1. Overnight, European and American stock markets rose sharply, US stock Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.86%, Nasdaq index rose 3.43%, S&P 500 index rose 2.65%, FTSE 100 index rose 0.92%, German DAX index rose 1.73%, Stoke 50 index rose 1.79%, and French CAC50 index rose 1.89%.
Judging from the rise in European and American stock markets, today A shares will definitely open higher in the morning. If the high opening is not large, a good upward move may be ushered in the morning. If the high opening is large, there may be some fluctuations in the morning.
2, US Feder releases more radical rate hike signal.
Brad, the "Eagle King" St. Louis Fed, said it was too early to predict this problem now. Brad supports raising interest rates in the early stages of the cycle, raising interest rates to a level that curbs inflation, and then staying for a while for the economy to digest.
The Federal Reserve is raising interest rates at the fastest pace since 1980. After the United States announced that the September core CPI exceeded expectations, the market believes that the Federal Reserve still has a high probability of raising interest rates by 75 basis points in November and December.
3. The short-term technical field of A-shares has become warmer, don’t scare yourself in panic.
Shanghai Index Daily level MACD indicator successfully closed the first red bar, Shenzhen Component Index daily level MACD indicator closed the second red bar, ChiNext Index daily level MACD indicator is in the red bar range, and the short-term technical side is still in an upward trend.
From a technical perspective, there is nothing to be afraid of in this position. Although the trading volume of has decreased, it still maintains the upward momentum. 5-day moving average is rising to the 10-day moving average. It is normal to have a slight pressure on the 20-day moving average position. The increase in the upper selling position does not hinder the longing of below. The valuation is still in the bottom range. The short-term upward trend has not changed. There may be fluctuations in the day, but don’t scare yourself in panic. Now it is the long-term market.
4. Let’s take a look at the views of the top ten securities firms: ①, , CITIC Securities , believes that domestic economic and policy expectations are gradually becoming clear, and the year-on-year improvement of the economy is expected to continue until the second quarter of next year. A-share comprehensive recovery market has started and is expected to last for several months. There may be repeated disturbances during the period, but the repair trend will not be changed; ②, , Huaan Securities , believes that if the expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike in will no longer occur in the future, it is expected to usher in the oversold rebound in the global capital market. During the elimination of key international inhibitors, A-shares will also usher in the delayed release period. Opportunities for oversold rebound;
③, Haitong Securities views, drawing on history, credit data upward turning point and A-share bottom appear successively, and the implementation of policies to stabilize growth and ensure the delivery of housing is expected to drive the stock market to usher in the second wave of opportunities this year in the fourth quarter; ④, CITIC Construction Investment views, since the second half of September, the market transaction volume has continued to hit a low point, approaching the end of April, and the selling pressure has decreased, creating conditions for emotional repair;
⑤, China Merchants Securities views, considering the performance forecast of A-shares' third-quarter report, the recent Changes in the industry's prosperity and listed companies face some variables; ⑥, Guohai Securities view, the leading sectors in which the market leaves the bottom in the short term often have a certain degree of sustainability, which is likely to be the main line in the future. Sentimental repair combined with the third-quarter report window period, prosperity growth is expected to stand out;
⑦, China Post Securities view, believes that the market's pessimistic expectations have been fully released. As investor sentiment recovers, the market will get out of a sluggish and a significant rebound appears. Whether the rebound can evolve into a reversal remains to be promoted by new economic policies and the reversal of the domestic and foreign macro environment;
⑧ and Zhongyuan Securities views, valuation has always been an important factor for investment consideration. On the premise that profit expectations do not deteriorate significantly, only when the profit expectations are cheaper enough will the expected return rate be higher. The market valuation has entered the lowest 5% in the historical low, approaching the low level at the end of April, and the medium- and long-term allocation value has appeared again;
⑨ and China AVIC Securities views, the adjustment of A-shares is coming to an end, and the layout is now; ⑩, Industrial Securities views, combined with the multiple indicators in the timing framework, the current market has sent positive signals, and a new round of upward trend is expected to start in late October.
Comprehensive the views of the top ten securities companies, and overall it is a positive view. Most securities companies believe that the repair of A-shares has started, the valuation of A-shares is at the historical bottom, the downward space is very limited, and it is cost-effective. Combined with the current A-share market, it is expected to rise further.
As for how A-shares will go on October 18 and whether they will fall sharply, from an objective perspective, today, the sharp rise in European and American stock markets overnight will cause a high opening on A-shares, but it will have little impact on the whole day trend. my country will release the third quarter GDP data, which will have more impact on A-shares. If it is better than expected, it will stimulate A-shares to rise sharply. If it is oppositely lower than expected, it will have a negative impact on A-shares.
There is no recommendation in this article, and the stocks mentioned do not constitute any recommendations. The stock market is risky, so be cautious when investing.
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