Russia has carried out "partial military mobilization" with the goal of recruiting 300,000 reserve soldiers who have served in service and join the war. According to the Russian military, these 300,000 reserve troops will be used to guard the Ukrainian control area, thereby completely releasing the combat effectiveness of the L/DPR combat troops on this mission. However, the impact of Russia's "partial military mobilization" will inevitably be reflected in the policy responses of the United States, Europe and the NATO group. Analysts believe that in addition to the confirmed cases of military equipment assistance to Ukraine, the assistance efforts at the United States, Europe and , NATO will continue to be increased after Russia implements "partial military mobilization".
In fact, the weapons and equipment assisted by the West have caused serious threats and huge losses to the Russian army and L/DPR. For example, the MiG-29 fighter provided by NATO, combined with the AGM-88B anti-radiation missile provided by the United States, destroyed dozens of Russian air defense radars, and thus expanded the battlefield strike effect of the Ukrainian military TB-2 armed drone.
At the beginning of the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Russia took the lead in destroying Ukrainian air force and air defense forces, and basically gained air supremacy on the Ukrainian battlefield. However, with the arrival of more and more Western weapons, especially electronic warfare weapons and air defense equipment, the battlefield use of the Russian Air Force fighter is becoming increasingly restricted.
For example, the oldest but indeed used Su25 attack aircraft can only adopt ultra-low-altitude flight mode (this mode will sacrifice the range of the on-board ground strike weapon) when approaching the target of the strike, and when it is approaching the strike target, it pulls up the head angle to launch the rocket to increase the range of the rocket. However, the Russian army's ultra-low-altitude flight tactic has a fatal weakness, which is that it traps fighter jets into the threat of portable air defense missile of the Ukrainian ground forces, which is the main reason for the recent high Soviet-25 damage rate. In order to make up for the shortcomings of Su-25, Russia did not hesitate to invest heavily in the Su-34 fighter bomber , which also opened the curtain of the tragedy of Su-34.
(Russia uses cruise missile drones made by Iranian to destroy Ukrainian Navy tugboats)
On September 24, the Russian Air Force was shot down two Su-34 fighter bombers in one day. A Su-34 was damaged by the right engine, and another Su-34 was hit by a portable air defense missile while flying at low altitude and crashed quickly. According to information disclosed by the Ukrainian military, two Russian Su-30SM fighters and a K-52 armed helicopter were shot down on the same day. NATO military experts believe that more and more practical difficulties prove that it is unrealistic for Russia to make a quick decision, and the difficulties and losses will further expand over time. If the unknown risk impact of NATO's collective military intervention is added, the Russian army will have a great possibility of using tactical nuclear weapon .
Recently, after the Russian side reiterated the nuclear weapon option ( Medvedev said: Russia has not only mobilization capabilities, but any Russian weapon, including strategic nuclear weapons and weapons based on new principles, can be used to protect all newly joined territories), European media have been seriously discussing two issues in recent days. One is "the necessity of the Russian army using tactical nuclear weapons on the Ukrainian battlefield"; the other is "what will the United States and NAD react if Russia uses tactical nuclear weapons."
(Counterattack situation of Ukrainian army in the east)
Regarding the first issue of "the necessity of the Russian army to use tactical nuclear weapons on the Ukrainian battlefield", the most popular and supportive media people's insight was that "Moscow can destroy all electronic devices on the entire Ukrainian front by detonating a nuclear bomb on the sea surface or detonating a nuclear bomb over Ukraine, and use electromagnetic pulse to destroy all electronic devices on the entire Ukrainian front." There are also media people saying that "the use of tactical nuclear weapons to attack Ukraine's military base , or attack urban centers like Kiev, causing massive casualties and potentially killing the country's political leaders." Regarding the second question "How will the United States and NAD respond if Russia uses tactical nuclear weapons?", the discussion process and results are full of pessimism.Including the consideration of the number of nuclear warheads of the United States deployed in Europe and the necessity of a US nuclear counterattack, as well as the contradictory debates about NATO's overall nuclear counterattack and whether Ukraine is protected by NATO's nuclear power.
(Russian military Iskander missile system can launch tactical nuclear weapons)
So far, European media has drawn pessimistic conclusions: "The United States and NATO certainly do not want to appear weak in the face of the implicit nuclear threat , but, although the United States has deployed about 100 tactical nuclear weapons in Europe, the West also hopes to avoid issuing tweaks. The war born in Ukraine may escalate into a broader and more destructive global nuclear war possibility. If Russia's tactical nuclear weapons attack NATO member states, then the West has no choice but to make nuclear retaliation, and NATO should make nuclear retaliation as a whole, rather than to make nuclear retaliation only by the United States, but Ukraine is not a NATO member state. "The implication is that if Russia does use tactical nuclear weapons, Ukraine is not within NATO's nuclear umbrella.
In fact, the results of this discussion by European media are consistent with NATO's new statement. NATO senior management clearly stated that "will not directly intervene in the Ukraine issue in military terms." This is exactly the "NATO attitude" that Russia wants to see after waving the "nuclear stick".
