The United States has not stopped provoking the Taiwan issue in recent times. First, some anti-China politicians clamored to strongly support the Taiwan authorities. Then there was news that the US House Speaker Pelosi planned to break through Taiwan and made a speech on China's policy with Blinken . However, after encountering China's solemn warning and strong resistance, they both chose "Yang Dun" (by claiming that they were positive and found a way out), but the small moves continued.
Last week, the US-Taiwan relations clause on the US State Department website was modified by the US side, which deleted the crucial statements of "Taiwan is part of China" and "The US side does not support Taiwan independence". A reporter asked about this matter, and the US side responded that the US side's "one China" policy has not changed, but everyone actually understands how Americans listen and believe in their words.
In this regard, US expert Bill Bostock issued a statement saying that the mainland may achieve the strategic goal of liberating Taiwan by 2030, and China has made it clear that if the United States interferes in the situation in the Taiwan Strait and intervenes in the future, a war between China and the United States may break out. Since the United States dispatched aircraft carriers to ruin the mainland's liberation operation in 1996, the mainland has learned from its mistakes and planned to develop a completely modern force, so that the mainland can no longer be controlled by others and will not lose its chain at critical moments.
Bill Bostock believes that after China invested hundreds of billions of dollars in military development and construction, it has now had a clear goal, which is Taiwan Island . Senior officials of the US Intelligence Agency believe that at the current speed of Chinese military development, mainland China will establish a strong army that can completely liberate Taiwan by 2030. U.S. National Intelligence Agency Director Avril Haynes said at the hearing that from now until 2030, the so-called threat from the mainland PLA to Taiwan is "serious". Since entering 2022, many American experts have been paying close attention to the mainland, and there are many American experts or US media that the rapid development of the People's Liberation Army will bring the day of liberation ahead of schedule. With the strong military strength advantage of the People's Liberation Army, it is obviously an impossible thing that is clearly pointed out in the US military's analysis report.
US expert Bill Bostock said in his article that the United States has expressed its support for Taiwan many times in recent times. Biden in March sent a group of former US officials to Taipei to support and cheer the Taiwan authorities. And according to the New York Times report, the US government privately asked Taiwan to order weapons from the United States, mainly to purchase small weapons for asymmetric war purposes, such as shoulder-mounted anti-tank missiles or air defense missiles, in an attempt to increase losses to the PLA's possible liberation operations. Now let the Taiwan authorities purchase it is to make preparations in advance. Objectively speaking, this is not just one benefit for the United States to sell arms to make money from Taiwan. Another benefit is that using these weapons and equipment will weaken the strength of the People's Liberation Army and increase losses in the possible future liberation day, which is in line with the actual needs of some American politicians to "hinder China's development and rise."
However, this move of the United States may lead to a war between China and the United States, because as early as the beginning of the year, the Chinese ambassador to the United States had made a public statement that if the US authorities once again encourage the Taiwan authorities to go further and further on the so-called "independence", then military conflicts between China and the United States are likely to occur. It can be said that this warning is obvious.
In fact, the United States is very clear about China's strength, especially the US military, which has always been concerned about the development of the PLA's strength. The US military has long been able to look at the level of PLA's strength to face up to the level, which is very different from some American politicians. Therefore, in response to the Taiwan issue, the United States has repeatedly used the tactic of cutting sausages to test the reaction of mainland China. However, this is inevitable that there is no possibility of touching the red line. If you walk by the river often, how can you not wet your shoes? Touching the red line at that time will have a subversive impact on Sino-US relations.Even if the United States is well aware of the importance of maintaining world hegemony, it is necessary to curb China's rise, but the Taiwan issue is a problem of China's sovereignty and a highly sensitive issue. In the past, the United States was a superpower, and its military strength had an absolute advantage over China and could do whatever it wanted.
But now the situation has changed. In the Asia-Pacific region, the strength of the Chinese military can not only prevent the US military from interfering in regional denial, but also send it out of the Western Pacific. Therefore, if the United States still acts on the Taiwan Strait issue according to the old routines and old hegemony in the past and plays the same trick, it may indeed cause military conflicts between the United States and mainland China, and the responsibility will naturally lie with the United States itself, and the ultimate winner will never be the United States.
