(This article is compiled by the official account Yuesheng Investment Consulting (yslcw927), for reference only and does not constitute operational advice. If you operate by yourself, pay attention to position control and risk at your own risk.)
When the market is in high-end sideways, exit and wait and see. Many investors are afraid that they will not make any more profits and make money when they are trapped? The most important thing is to judge the location of the market first. If you are trapped in the rising and rising stage, you don’t have to be afraid of whether it is the rising or the main rising stage. You have the chance to get out of the trap. At this time, it is most taboo to kill lows and exchange stocks at will in order to chase the rise. What about
set on the head (as long as it is not raised, it is recognized as the head)? Once the market rises until it is still rising, it is necessary to gradually reduce the number of trading, pay close attention to the fluctuation amplitude, wait patiently for the rebound, and do not expect to completely get rid of the trap. You should know that selling with small losses is much different from selling when selling when it is big.
high-end sideways consolidation, it is best to leave the market and wait and see. I can’t help it. Remember, the mentality is only about grabbing the rebound! Never "take on lows" or leave immediately if the market trend is not right. Don't worry about "some stocks will rise." Don't want to make money in all the waves. No one is as powerful as that, and no matter how rising, it will not be able to buy it. Those who rise steadily are all rising slowly. There are many similarities between them 10 years ago and now because people's hearts remain unchanged.
What you lack is not only technology but also patience
Too many people lack patience. When they see the stock market sluggish, they stop losing and cut their losses. It was just that the book loss turned into actual losses. Regular cuts and stop losses are a shortcut to accelerate bankruptcy! Northbound funds are smart funds. Whenever they fall too much, they come in to pick up chips.
Waiting patiently is also a secret to making money by investing in the stock market. You don’t need to make too many decisions. You only need to seize the few investment opportunities in your life during the sluggish period, and you will be able to successfully get rich. This refers to buying in a downturn rather than your ability to buy the lowest price. In fact, no one can try to buy the lowest price.
Develop your own trading system
trading basis Strictly speaking, there should be a mature system. The system I am talking about is not a static and rigid thing. The system is a series of rules built on logic, and logic is a summary of its own market perception. The dynamic market is ever-changing. Even the concept of "following the trend" advocated in common sense is difficult to ensure that it can "following" to "following the trend" in actual market operation.
Traders who are long-term trend style must have strong psychological resistance to stress. We see that a K-line on the weekly chart represents the time of a week, which also means that long-term traders who use weekly charts to trade can ignore the price fluctuations every day.
The current market today's K-line fluctuations are unbearable. This requires a week's fluctuations. Just think about it, how strong a heart is needed? Long-term trend traders have a very high desire to make profits, so they can ignore the price fluctuations in a few weeks and insist on holding positions in order to achieve a big trend.
Why did the dealer sell the goods until the limit down and ?
Under normal thinking, the dealer must want to ship the higher the price, the better, so that you can earn more. Is that true? For example, this investor mentioned why some dealers choose to ship at the limit down? In fact, this phenomenon exists and why does this phenomenon occur? Let me explain this phenomenon below.
After the stock price has risen continuously, it reaches the target price of the dealer to prepare for shipment, but the stock price has reached a high level. For the dealer, it wants to induce our retail investors to buy and take over, but we retail investors are not fools. Seeing that the stock price is so high, they still choose to take over. Some dealer will choose to create a feeling through high fluctuations to give the market a feeling. At present, it is just a fluctuation washout during the rise, so that retail investors can take over, and the dealer completes the shipment. At present, this kind of method is relatively common in the market. For details, refer to the figure below:
above. We found that after the stock price rose sharply, the stock price began to fall sharply.Therefore, the dealer is used to the method, but the actual situation is often contrary to idealization. After the stock price rises too much, he wants to ship through high-level sales. The dealer finds that the market's takeover is particularly small and there is no capital at all, so he will choose to buy at high levels. This dealer will use another method.
