(This article is compiled by the official account Yuesheng Research (yslc927yj), for reference only and does not constitute operational advice. If you operate by yourself, pay attention to position control and risk at your own risk.)
Why do nine out of ten people lose money when trading stocks? Is it really like this if you trade stocks?
statistics show that 80% of the trading volume of A shares comes from individual retail investors. The profits obtained by individual retail investors from the stock market are only about 9% of the total profit. That is to say, nearly 200 million Chinese investors have been busy in the stock market for most of the day, but in the end they are just a bustling game.
Why are the investment returns of Chinese investors so poor?
There are many different opinions on the reasons, such as:
1. The Chinese stock market is not as good as the United States, and the bull is short and the bear is long.
2. Chinese investors are not good at quality, so they know how to inquire about news and short-term operations all day long.
3. The China Securities Regulatory Commission is not strong enough and does not protect small investors.
4. There are many cases of Chinese listed companies not being of good quality, fraud and exaggerating profits, etc.
These statements are neither correct nor completely correct. And there may be only one real key reason: stock trading is a loss-making transaction.
Why? Share a real story and you will understand the general idea!
The owner stewed a piece of bone, ate the meat, drank the soup, and knocked and sucked it away.
Then throw the bones to the ten dogs raised at home.
Ten dogs fought hard, and the dog that insisted until the end left with his bones, and didn't eat anything, after all, there were only bones left.
Back to the meeting, ten dogs held a meeting together. Not only did they not eat anything to grab meat bones, but they also consumed the energy stored in their bodies during the fight. So they sighed: I can’t eat enough to grab bones, why? Yes, from the moment the owner stewed the stick bones, the fate of the dog cannot eat anything was determined.
Why?
Because I didn’t think about giving you meat from the beginning. The meat is in the pot, and what can be thrown on the ground is all about?
But why are the dogs still enjoying snatching bones? Because in the process of scrambling, some stupid and weak dogs will die, and the dead dogs will be eaten.
Of course, most owners cooked the dog meat pot and some miscellaneous pieces, so the surviving dogs shared the food. So as long as they can survive, the dog has thoughts or can eat meat. Although this is the same kind of meat.
So the dogs are actually gambling. What they are betting is that among these dogs who are robbing bones, there are those who are stupider than themselves and weaker than themselves, so they will consume until they die and eat their corpse.
Yes, ten dogs grab bones, usually nine are just hanging the lottery. Everyone can only smack the bloody smell in their mouths and enjoy it. This is usually the case.
But if a dog dies, everyone can share it and there is always a bite. This is the occasion of a feast. After all, eating similar meat is not good, so when others ask, everyone says they are eating beef, which is made in the bull market.
If too many die, the owner will not throw away the flesh and bones at first, wait for the dog to rest and accumulate enough to continue playing. Is it realistic? Is it appropriate?
Investment is a practice of heavy holdings. The key is that only those who dare to buy enter the investment door when entering the undervalued range. Those who dare to buy are afraid of being trapped or buying want to rise. Even the edge of investment has not been touched!
The Chinese stock market has been in the blink of an eye since 1990. It has been 29 years in the blink of an eye. People say that it is thirty. The Chinese stock market has gradually grown from a child, and now it is almost thirty years. China's economy has developed rapidly in the past 20 years. However, for Chinese stock investors, most of them have not enjoyed the stock market dividends brought by rapid development. On the contrary, most investors have suffered a lot in the stock market, with seven losses, two draws and one profit. This is the curse of Chinese A-share investors.
I have been thinking about this question recently. It is said that the stock market is the barometer of the economy. In recent decades, China has developed rapidly, from poverty and backwardness to the current well-off society. By the way, the stock market should be bullish, but why did the Chinese stock market become like this? The stock market crash from 6124 to 1664, and the stock market crash from 5178 to 2638, and the stock market crash from 2638, and it is full of wailing. In many science and technology, China can overtake on the curve, and even lead the international level, but why is the Chinese stock market soaring the world.
Many people say it is a problem with the Chinese stock market system. In fact, I personally think that Chinese stock investors are too speculative. Most investors want to make quick money in this market. Excessive participation in short-term trading will eventually lead to excessive fluctuations in the Chinese stock market, and funds blindly chase each other. 80% of the Chinese stock market participants are retail investors. Although each investor has little capital, the total amount of more than 100 million investors is very large. So much money participates in short-term speculation, which will ultimately affect the stock prices of listed companies.
Let’s first talk about the reasons why 99% of the stock market have made the same mistakes:
1. Read the general trend (probability)
2. Blind bottom-buying (discipline)
3. Stock selection error (ability)
Tell me about my more than ten years of experience. In fact, stock trading is not about addition, but about subtraction. At the beginning, I want to buy everything, but only buy what is suitable for you or what is suitable for you;
At the beginning, I want to operate at any time. Not trading for a day is like ten thousand ants crawling on their bodies, and the whole body is itchy. In the end, it is basically based on "waiting". I will not take action without a certain winning rate. Even if some stocks look at them, they may not take action if they do not meet their own style. So, in the end, you do subtraction, not addition.
