According to Taiwan media reports, "nine-in-one" election has less than two months left, and the "Taipei Battle" has attracted much attention. On the 3rd, Taiwan media released a latest poll for Taipei mayor candidates. From the results, we can see that Jiang Wan'an's support rate reached 40%, and Huang Shanshan's support rate was 23%. The gap between the two widened to 17 percentage points, while the third was Chen Shizhong, the Democratic Progressive Party, with only 22%. In response, senior media person Shan Houzhi said today (4th) that "'abandonment of insurance' will happen to Chen Shizhong and Huang Shanshan", which triggered discussion.
According to the report of "Beautiful Island Electronic News", Shan Houzhi believes that Taipei citizens have rich experience in "abandoning security" in elections, and this year's Taipei mayoral election will be different from previous years. Shan Houzhi mentioned that Huang Shanshan's background and blue and green background have some connections, so she can get some votes between the two parties, while "abandonment of security" depends on "hate" and "fear". She hates a certain candidate's camp, so she switches to the next best candidate in her mind. Now Chen Shizhong's hatred value is the highest among the "Three-legged Supervisor", so most people before believed that "abandonment of insurance may occur between Jiang Wanan and Huang Shanshan."
However, Shan Houzhi also said that after the Zhou Yukou storm, the situation was broken. From the Taiwanese media polls, we can see that the gap between Jiang Wan'an and Huang Shanshan is widening, and the crisis of Jiang Wan'an being abandoned by Huang Shanshan is roughly lifted. Jiang's camp took a reassurance. As long as the current trend can be maintained, the possibility of being elected is very high. In the future, they will inevitably seek stability and not be impatient, and the chance of making big mistakes will be greatly reduced. However, this also makes the "abandonment of insurance" happen to Chen Shizhong and Huang Shanshan. Shan Houzhi believes that "abandonment of insurance" will be easier and more effective than "abandonment of insurance of insurance of the Chinese Communist Party".
Shan Houzhi admitted that in this "nine-in-one" election, both parties are the party chairman's decision to the world and confiscate the party's primary election mechanism, so the party chairman must bear full responsibility for success or failure. It was reported in the Democratic Progressive Party that if both Taipei and Taoyuan win, they will be considered a big victory. If one is kept, they will be equal. If both lose, Tsai Ing-wen will have to resign from the party chairman. Shan Houzhi mentioned that Chen Shizhong's election situation is not good now, but Zheng Yunpeng from Taoyuan still has a chance of winning, so Tsai Ing-wen may not be lame immediately after the election, but the voice of internal party review will rise, which will lead to her embarrassment.
Finally, Shan Houzhi said that Tsai Ing-wen's future is now quite bound to Chen Shizhong. The worse the election situation of Chen Shizhong, the more Tsai Ing-wen needs to support and consolidate the basic market. We must never let Chen Shizhong become third. Therefore, it is difficult to "abandon the Chinese and protect Shan" at the end of the year. Huang Shanshan's abandonment of insurance will not be very serious, but she will not be able to abandon the insurance.
#Taiwan# #Taiwan 2022 County Mayor Election# #Chen Shizhong# #Jiang Wan'an Mayor of Taipei # #Huang Shanshan#
