Author of this article: Cuckoo
This article only represents the author's views and does not represent the position of this account
Putin spoke out. He stated that Russia's goal is not to destroy Ukraine, and he had no intention of launching another large-scale missile attack on Ukraine. Of course, Putin also mentioned that there is no need to meet with Biden and . Is Putin sending out a signal of peace or showing toughness? At the same time, as the US midterm elections approach, changes in American politics may come faster than the evolution of the Russian-Ukrainian war situation.
Russia's " Russia Today " TV reported on October 14 local time that at a press conference held in Astana, Kazakhstan that day, Russian President Putin said that the Russian target was not to destroy Ukraine, and there was no need for large-scale missile attacks. But when asked whether he regrets the decision to launch a military strike against Ukraine, Putin said, "To be fair, everything that happened today is unpleasant." But Putin still believes that "Moscow's actions are timely and correct." Putin's speech seemed to imply that Russia is looking forward to the end of the conflict. Is the "strongman" Putin sending a signal of peace to the outside world? At the same time, during the G20 summit, when asked about the possibility of a talk with Biden, Putin said "no need" and seemed to be showing his usual tough style again. So are you really planning to stop, or release the smoke screen to make a slowdown?
At the press conference that day, Putin answered a series of questions from reporters and made quite a statement about the current situation. For example, Putin insisted that he did not regret launching a "special military operation" against Ukraine, and said that even if Russia did not launch a military operation, "everything will happen, and the time may be delayed, but Russia's situation may be worse." At the same time, it made a statement on the large-scale missile attack on Ukraine by the Russian army, defining it as a retaliation against the "terrorist attack" of the Crimea Bridge. At the same time, he said that there is no need to launch further large-scale crackdowns on Ukraine at present, "at least for now, we will wait and see." When asked about its relations with Western countries, Putin said that NATO is best not to act rashly. If NATO deploys its troops to Ukraine, then "it will be a very dangerous step that may lead to global disasters." Obviously, Putin's statement in this regard is still strong, but this strength revolves around the strategic intention of Russia in the Black Sea region displayed by the "referendum" in the four eastern Ukraine, rather than continuing to expand further actions in Ukraine, which has the meaning of "maintaining success". It is inevitable that some people think that Putin's statement is sending out a signal of peace and hope that Western countries can understand that Russia is ready to stop. After all, if the current control area can be ceased, Russia can control a steady stream of losses while obtaining substantial territorial interests. However, will Russia's opponent accept his wishful thinking?
If we look at the current situation in Russia and Ukraine, the situation facing Russia is more anxious. According to the news released by the Russian Ministry of Defense and the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, both sides have made no large-scale progress on all fronts recently. Now both Russia and Ukraine are constantly using small troops to pull each other's fronts, and use air strikes and shelling to consume each other. In the defenses of the four regions, Russia obviously hopes to minimize the extent of consumption. Looking back at the largest prisoner exchange operation carried out by Russia and Ukraine since the outbreak of the conflict, Russia exchanged 215 Ukrainian prisoners of war for 56 Russian prisoners of war captured by Ukraine, including Medveducchuk, a leader of the Ukrainian opposition who is known for its pro-Russia. The previous "loss" behavior of replacing prisoners also seemed to show that Russia actually didn't mind lowering its posture and contacting the Ukrainian side. But Ukraine does not seem to be "happy". Ukrainian President Zelensky has long announced the decision that it is impossible to negotiate with Russian President Putin, and turned the decision into a decree and announced it on the website of the Ukrainian Leader's Office.But interestingly, Russian Presidential Assistant Ushakov commented on this: "Never say absolutely not." This statement has inevitably aggravated people's suspicion. Russia is more eager to negotiate with the other side than Ukraine, but Ukraine does not want to accept it.
In fact, on the battlefield in eastern Wu now, Russia's top priority is to quickly fill the riddled front line. During the World War II period, the German and Soviet troops concentrated more than one million troops on the front line of Ukraine in the south, but now the Russian troops have less than one hundred thousand troops on the battlefield in eastern Ukraine. Such a small amount of troops will have to take turns to return to China to rest and maintain the integrity of the front line, which will obviously lead to the result of "wind leakage everywhere". Although Putin has ordered the mobilization of 300,000 people to the front line, according to Russian reports, only 220,000 people have been recruited and the required troops have not been fully recruited. And with just these 220,000 people, it will take at least 3 months to complete the training and fill up the equipment. During this time, the Russian army on the front could only rely on limited military strength and logistics supplies to fight against the Ukrainian army with constant military aid from all sides.
Of course, Ukraine's side also has to face some possible changes in the situation, and NATO's continuous demand for resources against Ukraine has also begun to produce different voices. For example, Zelensky's latest demand for NATO includes $38 billion to cover Ukraine's budget deficit in 2023 and $17 billion to rebuild critical infrastructure. In addition, Zelensky also asked the International Monetary Fund to provide a loan plan of about $20 billion, as well as a targeted credit of $2 billion and a $5 billion purchase of natural gas and coal to set credit limits. Such a high price, so that American conservative commentator Tucker Carlson exclaimed on a TV show: "Man, who are you? Are you a troll? Go there. From when did that guy have the right to demand our treasury?" Recently, US President Biden also publicly warned Zelensky: Don't be ungrateful. Whether the temporary relative "calm" that has appeared on the battlefield of Russia and Ukraine will become an opportunity for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine or a prelude to a larger-scale bloody battle, we might as well continue to look at this issue from another level.
Previously, the US camp's rapid response after the disappearance of the Russian nuclear submarine "Belgorod" is worth recalling, that is, NATO and Biden's "diametrically opposed" attitude. NATO continues to "nuclear drills", and Biden calls Putin "a rational person." What Putin expressed now that "there is no need to meet Biden" seems to confirm the possibility analysis caused by the "contradictory" between NATO and Biden. Putin seems to believe that there are currently differences in the US camp and Biden cannot represent the overall meaning of the US camp. Under this possibility, Putin hopes that the situation will ease and says it is understandable that there is no need to meet Biden. Just as the Russian army also needs to slow down, first look at the United States' further reactions and changes, just be a little blurred and then talk about Tai Chi for a while. As the midterm elections approach, changes in American politics may come faster than the situation on the battlefield in Russia and Ukraine.