Since no one takes over at this position, the dealer simply takes the stock to a higher level. At this time, the stock price rose, and many retail investors regret not at the beginning, and felt that their judgment on the stock was completely correct at that time. At this time, more people began to pay attention to the stock, and the trend was stronger than expected. After
rose, the dealer chose to quickly smash the market and reach the position where he wanted to ship. At this time, many retail investors thought that since I dare not chase high prices before, but the stock price has fallen rapidly, and they do not think that the stock is chasing high prices. They still have room for growth when the stock stabilizes. In fact, the dealer often uses the shipping method of a sharp drop or even a limit down. For details, refer to the example below:
, the above figure we found that the price of the expected shipment area and the actual shipment area were roughly the same, and there was a limit down for two consecutive days before shipment. This explains why the dealer sometimes chooses to ship with the limit down. He has made a lot of money in his account, and even if the price of shipment at the limit down is still very high.
Generally speaking, the dealer ships are to push up the shipment, and there are few shipments at limit down, because once the limit down occurs, retail investors are prone to panic escape during the session, and off-market retail investors will not take over for cautious consideration, which will greatly increase the difficulty of shipment.
In actual operation, the daily limit shipment is mainly caused by two situations.
, sudden and significant negative
Theoretically, the dealer is a strong group in the stock market. Whether it is the timeliness of obtaining messages or the analysis of messages, they occupy a great advantage compared to retail investors, but in actual operations, some sudden situations will also occur, resulting in them being able to ship at the limit.
For example, China Aluminum .
On February 26, 2018, , which had been suspended for more than half a year, finally resumed trading. However, because the stock issuance price involved in the issuance of shares to purchase assets is far lower than the current price, it means that the company issuance issuance at a discount, and major asset restructuring matters are far lower than market expectations, resulting in a direct limit down on the opening on the 26th. Both retail investors and market makers were trapped. At this time, market makers can only choose to passively ship the limit down, and there is no other way.
There is also Shanxi Fenjiu in the same situation.
. The market makers' inducement behavior
This situation generally occurs when the stock price is relatively low, and to be more precise, it is relatively cheap. The time-sharing chart is often manifested as a trend of closing the limit down and opening again after the limit down.
also takes China Aluminum Industry as an example.
After China Aluminum Industry resumed trading on the 26th, it hit three consecutive limit downs, and its stock price dropped directly to 5.9 yuan. As we all know, China Aluminum is a large domestic aluminum manufacturer, and its production capacity advantages cannot be underestimated.
At the same time, the supply-side reform in 2017 once again drove the trend of non-ferrous metals such as copper and aluminum, and the performance of related companies also showed a significant increase. In other words, whether in terms of fundamentals or technology, China Aluminum is a stock that can be held lightly.
In this case, the dealer used the method of closing the limit down and opening again on March 1 to ship in large quantities. The trading volume on that day was significantly increased significantly. The dealer successfully fled, and the stock price continued to fall sharply after that. Shanxi Fenjiu is also such a method of operation.
What is the purpose of the dealer smashing the market?
The stock market is generally divided into two situations: When the stock price rises, the dealer needs to clean up the chips that follow the trend, and sell stocks at a certain price to cause the illusion of stock prices falling. This practice can induce retail investors and followers to sell the stocks they hold. Another situation is that after a certain stock dealer completes the purpose of becoming a dealer, when the stock price is quite high, the dealer will significantly sell the stock and smash the market to achieve the goal of escape.
Why do dealers smash the market?
1. Smash the market during the upward phase in order to reduce costs.
2. Smash the market before pulling up, in order to get short-term buyers or retail investors with insufficient confidence out, and absorb the chips they sell to achieve the purpose of easily pulling up.
While smashing the market, the main force also obtains information about the chip distribution status from the throwing chips, which is often called "test".
The method and response skills of the dealer smashing the market
1, the waterfall-style casting the market
Most of the methods appear when the dealer ships are nearing the end. Sometimes they encounter some sudden major negative news, or the dealer's own reasons, such as shortage of funds, illegal manipulation and investigation. The dealer took extreme measures to quickly lower the stock price, forming a "waterfall-style" diving pattern.
In this case, retail investors should stay away from the market and watch the dealer "diving" performance. When you can't jump, go in and make a rebound first, and then depend on the situation.
, step-by-step smash
This trend is when the dealer down the stock price and adjust it for a period of time. When retail investors intervene due to misjudgment, they smash the stock price again, and then sort it out for a period of time, then smash the market downward, and the daily K-line combination forms a downward step-by-step.
