Source: Taiwan Strait Network
Taiwan Strait Network October 13th According to the Hong Kong China Review News Agency, the last large-scale campaign of the DPP this year's election gathered in northern counties and cities. As the atmosphere of "hating the DPP" gradually gathered, the DPP is likely to be wiped out in counties and cities north of Taichung . The DPP is currently planning large-scale campaigns to focus on the north, hoping to ensure the maximization of seats in the north, especially Taoyuan City, Keelung City, and Hsinchu City, which are currently in power. The latest wave of election operations of the DPP is to hope to use the "border" to lift the lockdown to drive the return of the northern and young votes to support the DPP.
"Nine-in-One" voted on November 26, and it is currently the final stage of the election. At this stage, the DPP mainly plans two large-scale campaigns for #Taiwan's largest party "Hate the DPP" Back#, which will focus on northern counties and cities. It can be seen that the DPP is actually very worried about the election situation in the north.
The Democratic Progressive Party currently has 22 counties and cities, and retains 7 "ruling" counties and cities, including Taoyuan City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi County, and Pingtung County. Recently, the DPP’s candidates for county and city mayors in 2022 have been in controversy, and it is reported that pessimism within the green camp has begun to spread. Some green camp people are worried that the election will repeat the 2018 DPP defeat in the 2018. In the worst case, the DPP may only be able to protect the four counties and cities in southern Taiwan, namely Chiayi County, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, and Pingtung County, while the Kuomintang may firmly occupy 13 seats.
Judging from the mayoral election of Hsinchu , Ke Jianming, the Democratic Progressive Party's Legislative Yuan Party, who rarely took the initiative to be interviewed in the past, has recently jumped to the front line and attacked Gao Hongan, the candidate for Hsinchu mayoral in the Taiwan People's Party. In addition to the fact that Hsinchu City is a county and city ruling the Democratic Progressive Party that cannot be lost, another reason is that if Gao Hongan is elected mayor of Hsinchu and represents the chairman of the Taiwan People's Party, Ke Wen-je, , Ke Wen-je, , successfully planting the flag in Hsinchu mayor, it will greatly encourage , the People's Party , and it will be beneficial to Ke Wen-je, in 2024.
However, because former Hsinchu Mayor Lin Zhijian is still plagued by negative storms in the paper, although Lin Shuai's election may consolidate the basic foundation of the DPP, it may also make middle voters dissatisfied and may transfer the votes to Gao Hongan. The DPP must be very careful when operating Lin Zhijian's election and cannot over-operate. Therefore, Ke Jianming, who is a senior leader in the party, had to act as the "cannoner" and attack Gao Hongan.
Gao Hongan recently held the same stage with Lu Xiuyan, a mayor of Taichung, the Kuomintang. Lu held Gao's hand intimately. Is there a tacit understanding between the Kuomintang and the People's Party to cooperate? Will this effect affect the election situation in Taipei City? Chinese Kuomintang Taipei mayoral candidate Jiang Wanan and non-party Taipei mayoral candidate Huang Shanshan, who has received support from the People's Party, are currently leading the people's congression. If Hsinchu City cooperates with Taipei City Lanbai, does that mean Taipei City? Lanbai may cooperate to support Chiang? In this way, the election of DPP Taipei mayor candidate Chen Shizhong is in danger.
Taoyuan, Zheng Yunpeng, the candidate for Taoyuan mayor of the DPP, cannot significantly lead the Kuomintang candidate Zhang Shanzheng , and Taoyuan is not so stable. In the Keelung mayoral election, the Democratic Progressive Party Keelung mayoral candidate and "legislator" Cai Shiying and the Kuomintang Keelung mayoral candidate Xie Guoliang, the two people's congresses are showing a tug-of-war and fierce election battle. Both camps hold press conferences almost every day to attack money launder and underworld issues. It is unknown whether the Democratic Progressive Party can keep in Keelung.
In order to boost the election situation in the north, North, Ji, Tao and other northern regions, Tsai Ing-wen will lead four party candidates to create momentum on the 28th. The DPP most hopes to boost Taipei City and Taoyuan City. As long as two "municipalities" can save one, even if they do not lose. Although the Democratic Progressive Party of New Taipei City is difficult to counterattack, as long as the vote distance between the current mayor Hou Youyi is narrowed, even if the goal of suppressing Hou is achieved.
Judging from the results of the 2018 election, Su Zhenchang won 873,692 votes, Hou 1.165,130 votes, and Su Zhenchang lost nearly 300,000 votes. In 2014, You Xikun, who represented the Democratic Progressive Party in election for New Taipei , won 934,774 votes, and won 959,302 votes with Zhu Lilun, who was seeking re-election at the time, and lost only more than 24,000 votes. As long as Lin Jialong can reach the middle number, he will achieve his goal. If the gap between You and Zhu Devote is smaller, even if it is a great success, it will greatly reduce Hou's morale.The DPP knew that Lin Jialong had no chance, but was willing to invest a lot of auxiliary resources, with the focus on suppressing Hou's momentum.
Today is the first day of Taiwan’s “border” unblocking. Tsai Ing-wen will go to Taoyuan Airport to this afternoon to personally send outbound passengers. The Tsai authorities seized this wave of unblocking, and then used some internet celebrities to drive a wave of outbound videos and photos to create some "little luck". Many young voters may forget the negative effects of poor epidemic prevention. This wave of unblocked offensive and defense of the government and the opposition will affect the direction of the election situation at the end of the year.
