(Health Times reporter Lu Yang, intern reporter Li Zhaoyi) 2, at the regular press conference of the World Health Organization, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Adhanom Ghebreyesus said that the global number of new confirmed cases of new coronavirus pneumonia continued to decline last week, which is the third consecutive week of decline in the global number of new confirmed cases of new coronavirus, which is encouraging news.
After sorting out, the Health Times reporter found that when the cumulative number of confirmed cases of new crown in the world reached 90 million, the time continued to shorten for every 10 million confirmed cases before, lasting 17 days, 16 days, 15 days and 14 days respectively. It took 18 days to reach 90 million, which happened to be within three consecutive weeks of the global number of new confirmed cases of COVID-19 announced by the World Health Organization.
The picture shows the global COVID-19 statistics platform of Johns Hopkins University in the United States
On November 26, 2020, the cumulative number of confirmed cases of the new crown in the world exceeded 60 million, from 50 million to 60 million, which took 17 days;
On December 12, 2020, the cumulative number of confirmed cases of the new crown in the world exceeded 70 million, from 60 million to 70 million, which took 16 days;
On December 27, 2020, the cumulative number of confirmed cases of the new crown in the world exceeded 80 million, from 70 million to 80 million, which took 15 days;
On January 10, 2021, the cumulative number of confirmed cases of new crown in the world exceeded 90 million, from 80 million to 90 million, which took 14 days;
On January 28, 2021, the cumulative number of confirmed cases of new crown in the world exceeded 100 million, from 90 million to 100 million, which took 18 days.
. Is the turning point of the global epidemic ? ?
So does that mean that the turning point of the global epidemic has arrived?
US University School of Medicine Associate Professor Zhang Hongtao said in an interview with a reporter from the Health Times that from the current digital trend, it is indeed a downward trend. For example, the United States, Europe and India have also begun to show this downward trend. So what caused this decline? It is not the effect of the vaccine now. For example, the wave of epidemic caused by the interaction between relatives and friends on Christmas in the United States has passed. At the same time, the United States and Europe are also introducing some measures, such as the recent US mask order and the lockdown of some European countries, which will bring the epidemic to a certain extent. Previous research reports that India's real infection rate may have been very high, so India may have herd immunity and is unlikely to have large-scale transmission again.
So, overall, we do have a turning point now, but what we need to understand is that this downward trend has actually appeared before (such as during the summer vacation in the United States), but later the epidemic trend rose again. So whether this turning point is really controlled after it turns, it depends on the progress of the vaccine.
. Professor Zhang Hongtao, the real turning point of the global epidemic, still needs to wait until the large-scale popularization of vaccination. The vaccination must reach a certain proportion, and at least more than 70% of people complete two vaccinations. So this is also a gradual process.