After the market crash is over, the stock price may reach the bottom area, but the market bottoming time is long and the amplitude is large, making it difficult for retail investors to operate.
When encountering this situation, you should not intervene too early to avoid being trapped. Make a decision after a clear bottom pattern appears.
These five types of stocks are traps placed by the dealer, be careful!
Resolutely implement the "five no touches":
, high hanging neckline
hanging neckline: After a round of pull-up, a long lower shadow line and a small entity graph line (no distinction between yin and yang) appears at the high level, which is called hanging neckline. It is estimated that it will be easier to understand if you look at the following figure:
K-line is an obvious bearish pattern, usually after continuous daily limit increases. At this time, the main force will use all deceptive means and make various tricks to make the K-line look perfect, but it cannot cover up the fact that the main force escapes.
can be clearly seen that after continuous daily limit increases, individual stocks appeared at high hangs, and opened low and closed low the next day, verifying the reliability of the pattern, and then the stock price began to fall all the way. This pattern appears in
and high cross star
, which generally indicates that individual stocks have insufficient upward strength and funds after continuous rise. The main force shipped through pulling up and directly harvested. For example:
The stock appeared a "high cross" at the highest level of a wave of market, indicating that the main force began to escape, and then it fell continuously, and many people had not yet reacted.
, high-level huge volume closes long negative
When the stock price has risen for a long time and has a significant increase, the buyer's strength has been shown to be insufficient. At this time, the trading volume suddenly increases huge volume, and the K-line on that day is a long negative line, which usually means that the main force has completed the pull-up of shipments (no news negative). If you cannot clear the position in time at this time, you will be trapped at a high position.
The stock price opened high and closed low on the same day, closing out a large negative line with a long entity. After that, the stock price formed a double top, fluctuating and downward continuously, with a cumulative decline of up to 71%, showing that the high-level, huge long negative line has a huge lethality on the stock price.
4, short-side cannon
The so-called short-side cannon refers to the K-line pattern of two negatives and one positive. It consists of two relatively long negative lines and a short-side cannon. When the stock price appears in a high-level area, it means that the short-side cannon has gained dominance and the possibility of a short-term decline is extremely high, also known as short-term cannon.
For example, this is:
5, guillotine
The technical requirements of the "guillotine" K-line combination are: a bardo entity K-line with a large volume decline penetrates the 5-day, 10-day and 30-day moving averages, which is a strong bearish signal! It indicates that the short-term downward trend of individual stocks is more likely to move away from it.
The best escape point for the guillotine is when there are many lines in a negative way. Of course, if this escape opportunity is missed, the second trading day after the guillotine will continue to be the time to exit. If there is a downward gap on the second day, the signal of the line leaving the field is more effective.
Finally, I will share with you a bottom-buying indicator. This is an indicator with the attached figure. It is recommended to use the moving average system in the main figure. When the "bottom-buying" signal appears, it is necessary to filter it through the moving average system in the main figure. For example, when the "bottom-buying" signal appears, do not rush to buy. You can wait until the 0 daily moving average is up before considering buying. You can also filter it by looking at whether the trading volume has amplified before the signal appears. In short, not every "bottom-buying" signal can be executed. It must be distinguished through the assistance of other indicators such as moving average or volume energy. You can grasp the specific situation yourself. Copying the formula code will inevitably lead to some format errors. If it cannot be imported successfully, you can ask me to get the source code!
