Russia launched fierce revenge, Ukraine's war escalated further, Putin ushered in strong aid, Belarus three major moves may be preparing for the end, and the situation in Russia and Ukraine may form a 2-for-2 situation. After the bombing of the Crimean Bridge , Russia quickly responded through fierce air strikes, and the Ukrainian war was on the escalating point. Regarding the large-scale air strikes by the Russian army, EU EU said it will continue to provide additional military aid to Ukraine, and the United States may promise to continue to provide military aid to Ukraine. Although Ukraine has endured the anger from Russia, it has also successfully gained greater support from the United States and the West. However, Russian President Putin also ushered in strong aid this time, and Ukraine may face the dilemma of being attacked from both sides.
According to Russian media, Belarusian President Lukashenko recently publicly admitted that Belarus had intervened in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, but he also clarified that he did not actually send troops. In fact, at the beginning of the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the outside world speculated that Russia and Belarus would maintain strategic coordination. Recently, three trends in Belarus showed that the possibility of directly sending troops to intervene in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is increasing.
First, Belarus began to build momentum on public opinion. Recently, Rabo, chairman of the Belarusian National Border Defense Committee, publicly stated that Ukraine has replaced border guards with national defense forces and has conducted long-term and frequent aerial reconnaissance in the border areas. Ukraine's move undoubtedly threatens Belarus' national defense security. In fact, when Russia and Ukraine started to fight, the Ukrainian army had been on guard against Belarus. Now Belarus has begun to emphasize that the Ukrainian army's actions have made Belarus feel pressured. It may be to support Russia and attract Ukraine's attention, or it may be to send troops to Ukraine to prepare for public opinion next time.
Second, Belarusian Defense Minister Khlenin recently publicly stated that if the situation requires it, Belarus can send 500,000 reserves at any time. In addition, he also said that Belarus is carrying out large-scale mobilization and reserve work in a planned manner.
Third, Russia and Belarus formed a joint force. According to China News Service, Lukashenko recently claimed that he had received an attack on Belarus that may launch a similar Crimean bridge bombing in Ukraine. Ukraine also deliberately destroyed the traffic on the border between the two countries and laid a large number of landmines on the border roads. Therefore, Ukraine's actual actions seem to confirm the information received by Lukashenko. In view of this, Lukashenko proposed that Russia and Belarus would form a joint regional force.
Although there seems to be no need for Ukraine to establish another enemy, the United States has always wanted to further escalate the situation in Russia and Ukraine, otherwise the United States would not suddenly increase its military aid to Ukraine in the near future. The United States' intention on the Russian-Ukrainian issue is already very obvious, which is to completely de-industrialize Europe through this conflict and transfer this part of its production capacity to the United States to help the United States win the game with China. So for the United States, as long as it does not affect the United States, the more tense the situation in Russia and Ukraine, the European production capacity can be transferred to the United States as quickly as possible. Therefore, it is not ruled out that the United States will force Ukraine to provoke Belarus and force Belarus to end.
Judging from these three actions, Belarus is indeed preparing for the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. For Belarus, it has a very close relationship with Russia, and can even be described as a relationship of losing its lips and cold teeth. Once Russia falls, Belarus' situation will be very embarrassing. So if Russia is in trouble on the battlefield, it is entirely possible that Belarus will send troops directly.
In this way, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict may become 2 to 2, and the alliance formed by Russia and Belarus will confront NATO and Ukraine. However, the difference is that NATO did not directly send troops, and its military support for Ukraine was mainly focused on weapons and equipment, intelligence support, etc., but Belarus completely joined the conflict.
Once this happens, Ukraine's situation will be quite dangerous. On the one hand, Russia and Belarus are highly integrated in military terms, and after joining the battlefield, Belarus can quickly form effective cooperation with the Russian army.On the other hand, the Belarusian border is only more than 100 kilometers away from Kiev . If the Belarusian army goes south directly, western Ukraine and Kiev will face tremendous pressure, and the Ukrainian army will face difficulties in the beginning and end. The Ukrainian army on the eastern and southern fronts may have to give up the counterattack and return to Kiev and Ukrainian areas. So Belarus's joining the battlefield will be a fatal blow to Ukraine.
Therefore, at present, regardless of whether the US and Western military aid or not, as long as they do not directly join the Ukrainian war, then if Belarus ends and the situation becomes 2-for-2, the situation will develop in a direction conducive to Putin, and the regime of Zelensky may collapse.
However, we should also note that if Belarus ends, it means that the conflict has begun to spread to third parties. , which has long wanted to intervene in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, may end. On the grounds of protecting western Ukraine, we will confront Belarus, and , the Baltic Three Kingdoms may also be involved. If the war breaks out on the territory of NATO member states, NATO will be forced to participate in the war, and the situation will be completely out of control.
