For the Russian army, the recent front-line situation has been tight. Although the Ukrainian army's fierce offensive on the front line of Kharkiv did not bring significant reductions to the Russian side, the morale of the Russian army was still hit hard during the retreat. Previously, one-quarter of the front-line troops of the Russian army had been transferred back to the rear for rest due to long-term continuous combat. The Russian army's relative passivity on the Ukrainian battlefield is already obvious. The Russian army, which had relatively few troops and lacked rest and supplies, showed a partial dispersion of morale.
However, the morale of the Russian army may also be increasing with the stability of the front. The elite light infantry , with the Wagner Group and Chechnya Special Forces as the core, is still continuing to attack. On the southern front of the Ukrainian battlefield, the Russian army fought successively with the attacking Ukrainian combat groups in Khelson and other places. The Russian Ministry of Defense said that "repelled six battle groups of the Ukrainian army", which particularly hit the 128th Brigade of the Ukrainian army.
(For the Russian and Ukrainian armies, several months of fighting have exhausted them)
But to the outside world, this kind of battle report that the Russian army withstood the Ukrainian army's one-way attack and severely damaged the other side is a bit familiar. Just a month ago, the Russian army had similar results before retreating on the front line of Kharkov. Some analysts began to doubt whether the Ukrainian army once again used the strategy of attacking the east and luring the tiger out of the mountain in the new round of counterattack. Soon after
, news from Russian media proved that this judgment was in line with the facts. Russian officials said that the Ukrainian army mobilized "a large number of mercenaries from more than 30 countries" in the Zaporoze area in the northeast of Khlsong. The local area was soon hit by the Russian missile . Although the personnel deployment and equipment arrangements were still unclear, this kind of personnel transfer also reminded the Russian side that Ukraine may have a large-scale attack like the previous attack on Kharkov.
However, the previous lessons of the Russian army were profound. Russia seemed to be completely attracted by Ukraine's political war intentions, and gathered a large number of troops in the Khlsong area and launched a fierce battle with the Ukraine army, which also gathered heavy troops and did not hesitate to suffer casualties. The Russian Ministry of Defense is also constantly releasing the results achieved by the Russian army on the battlefield of Khelson.
(The officers and soldiers of the 128th Brigade of the Ukrainian Army, many of the people in the picture have been killed)
Some analysts believe that this war, which is almost a meat grinder, may also be a strategic deception of NATO and the Ukrainian Army fighting the east and west. Although the Ukrainian army suffered a great loss, it could consume a lot of total troops. Compared with the Russian army, the Ukrainian army's 600,000 manpower was enough to consume, which made the Ukrainian army attract Russian firepower, causing the Russian army to withdraw personnel. The Ukrainian army on the northern front could take advantage of the empty front and use the Kharkov area as a breakthrough point to take advantage of the opportunity.
Of course, if we look at some information collected from the media and on the battlefield, the probability of the Ukrainian army launching continuous assaults may not be high. Although the Ukrainian army captured some of the Russian air defense fronts during this offensive that lasted for nearly a month. However, the Ukrainian army still paid a certain price when seizing important Russian strongholds, such as Liman and other places, including manpower and material losses. In addition, the Ukrainian army's previous continuous attack in Khlsong also suffered a lot of losses, which means that Ukrainian needs to spend time reorganizing the troops.
(The losses of the Russian army are more obvious than those of the Ukrainian army)
Judging from the recent attacks of the Ukrainian army on the front line of Khelson, the Ukrainian army's agility is no longer the same. Although the Ukrainian army broke a little hole in the area of Kherson and finally established a position after paying a considerable price, they also lacked the strength to continue to stabilize the front.
faces the new defense line set up by the Russian army. The Ukrainian army did not pursue, but only launched an artillery attack with the Russian side along the new front. This signal of defending and waiting for assistance means that the Ukrainian army's offensive here may end here. However, the Ukrainian offensive in Kherson had a similar effect to those feints before the Kharkov Battle, attracting more Russian troops to invest in this direction. However, judging from the news of the "government" of Zaporoje Prefecture, the coalition of the Ukrainian army and more than 30 countries' mercenaries obviously regarded Zaporoje Prefecture as the new main attack direction.
(most of the mobilized troops of the Russian army are reserve personnel, and they will have combat effectiveness after a little training)
In other words, in addition to their own personnel, the combat troops available to the Ukrainian army are also a key link in their attacking power as a cover. Unlike many amateur European and American mercenaries who came to Ukraine to shoot short videos at the beginning of the war, most of the mercenaries who are currently traveling to Ukraine are professional soldiers. They can skillfully operate various equipment from Europe and the United States to "assist" Ukraine and have high tactical qualities. When both Russian and Ukrainian armies were trapped in the quagmire of hard fighting, such a new force had the opportunity to change the balance of the battlefield. As the Ukrainian troops that began training in the early stages of the war gradually formed combat effectiveness, the Russian army may pay a greater price to regain the initiative in the war. The most important thing is that the Ukrainian army once again deceived the Russian army with the same strategy of attacking the east and west, which made the outside world doubt the Russian army's front-line command capabilities.
Of course, looking at the international situation, the Ukrainian army's strategic counterattack may still be a political war that takes the right time. After all, the head of Ukraine, the most supportive head of Ukraine among European countries, that is, former British Prime Minister Johnson , has stepped down, and the new Prime Minister Tras is in a state of suffocation due to the economic crisis . The Biden administration of the United States, which advocates military aid to Ukraine, will soon face the test of the midterm elections and will likely become a lame duck. Germany, which dominates EU , has rejected plans to increase military aid to Ukraine. When foreign aid is about to run out and the foreign debt of $1 billion is difficult to repay, perhaps Ukraine will not have much time to launch an attack.