Let’s analyze the reasons why everyone has been failing in stock trading:
1. Be careless before anything happens;
2. Panic after an accident;
3. After causing losses, they are anxious to make up for losses.
carelessness, panic, and eager to make up for losses - these are the three fundamental reasons that cause serious losses to investors.
stock trading is the same as doing any serious things. No matter what problems you encounter, you must first be calm and clarify the problem, and then take corresponding countermeasures and remedial measures according to the priorities of the situation. If you are panic and act blindly, you will definitely cause greater losses.
stock trading never requires enthusiasm, passion, and enthusiasm, and the so-called firm confidence of Peng Bo, but only an objective and cold heart that respects the market and the trend!
What do we want to see in the stock market?
I find that many people like to watch the market, and they watch the market whenever they have time. Some people even watch it every day, but they can’t see it. As the saying goes: novices watch the fun, experts watch the tricks. Most novices are just watching the fun. Although everyone expects to get useful information from watching the market, they are helpless and unable to do so.
Novice often makes it more like looking at the market. When fate comes, cut your limbs, cut your limbs, chase your high limbs, stand guards, and watch them. After watching all day, don’t know what to do. If the stocks in your hand fall a little, they will immediately cut their limbs. If you see other stocks rising a little, they will chase them. If you are tired every day, they will lose money. This is really contrary to your original intention of watching the market. Watching the market is to better and more effectively understand the market and seize opportunities, rather than letting you chase the rise and sell the decline all day long.
How to do T+0?
1. Choose a stock that is not particularly large in circulation and has good performance.
2. According to the daily market fluctuations, do T+0 and buy a certain amount of the same stock at the low level of the day. When it is at a high level, sell the corresponding number of shares based on the number of buys you bought that day.
3. How to buy low and sell high every day: According to the 5-day line. First, after the opening, open the stock you hold in your hand, then press the arrow keys on the computer keyboard and press 4 times in a row, and the trading curve of the day and the curve of the previous 4 days will be connected to the curve of the previous 4 days to form a continuous curve. The highest point and lowest point of the 5-day can be seen at a glance. According to buying near the lowest point within the previous 5 days, it is OK to sell near the highest point.
4. Several time points at * every day: 9:37-43 am, around 11:00 am, and 2:40-50 pm, which are generally the lowest points when there is no rise or fall. Selling: When the market rushes up from 9:30 to 33 in the morning, when the market rushes up from 9:50 to 10:00, when the market maker pulls up at 1:201:30 in the afternoon, when the market rushes crazy at 2:00 in the afternoon, and when the market closes for the last 3 minutes, it is generally the highest point when the market does not rise or fall.
5. Volume energy change: The volume energy on the time-sharing trend chart is rapidly and continuously, and the volume ratio shows an upward trend, which is a move to grab the market or smash the market. At this time, the stock price fluctuations will increase, which will give you the opportunity to trade T+0.Notes on
6 and T+0 trading: T+0 trading cannot simply look at the technical aspects and market trends of individual stocks. It should be combined with the trend of market , especially when the stock price is below the main medium and short-term moving averages or the general trend is in a weak position, and even the stock is mainly based on the technical aspects and market quotas.
For investors, ultra-short-term and T+0 operations are the operating modes that investors want most. Both can make huge profits in the short term, even 10 times higher than the market. T+0 is a universal operation method. When your stock is trapped, you can use T+0 to unpack it; when you don’t want to make more profits, you can also do T+0; the only disadvantage of T+0 is that it requires energy and time to operate, but its profits are also considerable.
Family friends all know my trading method, mainly short-term, T-assisted, and T-assisted, and T-+0 every week. In fact, whether it is short-term or medium-term, it is much better to do T often than not keep your stocks in motion. Especially during the market fluctuation and decline, doing T+0 during the session is a very stable and efficient arbitrage method.
T+0 Best operation time:
In the morning trading day: 9:30-9:50, generally retail investors should not participate. This is the time period for the main force to display the language of the market. If the level is high, you can use the volume ratio to hit the daily limit. The short-term tactics ratio is greater than 3, and the increase is between 3-5%. The strong market is so easy to seize the time of daily limit.
1, 9:50-10:10 in the morning is often the stage when hot stocks in the previous trading day are pulled up, and it is easy to generate short-term highs. Experience: The effect of high selling during this period is good.
2, 10:00-10:40 in the morning is the time for the main force to enter the market. If the hot spots rise clearly during this period, the market will be worry-free. Experience: If individual stocks rise at this time and the main data is good, you can rest assured about this stock.
