Introduction: Pelosi After visiting Taiwan, the United States tried to falsely accused China of "changing the status quo" in public opinion. The author of this article believes that its purpose is to change "international perception of American actions" when military reunification occurs. However, when such a plan is exposed by the author, for a considerable number of readers, they can see through the American tricks, and perception changes will be difficult to happen. This article was published on the left-wing website of Spanish . Although it reflects the international voice of justice, it is indeed difficult to represent the mainstream of Spanish media. In the non-English public opinion field, the road to winning recognition is still long. Observer.com translated this article for readers' reference.
[Text/Andre Barbery Translated by/Observer.com Ye Chaonan]
Nancy Pelosi After a day of visiting Taiwan, he met with officials from the Taiwan authorities one after another, and his itinerary was full. Newt Gingrich , the last Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives who visited Taiwan, stayed for only 2 hours when he arrived in Taipei in 1997. Therefore, it can be said that these two visits left completely different effects at different times. To be more precise, this is a proof of the change in the US's attitude towards the strategic layout of in the Asia-Pacific region, and this is a scene where the US directly has conflicts with China.
Before Pelosi met with Taiwan’s leader Tsai Ing-wen, she had been in contact with Taiwan’s “parliamentarians”. She also told the “deputy president” of the Taiwan legislative body that she wanted to promote “cooperation between the US and Taiwan”. Pelosi intends to work with Taiwan to enhance the Biden administration's Indo-Pacific Strategy deployment, which is obviously a carefully formulated strategy to curb China.
There is a saying in Russia that there must be a calculation behind any provocation. In contrast to the comments of Thomas Friedman, a columnist for " New York Times ", the Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives' visit to Taiwan this time is not "insignificant and casual". Faced with China's warning, the United States has still launched this risky provocation, which not only brings unpredictable hidden dangers of escalating conflicts in the future, but also puts new shackles on China-US bilateral relations. "Our delegation went to Taiwan today to let everyone know clearly that we will not give up on Taiwan," Pelosi solemnly promised on behalf of the United States, "The unity between the United States and Taiwan is now crucial."
White House 's cautious post and Pelosi's firm visit to Taiwan are like a template of contradictions. In the United States, the Biden administration is very cautious; in Taiwan, House Speaker Pelosi firmly expressed the importance of Taiwan to the US government. We see an obvious contradiction, but we can understand it from a political perspective.
As we mentioned earlier, the information released by the Biden administration is to weaken the US government's open support for Pelosi's visit, but it also conveys that although it faces "threat" from the Chinese government, the visit will be held in a formal form.
Due to unknowns in the midterm elections, rifts appeared in the US Congress and the Democratic Party. It is predicted that most Democrats in the U.S. Congress will lose their seats in the midterm elections. In other words, everything will follow the trend and the results will be uncertain, and it will also be quite risky.
But the current situation is that under the influence of these uncertainties, people have great concerns and doubts about the pros and cons of Pelosi's move to Taiwan. This is a result of the Biden administration and the Ministry of Defense's efforts in recent weeks to better cover up the "firm signal" sent by Washington to the CCP.
The signal it conveys is that the United States is adjusting its "strategic fuzzy" historical policy toward Taiwan. The policy is fundamentally unchanged (that is, recognizing the Government of the People's Republic of China as China's only legitimate government and Taiwan is part of China), but attempts to change the international perception of American actions when China may reunify Taiwan.
Blinken Counter-arguing China's counter-revolution is a provocation
In this complex situation, all parties should act as cautious as possible.But international perceptions are very likely to be: unlike the vague practices in the 1979 "Relations with Taiwan Act", Washington may initiate military intervention in China's military reunification, and the CCP decided to propose the need for military reunification at a major meeting in the second half of the year. In 1972, during the term of US President Richard Nixon, the process of restoring Sino-US diplomatic relations began. Later, US President Jimmy Carter ended his "diplomatic relations" with the Taiwanese authorities. Against this background, the "Relations with Taiwan Law" was signed on April 10, 1979 and was born to protect the United States' commercial interests and national security interests in Taiwan.
Due to the lack of preliminary consultation and the lack of legislative proposals by the Carter administration, Republican and Democratic lawmakers drafted a draft law. On the one hand, the bill allows the United States to adjust diplomatic relations with mainland China, and on the other hand, it allows the United States to continue to maintain long-term relations with Taiwan. In the "Relations with Taiwan Act", the United States does not clearly state its commitment to "not interfere with China's military force", which has also left Washington with an "strategic ambiguity" image to analysts and commentators on the topic of whether the United States will interfere with military.
Joe Biden , which is even more so than Trump . It is a typical example of trying to change the status quo in the US imperialist government, even if the change process is slow, small, difficult and tortuous. Biden has been actively dismantling the traditional position of adhering to the "one China" policy in the past and has always proposed that the United States will provide assistance when Taiwan is in crisis, which is not directly pointed out in the "Relations with Taiwan Law", although there is indeed a vague interpretation space.
Nancy Pelosi expressed it more bluntly in front of Tsai Ing-wen: "We support Taiwan to maintain the status quo, and we do not want Taiwan to change due to force." Pelosi's statement is more decisive and firm. Although it is not an official answer, it is more indescribable than the 1979 bill.
As we predicted, China launched a military exercise to express its condemnation of Pelosi's visit to Taiwan. As Pelosi arrived in Taiwan, the People's Liberation Army of China issued an announcement announcing that it would carry out large-scale military exercises and organize live-fire shootings in six sea and airspaces around Taiwan Island. The Chinese military's "People's Liberation Army Daily" stated that "Taiwan independence separatists" should understand that "any China's move to Pelosi's expulsion to Taiwan is just, reasonable and necessary."
Xinhua News Agency official report criticized Pelosi for his trip to Taiwan in a large area on the homepage, and published China's outstanding efforts to build a world-class army in a record-breaking manner in a report. At the same time, a solemn warning was issued to the United States on the occasion of the 95th anniversary of the founding of the People's Liberation Army. The article uses the words of the Chinese President to express that "the People's Army will unswervingly safeguard the leadership of the Communist Party of China, safeguard national sovereignty, safeguard national security and development interests, and safeguard regional and world peace."
As international analytical and commentary expert George Friedman - founder of Stratford think tank (US geopolitical intelligence platform) - said, the four poles of the world are currently in a state of unstable state: the United States, EU , Russia and China represent more than 60% of the global GDP . (Japan, which had just experienced the assassination of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and , has been covered by the United States). All aspects of the crisis continue to grow mutually, which may amplify the impact of the recession problem.
"This crisis can be divided into four levels. The first level is the war level (referring to the Russian-Ukrainian conflict). Compared with most wars, it has a stronger economic influence, which has led to the crisis in the EU's supply chain. The EU has long been under great pressure due to its own internal fiscal problems.
The second level crisis is a bigger problem than the supply chain. The lack of material problems has affected most countries in the world. Therefore, this crisis not only has a negative impact on the four poles of the United States, the EU, Russia and China, but has also expanded to all parts of the world.
The third level crisis is the cyclical economic recession of the United States.The global supply chain breakage caused a sharp increase in energy prices, which exacerbated the U.S. recession.
The fourth layer, if nothing unexpected happens, the global demand for China's exports will also decline. ”
The current situation may become uncontrollable in the face of the subsequent impact of Sino-US conflict and Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan (a provocation for China).
(This article was published on the Spanish "Left Wing Daily" website laizquierdadiario.com)
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