Russian oil facilities were attacked, igniting a skyrocketing fire
On April 1, an oil facility in Belgorod Prefecture, Russia was attacked, causing multiple oil cylinders to explode and catch fire. It is said that the attack was completed by two m-24 armed helicopters of Ukrainian troops, . After snorting into Russia at a very low altitude, they used rockets to attack a oil depot in Belgod and then returned.
Outsiders generally believe that this is a counterattack by Ukraine against Russia, but such actions are more symbolic than reality. Essentially, this operation is the same as the Ukrainian counterattack in , Kiev, and other places. It is a tactical counterattack. The purpose is to surround Wei and save Zhao, hoping to attract the attention of the Russian army to reduce the pressure on the heavy army cluster in the southeast.
It is believed that this is the case of Ukrainian Mi24 armed helicopter
At the beginning of the outbreak of the Ukrainian War, the Russian army launched attacks from multiple directions, including the north, east and south, with the attack pointed directly at the big cities such as Kiev and Kharkov. In fact, the Russian army's main campaign attempt in the first phase was to encircle or annihilate or severely damage the heavy army cluster in the southeast of Ukraine. Almost all heavy troops of the Ukrainian army were in this cluster, with a total force of 100,000 people and 4,600 tanks. If the Russian army achieves this battle goal, the Ukrainian army's combat capabilities will be greatly weakened. Since Russia has destroyed most of Ukraine's military production capacity, Ukraine has no material basis to rebuild these heavy troops in the future.
Russia has completed the battle encirclement of the heavy army cluster in the southeast of Ukraine
Now from the overall situation on the battlefield, the Russian army has completed the battle encirclement of the main force of the Ukrainian army-Southeast heavy army cluster. The most important nail in the east of Ukraine is being pulled out - Mariupol . If Macheng is captured, Crimea , eastern Ukraine and Russia will form an integrated, and Azov Sea will become an inner lake in Russia. In addition, Mariupol is also the headquarters of the Azov Camp. The key component of Russia's "Nazization" of Uzov is to eliminate the Azov Camp. Before the war, Ukraine deployed about 15,000 troops in Mariupol, including the 36th Naval Infantry Brigade, Azov Battalion, the 12th National Guard Brigade, etc. In order to conquer Mariupol, the Russian army dispatched nearly 50,000 Russian, Eastern Ukrainian and Chechen armed forces. After a month of hard fighting, it conquered most of Mariupol and could recover the entire city in about a few days. In this way, the Russian army can free up their hands to deal with other parts of the Wu army's southeast cluster.
Russian army is approaching to capture Mariupol
Now the Ukrainian army is in an embarrassing situation in the southeast battlefield. Due to the loss of air supremacy , the Ukrainian army's mobility is limited. The mobility of heavy-armed troops cannot be separated from roads and railways. In this case, once they leave the city, they will inevitably be hit by the air firepower of the Russian Aerospace Force , and the outcome can be imagined. If they defend each building area, they will be separated and surrounded by the Russian army and defeated each one. The outside world believes that the Ukrainian army cannot come up with measures to improve the strategic situation in the southeast direction, and it may only be a matter of time before the destruction of the heavy army cluster in the southeast is destroyed.
The heavy army cluster in the southeast of the Ukrainian army cannot win or get away. It is deeply in trouble
With the current strength of the Ukrainian army, it is not realistic to launch a large-scale counterattack. Therefore, the Ukrainian army took measures to siege Wei and rescue Zhao, and counterattack in other directions, hoping to mobilize the Russian army and reduce the pressure on the Southeast cluster. For example, the Ukrainian army concentrated its forces to counterattack in Kiev, Herkov and other directions. The dispatch of armed helicopters to attack Bergorod can be regarded as part of the counterattack operation. Although Ukraine has made progress in some places, the effect is not significant. The overall deployment of the Russian army was not disturbed, but instead contracted in some places, luring the Ukrainian army into depth, and then counterattacked under air fire cover.
The outside world generally predicts that the Russian army will concentrate its main forces in the southeast in the next stage, encircle or annihilate or severely damage the heavy army cluster in the southeast of Ukraine, and then wait for an opportunity to seize Kharkov and other places, expand the strategic depth, turn Ukraine into an inland country, and weaken Ukraine's combat capabilities as a whole.