3. Unless the market is very strong, don’t follow the trend, it is easy to get stuck. The index is for those who want to buy tickets in the afternoon.
4, 13:30-14:00 are often the main attack period of the market in the afternoon.
5, 14:00-14:30 are the most likely stage to detect the turn of the market. If many hot money sees the trend after 14:00, they will often hit a certain stock to hit the daily limit.
6, 14:30-15:00 points, short-term inducement of weak markets is often generated during this period of time. Of course, there is no temptation of strong markets, but it further increases the popularity.
1. Specific operation method for the "T+0" operation (referred to as: "T")
1. When an investor holds a certain number of stocks trapped, the stock will seriously oversold or open low one day. You can take this opportunity to buy the same number of stocks. After the rise to a certain height, sell all the stocks of the same variety that were trapped, so as to achieve low buying and high selling within one trading day to obtain the profit of the difference.
2. When an investor holds a certain number of stocks trapped, it does not seriously oversold or opens low immediately. When the stock shows a significant upward trend in the trading session, you can take this opportunity to buy the same number of stocks. After it rises to a certain height, sell all the stocks of the same kind of stocks that were trapped, so as to achieve flat buying and selling high in one trading day to obtain the difference profit.
3. When the stock held by an investor is not trapped, but is a profitable profit order, if the investor believes that the stock still has room, he can use the "T+0" operation. This allows you to obtain double profits by purchasing double chips on the day of a sharp rise and strive to maximize profits.
2. Specific operation methods for reverse "T+0" operation (abbreviated: reverse T)
reverse "T+0" operation skills are very similar to the correct "T+0" operation skills. They both use the original chips in their hands to achieve intraday trading. The only difference between the two is that: forward "T+0" operation is to buy first and then sell, and reverse "T+0" operation is to sell first and then buy. Forward "T+0" operations, investors must hold part of their cash. If an investor is trapped for full positions, the transaction cannot be implemented; while for reverse "T+0" operations, investors do not need to hold cash. Even if an investor is trapped for full positions, the transaction can be implemented.The specific operation method is as follows:
1. When an investor holds a certain number of stocks trapped, one day the stock is stimulated by sudden good news, and the stock price opens sharply or rises rapidly. You can take this opportunity to sell the chips trapped in your hand first. After the stock price ends and rises rapidly and falls back, buy all the same stocks that were originally sold, so as to achieve high selling and low buying within one trading day to obtain the difference profit.
2. When an investor holds a certain number of stocks trapped, if the stock does not have
, the skills are very similar. They use the chips trapped in their hands to sell them, and then buy the same amount of the same stock at a lower price, so as to achieve flat selling and low buying within one trading day to obtain the difference profit. However, this method is only applicable to individual stocks that still have a downward trend in the short term during the session. For individual stocks with large room for decline and obvious long-term downward trend, stop loss operations will still be the main focus.
3. When the stocks held by investors are not trapped, but are profitable, if the stock price surges too quickly in the market, it will also lead to a normal decline. Investors can take advantage of the rush to rush, sell profit chips first, and wait for the stock price to recover and buy it back. Through the "T+0" operation, strive to maximize profits.
3. time T+0 (abbreviated as: segment T)
refers to the positive or negative T being performed on the same day, and the transaction will be completed on the same day. The characteristic of time-sharing T is that the fluctuation will be relatively small and the operation space is not large. It requires quick brain reactions and fast hands. This requires high time to watch the market. If you are busy or have little capital, don’t participate in time-sharing T. For example: I have 10,000 shares for 20 cents, I will do the difference between the price of 10,000 shares, because 10,000 shares is the difference between 2,000 yuan, and the handling fee is not much. It is relatively cost-effective for me. If it is 100 shares and 200 shares, it is very unfair to include the handling fee! However, if the time allows for higher-priced stocks, you can also follow them, because high-priced stocks often have large fluctuations and large space. I usually make a difference in stocks below
20 yuan, which is 2-3 yuan to complete the transaction, because the number of shares held is relatively large, otherwise I will lose the meaning of doing time-sharing T. The stock price of
20-30 yuan usually fluctuates between 1-1.5 yuan on the same day, so it is easier to make a price difference between 1-1.5 yuan. If you have hundreds of stocks participating, the time-sharing T-spread may be hundreds of yuan. The stock price of
30-50 yuan usually fluctuates in the range of 1.5-2 yuan on the same day, so it is easier to make a price difference of 1-1.5 yuan. If you participate in hundreds of stocks, the T-spread price difference may be hundreds of yuan or even thousands of yuan. The stock price of
50 yuan usually fluctuates between 2-4 yuan on the same day, and it is easier to make a price difference of 1.5-2.5 yuan. If you have hundreds of stocks participating, the T-spreads in the time-sharing may be thousands.
tag: I will sell half-position operations in the anti-T bear market in time-sharing T, and I will sell 3 points and 1 position to operate in the bull market.
