, known as the " The most important election on earth, ", has finally come to an end. The final victory was the Labor Party candidate Lula , who served as the president of Brazil for two consecutive terms from 2003 to 2010.
It is not difficult to find that Lula has three keywords, namely "respected, left-wing party, labor party" , which has caused two issues worth discussing.
What does Lula's personal victory mean for Brazil?
The Labor Party, a left-wing party that is a socialist ideology, is in power. What will happen to the relationship between the United States and Brazil?
1. Brazil after Lula came to power.
The reason why Brazil's election is called "the most important election on the earth" is because during the reign of "tropical Trump" Bolsonaro , the area of deforestation in Brazil's Amazon has surged.
And the significance of Amazon Forest to the world is self-evident.
In addition, during Bolsonaro's administration, he supported the expansion of citizens' chances of owning guns and poor control of the epidemic in , , and other behaviors. seriously tore up public opinion, and Brazil seems to look "broken and chaotic" .
So we can find that after Lula, one of the most popular politicians in Brazilian history, decided to participate in the presidential election, the people seemed to see hope.
Lula's victory, from the perspective of public opinion, seems to be something that will definitely happen.
But behind this phenomenon is actually a more serious party crisis - The political party is disconnected from society .
Take Lula's victory as an example. The Labor Party's victory is not because people miss the Labor Party, but because Bolsonaro's governance is too poor.
In fact, Brazilian people generally have a bad impression of political parties. If they are dissatisfied with the status quo, they oppose the ruling party, which has long become a vicious cycle of Brazilian politics.
In the long run, the relationship between Brazilian political parties and society will become increasingly alienated, causing society to fall into a crisis of party identity.
2. US-Pakistan relations after the Labor Party came to power.
On October 14, according to Global Network , Yan Ruowei, researcher and deputy director of the Institute of Latin America and Caribbean of the China Institute of International Studies once pointed out that the results of Brazil's election have always affected the nerves of White House .
The United States has made three efforts to this end.
First, is in advance in key areas such as security, intelligence, national defense, and information technology. is in advance. is . has an impact on the two candidates Lula and Bolsonaro. ; is senior US officials visited Brazil one after another, tried to intervene in the Brazilian election and monitor the voting results. .
, and Lula was frequently attacked during the campaign, forcing her to wear bulletproof vests and speeches, causing major media around the world to speculate that this is the manifestation of the United States' secretly supporting the right-wing politician Bolsonaro.
There are two reasons why the United States may secretly support Bolsonaro.
1. The Labor Party where Lula is located belongs to socialism and Trotskyism, and the party clearly opposes capitalism .
Lulla's victory must have made Washington very unhappy, but judging from the actual situation in Brazil, the ideological contradiction between the United States and Brazil will not be too great.
Because today's Brazilian political parties no longer have lofty ideals, values and beliefs, and they pursue more of the expansion of power. For all parties in Brazil, the most important task now is to obtain votes and maintain dominance through various exchanges of interests.
Naturally, class positions, ideology, public goals, etc. become no longer important. As a working class who was born in a working class, the corruption scandal broke out during his reign is the best example.
Therefore, from the ideology of the Labor Party, Brazil's policy program will be divided with the United States to varying degrees, but US-Pakistan relations will not develop into a tense and confrontational situation.
2. The Labor Party where Lula is located is affiliated with a left-wing party and opposes the US interference in Latin America.
Lula's victory was a trend of public opinion on the one hand, and on the other hand, it was also a trend of the left-wing parties in Latin America to rule to oppose the hegemony of the United States.
From the perspective of the Latin American environment, The US's interference in Latin American countries has been increasingly disgusted by Latin American countries and the people .
For example, in early June, the embarrassing moment of the Biden administration at the Latin American summit;
For example, in early October, the 52nd Organization of American States held a conference with the theme of "Commonly Opposing Inequality and Discrimination".
Brazilian international political scientists also criticized at the conference, "For a long time, the United States has interfered in the exercise of hegemony in Latin American affairs, but has never really cared about the development of Latin American countries."
As a major country in Latin America, the rule of left-wing parties is actually the "political correctness" of Latin America. But from this perspective, the possibility of conflict in the US-Pakistan relationship is higher than the possibility of conflict caused by ideology.
In short, after Lula came to power, he hoped to solve the social problems accumulated in Brazil and contribute to the world environment. However, many belief crises, institutional crises and trust crises faced by Brazilian political parties cannot be ignored.
As for the United States, it should give up the hegemonic idea of interfering in Latin American national politics, because hegemony will eventually be unpopular!