Taiwan's "nine-in-one" election has reached a critical decisive period, and the Taoyuan mayoral election has also changed color. The candidates include the Kuomintang's Zhang Shanzheng , the Democratic Progressive Party's Zheng Yunpeng, the Ministry Party's Lai Xiangling, and the independent Zheng Baoqing . As the election is approaching, the latest polls about the four people have been released one after another. Although it is still unknown who will win, judging from the current polls, the results seem to be a first sight.
(KMT Taoyuan Mayor Zhang Shanzheng)
Let’s see the first poll results first. According to the 22 report of Zhongshi News Network on the island, the latest poll by TVBS shows that among the four candidates, Zhang Shanzheng led by 38%, and Zheng Yunpeng, who followed closely behind, had a support rate of 27%. Zheng Baoqing and Lai Xiangling's support rates were slightly inferior, at 6% and 5% respectively, and the remaining 24% have not yet been decided.
Judging from this poll, Zhang Shanzheng has the highest support rate, and Zheng Yunpeng followed closely, and the two of them have a relatively stalemate in the election. Former DPP "legislator" Shen Fuxiong believes that Zhang Shanzheng should not be happy too early. According to poll analysis, the support rate of the group aged 20-29 has changed a lot.
After a month of election campaign, many young people in this group began to waver, because among the undecided people, the number of young people increased significantly, from about 17% to about 30%. In addition, the support for Zhang Shanzheng and Zheng Yunpeng has also declined. Young people will think about who they vote for, so in the next month, Zhang Shanzheng and Zheng Yunpeng can put more effort into these young people.
In addition, Shen Fuxiong also believes that neutral voters are very important. No matter what elections, those who can get neutral votes in the end will definitely win.
Let’s look at the second poll results. "Mr. Sun of Taoyuan", who often polls on social media on the island, held a street poll in Luzhu District, Taoyuan City on the 21st and broadcast it live. The result is as follows: Zhang Shanzheng crushed the other three candidates with 55 votes, of which Zheng Yunpeng won 21 votes, and Zheng Baoqing and Lai Xiangling had less than ten votes.
The people on the island who chose Zhang Shanzheng said, "Zhang Shanzheng is upright, not cunning, responsible, and will not speak randomly." "You have to join the Kuomintang. The Kuomintang has more talents and is more abiding by the rules." "At least they are professional, they will not join the Democratic Progressive Party until they die." "He is more honest", "Zhang Shanzheng is a real doctor and looks kinder." Another female citizen also chose Zhang Shanzheng, who said she might have chosen Lin Zhijian. The results of this street poll of
also show that Zhang Shanzheng is the most popular, and Zheng Yunpeng ranked second, and surpassed the third and fourth places with a higher number of votes. Guo Zhengliang, a former "legislator" in Taiwan, also said that he had read several polls, and the results of the two were comparable.
In addition, Wu Zijia, chairman of Meilidao Electronic News, said in a live broadcast program on the 21st that he believes that Zhang Shanzheng has a very high chance of being elected. Because in Taiwan, except Taipei, every place in Taiwan has to use resources to conduct elections to a greater or lesser extent, and Taoyuan has many votes such as clans and tribes. In this case, the Kuomintang has a relatively superiority, and as long as Zhang Shanzheng is not excluded by people within the Kuomintang, he has a very great chance of winning.
Wu Zijia said that in this election in Taoyuan City, although there are 4 candidates, it can basically be said that only Zhang Shanzheng and Zheng Yunpeng are competing. In addition, it can be seen from Zheng Wencan's difficult auxiliary election that the DPP's defeat has been revealed, and this defeat point lies in former Hsinchu Mayor Lin Zhijian. Lin Zhijian was originally a candidate for the Mayor of Taoyuan of the DPP, but was later condemned by public opinion for the "paper plagiarism case".
Although Lin Zhijian withdrew from the election after a month of tug-of-war, the DPP still did not give up on "whitewashing" it, resulting in the increasing opinions of the people on the island towards the DPP. Even if Zheng Yunpeng was later replaced as the candidate, the effect was not very ideal.
Some people may be curious. During the years when Zheng Wencan was the mayor of Taoyuan, his satisfaction often ranked first in the list of mayors of various counties and cities. Why can't his successor get a high approval rating? Some media on the island said that this is related to Zheng Wencan's "everything is good at everything". He is very good at promoting and his energy cannot be underestimated.Since he had previously supported Lin Zhijian to elect the mayor of Taoyuan and had already given his favor. Now if Zheng Yunpeng is replaced, what else can he provide? Therefore, it may be a bit difficult for the DPP to get back on the right track of the election.