formula source code is as follows:
Short trend: ((3*SMA((CLOSE-LLV(LOW,27))/(HHV(HIGH,27)-LLV(LOW,27))*100,5,1)-2*SMA(SMA((CLOSE-LLV(LOW,27))/(HHV(HIGH,27)-LLV(LOW,27))*100,5,1),3,1)-50)*1.032+50),COLORRED;
VAR2:=(2*CLOSE+HIGH+L OW+OPEN)/5;
VAR3:=LLV(LOW,34);
VAR4:=HHV(HIGH,34);
Long Trend:EMA((VAR2-VAR3)/(VAR4-VAR3)*100,13),COLOR00FF00;
Judgement Bottom:SQRT(SQRT(FLOOR(SQRT(MA(1/WINNER(CLOSE)*100,4)/10000))))*5;
VAR5:=CROSS(short trend, long trend)AND Long Trend 25;
Bottom: STICKLINE(short Trend 10 AND Judgment Bottom 0,0,30,6,1);
STICKLINE(VAR5,0,50,8,0),COLORRED;
DRAWICON(VAR5AND Judgment Bottom 0,60,1);
DRAWTEXT(COUNT(short Trend 10 AND Judgment Bottom 0,8) AND VAR5,50,'Bottom Buy');
DRAWTEXT(CROSS(short Trend, long Trend)AND Long Trend 25 AND Long Trend REF (Long Trend, 1), 50, 'Fast Pull or Short Top');
VAR6:=CROSS (Short Trend, Long Trend) AND Long Trend 50;
DRAWTEXT(COUNT (Short Trend 30 AND Judgment Bottom 0, 5) AND VAR6, 30, 'Short Buy');
If you want to know more about the current A-share stage operation skills and formula codes, or if you have any doubts, you can follow the official account Yuesheng Investment Consulting (yslcw927). More future market operations and stock technical analysis methods are waiting for you to learn, and there are endless dry goods!
Stock trading will win forever: seek defeat, not win!
The method of eternal victory in stocks must be to seek defeat. Only by finding the cause and form of defeat, and then excluding the possibility of eternal defeat, you will get eternal victory. The price is ever-changing, and of course there is no fixed price rule.
So we cannot find a method and model that can always make money and always effectively make money, but we can completely find a failure model.
1. We can find a way to be unbeaten. We can win by defeat. In our lifelong trading career, we can only eliminate eternal defeat. Only when
can we achieve permanent victory. If we cannot eliminate permanent defeat, then our victory is only temporary and short-term, and when trading, the loser is excluded.
can use an unchanging mode to correspond to changes in all changes, a fixed mode plus "degree" to correspond to the ever-changing market, and a "degree" to frame the scope of defeat. Only by effectively setting the scope of defeat can we win forever. Prices are ever-changing, and only if the price remains unchanged is terrible.
Only the more changes we have, the more chances we have to win, the fewer chances we have to lose, and the fewer characteristics we have to lose. What we have to do is control the "degree" and rule out the possibility of eternal defeat. The rest is eternal victory. This is the success of our life in our speculative career.
2, Yitong Baitong , in our usual trading model, what is easy to explain is to solidify stop loss and let profits run, which is to correspond to the ever-changing market with an unchanging model.
The ever-changing changes of stocks can be reflected in the wavelength, that is, the wavelength is infinite, which is reflected in the market, which is the large market in small markets, etc., with infinite levels. We cannot measure the level of the future market, just like we cannot absolutely predict the trend of the future market, and we cannot predict the future weather.
But we can solidify the level of loss. When the stop loss level is triggered by setting amplitude in the method we use, when the stop loss level is consistent with the existing market trend, we will continue to stop loss. This is the trading method that tracks the trend, and the consolidation market will continue to stop loss at a specific level.
But the price is ever-changing, and it is impossible to always run back and forth on a level of volatility. There will always be arbitrary volatility. That is to say, the volatility that makes you lose is limited, while the volatility that makes you profit is infinite.
As long as we follow some rules, our trading will achieve positive expectations. Our method of eternal victory is how to keep unbeaten, and the method of maintaining unbeaten is only found in the form of defeat. We have limited funds to fight against defeat. The only thing about
is "degree", which means that in a lifelong trading career, as long as we correctly grasp the "degree" and strictly implement a fixed model, we can fight against the ever-changing market and achieve eternal victory. In some money-making trading models, we only knew the method, but did not know the reason, and only knew the reason can we go deeper.
Check the content, is the eternal victory in life, and the condition for eternal victory is to grasp the "degree".
3. Only by finding the form of losing can you find the theory and method of making money. From this, it is inferred that a trading model is correct and has a theoretical basis. As for what method, it is inconvenient to say more.
observe the situation and wait for it to be invincible. In addition to having luck in his whole life, there is another person who is genius.
Statement: This content is provided by Yuesheng Investment Consulting, and does not mean that the Investment Express recognizes its investment views
