PLA A 054A missile frigate approaches 12 nautical miles around Taiwan
1: The PLA has made everything ready
Recently, foreign media said that Pelosi's trip to Taiwan put the Taiwan Strait on the brink of war, Western political scientists said that the PLA will launch military operations against Taiwan as early as 2023, and PLA may launch an amphibious landing operation early.
They also said that the military operation officially started at 12 noon on August 4 was a preview of an amphibious landing operation. If the war breaks out, the People's Liberation Army may dispatch at least 500,000 naval, land and air forces.
If the PLA successfully lands in the western and eastern regions of Taiwan, a large number of Taiwan troops may enter the mountains and wait for assistance, which will increase the difficulty of the PLA seizing Taiwan. Are what they said credible?
Ambulatory armored vehicles from a certain unit of the People's Liberation Army are launching an attack on the shore
2: Does the People's Liberation Army need to dispatch 500,000 troops?
At present, foreign military circles generally believe that amphibious landing operations are the most difficult, so a large number of modern naval and air military forces are needed.
Take Liberate Hainan Island as an example. The area of Hainan Island is basically the same as that of Taiwan, with only a difference of nearly 1,000 square kilometers. In order to capture Hainan Island, the 4th Field Army dispatched nearly two field army troops.
For the landing troops only, all the PLA's marine brigades and heavy amphibious synthetic brigades may be dispatched.
Take our army Marine Corps as an example. The Marine Brigade is a highly synthetic mechanized and informatized force.
A certain land combat brigade of our army (formerly the Mo Infantry Brigade stationed in the north) has hundreds of 05 amphibious tanks and 05 amphibious infantry combat vehicles.
In addition, Artillery Battalion is also equipped with dozens of 07B type 122mm self-propelled howitzer with amphibious floating capabilities. There are also many anti-tank missile launch vehicles and self-propelled rocket launchers in the artillery Battalion, not including command vehicles, front-line observation vehicles, armored loading vehicles, etc.
The main task of the tank landing ship is to transport Marine Corps personnel and vehicles to the beach position
According to foreign media reports, the Chinese Marine Brigade has 9 battalions of troops and a post of thousands, so the landing troops that need to be dispatched may require more than 100,000 troops.
In addition, there must be a considerable number of landing ship troops and frigate detachments to cooperate with the landing fleet for flat landing.
The number of light missile frigates under the East China Sea Fleet is basically equivalent to the sum of the other two main fleets. is enough to see that the force required for landing operations is likely to exceed people's imagination.
The People's Liberation Army also needs to block all sea and air channels in Taiwan's contact with surrounding areas. Therefore, the Navy must dispatch a considerable number of destroyer detachments and frigate detachments to , and only the "Iron Fist Detachment" finally established by the East China Sea Fleet is used as an example.
East China Sea Fleet "Iron Fist Detachment" has obtained 4 052D missile destroyers
"Iron Fist Detachment" equipped with Type 2 missile destroyers and Type 1 missile frigates, with a total of 8 missile destroyers and 5 missile frigates.
The task of the "Iron Fist Detachment" is quite heavy. If wants to launch a login battle, the "Iron Fist Detachment" may have to dispatch all the destroyers and frigate , and the required troops are very large.
To complete the task of blocking the seas around Taiwan Island, the PLA also needs a large number of conventional submarines , minesweeping ships and missile speedboat brigades, and invisibly, a large number of naval forces are needed.
In addition, the Air Force Aviation Brigade and the Rocket Force's conventional missile brigade are mainly responsible for fire assault and cover landing troops to get ashore, and the troops required will not be short.
It can be seen from this that the login operation has very high requirements for the number of troops. Foreign media predicts that 500,000 troops are basically within a reasonable range, and 500,000 troops are the basic requirements.
0 The No. 3335 "Bronco-class" air cushion landing craft of a landing ship brigade of the South China Sea Fleet
3: Will it attack Taiwan in 2023?
British military analyst Cranny Evans and other Western scholars believe that from the perspective of the PLA's military exercises and the trend of the situation in the Taiwan Strait, PLA's Eastern Theater Command is likely to solve the Taiwan Strait problem as early as 2023.
They believe that the PLA's anti-intervention and regional denial capabilities are fully capable of responding to US military interference. The People's Liberation Army mainly relies on bombing Aviation and medium- and long-range shore-based anti-ship ballistic missiles to deal with possible extraterritorial countries.
At present, H6K bomber has replaced the early H6H and H6M bombers as the main type of the People's Liberation Army bomber division. The number of external points of the H6K "God of War" bomber exceeds the H6H and H6G.
H-6K bombers and Changjian 20 air-launched cruise missiles are already confident of attacking Guam 's naval and air force base.
Rocket Force has successively installed 2 generations of large-range anti-aircraft carrier ballistic missiles, and high-altitude drones and space-based satellite systems can continuously track aircraft carrier .
Dongfeng-26 is the only anti-ship missile in the world with a range of more than 3,000 kilometers
Dongfeng-26 anti-ship missile, with the support of the Beidou navigation system and the terminal guidance system, can accurately strike large maneuver targets thousands of kilometers away.
The landing combat capabilities of the PLA East China Sea Fleet and the South China Sea Fleet have also made great progress. More than 10 dock landing ships above 20,000 tons and amphibious assault ships have formed combat effectiveness. Each amphibious ship can transport dozens of vehicles from the Marine Corps Synthesis Battalion to the nearshore waters.
The People's Liberation Army not only has the ability and strength to counter-intervention, but also has the ability to jointly land on multiple armies. The situation in the Taiwan Strait in 2022 may make the People's Liberation Army determined to solve the problem in 2023. However, when to resolve the Taiwan issue depends on our comprehensive consideration of the international situation and the situation in the Taiwan Strait.
Taiwan Army is already considering the issue of going up the mountain
4: Will the People's Liberation Army encounter difficult problems?
Western scholars believe that as long as the PLA's heavy amphibious synthetic brigade and land combat brigade lands, the Taiwan military's marching space in the West Coast Plain will basically be lost.
The People's Liberation Army's medium-sized synthetic brigade's 8-wheel armored vehicles will give full play to its maneuverability, rely on the road to seize the important traffic lanes, and complete the division and encirclement of the Taiwan Mechanical and Infantry Brigade and the Armored Brigade. At that time, the Taiwanese authorities will be defeated.
Therefore, the so-called Western scholars' advice to the Taiwan military is to go into the mountains and wait for assistance. Taiwan's terrain is long and narrow in the north and south, and the central mountain range of runs through Taiwan. The terrain advantages will bring a glimmer of vitality to the Taiwan authorities.
It can be said that Western scholars have no military knowledge at all. Will the PLA give the Tsai administration any chance to turn the tables?
People's Liberation Army will not give any chance to the Taiwan authorities. The picture shows the -Zhi 10 armed helicopter of our army's army's army's army's airports, ports and multiple air defense missile forces will be closely monitored by the People's Liberation Army. The Taiwan military's mechanic and infantry brigades and armored brigades will not receive any air fire support. Whether the camp can be opened at that time will be a problem.
PLA Army 's best tactics such as interspersion, detour, segmentation, and siege will give the Taiwan Army a synthetic brigade tactical theory and practice course. It is very difficult for the Taiwan Army to go up the mountain.
Conclusion:
We don’t want to see the scene of fighting between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, as that will only hurt the loved ones and the enemy will be happy. However, if the Tsai administration does not listen to the advice, the People's Liberation Army's military preparations for struggle will not be empty talk.