4. Daily line T, weekly line T, monthly line T, monthly line T-------The fluctuation range is calculated by day as the unit. Normally, there are 2-3 days of fluctuations. If it is T, it means that you buy and hold on that day and do not intend to sell, and sell the next day at the right time. If the T-should be sold on the same day, you do not intend to buy it. From the next day, you can buy it according to the situation. If the time is wrong the next day, you will postpone the recoupon one day. Generally, the daily T will have a price difference of more than 3%, and the time and space will be relatively large. All members must participate. For me, I will sell most of the chips and leave a little chip to participate, which will basically be less than 30% of the position.
weekly line----The fluctuation range is calculated in weekly units. Normally, it is fluctuating for 3-5 days. If it is T, it means buying and not moving. If it is T, it will consider selling some chips in a few days. If it is T, I will sell most of the chips.
monthly line T---- indicates that the trend is about to change, and the trend is bad and all sells. Some stocks are left to observe 100 shares, and if the trend is good, the position is heavy or full. The main thing is that the monthly T level is just me, you must remember one sentence, you must take action ruthlessly! Don’t be afraid when it falls, don’t be greedy when it rises, and overcome psychological barriers.
Remember these 9 mind maps, you are the winner!
1, Stock Market Map General Outline
2, K-line Basic
3, moving average Basic
4, Tangent Basic
5, Indicator Analysis
6, Statistical Analysis
7, Stock Selection Method
html l08. sector rotation 9. Various scams in the stock market
can’t see the mind map clearly? Follow the official account Yuesheng Research (yslc927yj) to view the high-definition picture for free!
The method and truth are in the trend chart. I realized that the source of wealth will naturally roll in
. Who is the real teacher? The trend chart is the real teacher. Only it is not rushing or rushing to teach you to support you and help you. Never be conservative and never lie. What is the key to letting this master be your teacher? The word "enlightenment". Speaking of this enlightenment, this is a very critical word. I hope that friends can pay 100% attention to it. Sex determines fate and fate, fate determines fortune and luck determines luck and luck determines luck and luck determines luck and luck is the key to understanding. Genius is 99% sweat plus 1% inspiration. The most important thing about this 1% inspiration is insight. A very obvious phenomenon among traders is called the 28 phenomenon, that is, 20% of a group of traders make profits and 80% make losses. Why does this phenomenon occur? People have a herd mentality and think that being with everyone is safe and correct. However, this psychological phenomenon is sometimes correct and sometimes difficult to succeed.
A trader can only obtain 20% of the results in the first 80% of the time and effort of achieving the target, and 80% of the results are obtained in the second 20% of the time and effort. This is a very important phenomenon. When many people pursue their goals, they lose confidence and give up because they cannot see obvious results for a long time. It is important to know that building destiny is a long-term thing, and you must have enough patience. Don’t expect that the first 80% of efforts will gain a lot. As long as you don’t give up, the last 20% of efforts will make great progress. In the process of learning, there is a key point that you must pay attention to: the more you read the book, the thinner it will be, and the more you will turn the multitude into simplification as the center. Complex market trends are just appearances, and simple and useful methods are the truth of trading. I understand and firmly believe that there is no good or bad in the world, right or wrong. There is no long, short, up, down. There is no gain or loss in life, success or failure. These binary opposition words such as good or bad, right or wrong, long or short rise, gain, loss, success or failure, are all thought from the perspective of oneself. This may not be understood from another perspective.
The basis for successful transactions is thought, methods, funds, and mentality.
Do you have your own trading strategy now? If you don’t have one, please study hard. The purpose of learning is to form your own trading strategy. The ancients said that there must be my teacher when three people walk. When it comes to persistence, everyone understands. The key is that everyone has done it? We must persist in learning like we persist in breathing. Only by learning can we make progress; only by learning can we understand. There is another purpose of persisting in learning, which is to form your own trading strategy as soon as possible. Those who can change can survive. The wisdom of ancient China attached full importance to this. The so-called "adapt to local conditions", "adapt to the times", "adapt to the people" and so on, which means that only by changing with change, being flexible and maneuverable can one be invincible. Because of change, there are inversions and turning points. There is no perfect trading strategy, so don't try to perfect your trading strategy. When you adjust the old problem, new problems will inevitably arise. After learning, you will be a real-time battle and survive in real-time battle. The knowledge learned from books is always shallow, and practice is the standard for testing the truth. Practical combat, understanding, and actual combat are all about action, knowledge and action. Only with unforgettable experience in actual combat can your thoughts change and leap qualitatively.
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(The above content is for reference only and does not constitute operation suggestions. If you operate by yourself, pay attention to position control and risk at your own risk.)
