate, two seats per state. Currently, the Democratic Party and the Republican Party each hold 50 seats, and with Vice President Harris' vote, the Democratic Party has a slight advantage. The midterm elections were re-elected 35 of the 100 seats.
The Democratic Party’s advantage is that the party has fewer seats re-elected than the Republican Party: the Democratic Party has 14 seats re-elected, and the Republican Party has 21. But as of Monday's comprehensive poll, 22 of the re-elected seats will not turn around, and the other 13 seats are in the battle between the two parties.These seats include 13 states including Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin, Arizona , Ohio , and Florida.
Georgia, Pennsylvania and Nevada are the most competitive states, and the two parties have invested the most campaign funds in these three states. Georgia ranked first, with both parties investing $197 million in the Senate seats campaign.
Georgia is also Obama's first stop for canvassing, and the two candidates in the state's senator are both African-Americans.
Democratic candidate is the current Georgia Senator and the state's first African-American Senator Raphael Warnock. The Republican candidate is Herschel Walker, a well-known state star. Compared to Warnock, Walker has no political experience. But Walker is an old friend of Trump and has received strong support from Trump. At the beginning of the campaign, Warnock had a clear advantage in polls, while Walker was plagued by scandals. In addition to having multiple illegitimate children, Walker, who is slogans against abortion, has recently been revealed to have paid for two ex-girlfriends to have an abortion. Walker denied the relevant statement, while Trump issued a special statement to support Walker.
Real Clear Politics According to comprehensive statistics from multiple polls, as of the 27th, Walker's approval rating has surpassed Warnock, slightly ahead of Warnock's 46.2% with 46.8%.
Georgia voters are voting enthusiastically for this election. The state has begun to vote early. Statistics from the Georgia Secretary of State Office show that as of the 25th, more than 1.01 million voters came to the scene to vote early, close to 1.17 million in the same period of the 2020 election.
Monmos University poll released Wednesday showed that voters in Georgia voted earlier had higher approval ratings for Warnock, but voters who planned to vote on Election Day had higher approval ratings for Walker.
On the election issue, 41% of Georgia voters believe that the most important issues are employment, economy and living costs. Only 18% believe that the right to abortion is the most important, and 11% of voters believe that gun control is the most important.
But there are obvious differences in voters' opinions on which Warnock and Walker can better solve economic problems. On economic issues, 41% of voters trust Warnock more and 40% trust Walker more.
In addition to the unpredictable election prospects in Georgia, Republican candidates in Pennsylvania are also chasing Democratic candidates. The Democratic candidate is Pennsylvania Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman, the Republican candidate is Mehmet Oz, a star doctor with no political experience, and Oz also has Trump's support.
A comprehensive poll as of the 27th showed that Oz's approval rating rose to 46.7%, only slightly lower than Fettman's 47%. In Nevada, Trump's endorsed candidate, former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt, further rose to 47.6%, maintaining a lead over the state's current senator, Democrat Cortez Masto.
Next week, Trump will travel to Iowa, Pennsylvania, Florida and Ohio to participate in the canvassing event. In addition to Trump's intensive canvassing votes, the Republican Party has prepared a series of legal lawsuits to demand a recount when the election results are unfavorable.
The two parties have filed more than 100 lawsuits around the midterm elections, most of which are from the Republican Party. The content of the lawsuit involves various election links such as mail-in voting, early voting, voting registration, and vote counting.
These lawsuits were supported by the Republican National Committee. The committee announced that the organization had hired 37 lawyers in key states and organized more than 5,000 training sessions for volunteers to identify frauds that existed in the election.
So far, the Republican team has filed 73 lawsuits in 20 states.
